Lübeck vs Darmstadt – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
16/08/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • DFB Pokal - 1/32-finals
  • Referee: Exuzidis L. (Ger)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
austriaAustriaSky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria Top Event, Sky Sport Mix
bulgariaBulgariaNova Sport
germanyGermanySky Go Germany, Sky Sport 4, Sky Sport Mix, Sky Sport Top Event, WOW
portugalPortugalDAZN / App
switzerlandSwitzerlandSky Sport Mix, Sky Sport Top Event
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 7, MEGOGO Ukraine

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.661.85
Ball Possession
34%66%
Total shots
818
Shots on target
48
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
24
Passes
65% (194/298)81% (461/572)
Yellow Cards
31
Expected Goals (xG)
0.661.85
xG on target (xGOT)
1.012.54
Total shots
818
Shots on target
48
Shots off target
26
Blocked Shots
24
Shots inside the Box
510
Shots outside the Box
38
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
24
Touches in opposition box
1329
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
10
Free Kicks
1018
Passes
65% (194/298)81% (461/572)
Long passes
30% (22/73)59% (50/85)
Passes in final third
55% (42/77)61% (111/181)
Crosses
0% (0/7)27% (4/15)
Expected assists (xA)
0.691.10
Throw-ins
3315
Fouls
1910
Tackles
79% (15/19)75% (15/20)
Duels won
4276
Clearances
259
Interceptions
1519
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
63
xGOT faced
2.541.01
Goals prevented
0.540.01

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 26', Thiel M. 🟨,
  • 34', 0 - 1, Maglica M. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 47', Vukotic A. 🟨,
  • 63', Verinac A. 🟨,
  • 66', Istefo F. , Lehnfeld M. ,
  • 71', Richter M. , Papela M. ,
  • 71', Maglica M. , Riedel C. ,
  • 73', 0 - 2, Hornby F. , Riedel C. (A),
  • 78', Amadi J. , Karimani D. ,
  • 81', Becken P. 🟨,
  • 86', Lidberg I. , Bialek B. ,
  • 86', Marseiler L. , Furukawa Y. ,
  • 86', Polat M. , Shivani R. ,
  • 90+1', 1 - 2, Becken P. , Karimani D. (A),
  • 90+4', Hornby F. , Boetius J-P. ,

Chances of winning


Lübeck
7.7%
Draw
13.8%
Darmstadt
78.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
20.3% 24.1% 55.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Lübeck has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Lübeck's form might have worsened.
  • Darmstadt has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+23%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Darmstadt's recent form is better than expected.
  • Lübeck - Darmstadt Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    12.46
    (4.64)
    6.91
    (3.9)
    1.26
    (1.69)
    1.9%
    (6.4%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.75
    What is the prediction for Lübeck - Darmstadt?
  • Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Lübeck will win (votes: 2 - 20%). Darmstadt will win (votes: 7 - 70%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 10%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Darmstadt: 41.6%98.4%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Lübeck (votes: 1 - 20%). Darmstadt (votes: 2 - 40%). Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH +1.5 - Darmstadt (1.90) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 1.5, 1st Half - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 4.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 5.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 6.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • BTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 6 high ROI users predict this event. Lübeck (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Darmstadt (votes: 3 - 50%). Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:3.
  • Preview Facts
    • Darmstadt is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Darmstadt may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Darmstadt is the obvious favorite.
    • In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.
    Latest results of Lübeck
    08.08.2025 Oldenburg - Lübeck 4:0
    01.08.2025 Meppen - Lübeck 3:1
    26.07.2025 Lübeck - Bremer SV 2:0
    16.05.2025 Lübeck - Werder Bremen II 1:6
    09.05.2025 Oldenburg - Lübeck 0:2
    Latest results of Darmstadt
    08.08.2025 Nürnberg - Darmstadt 0:1
    02.08.2025 Darmstadt - Bochum 4:1
    26.07.2025 Hoffenheim - Darmstadt 3:1
    17.07.2025 St. Gallen - Darmstadt 2:4
    09.07.2025 Darmstadt - Notts County 2:1
    Draw
    2025/26

    1/32-finals
    1EngersEintracht Frankfurt0 : 5
    2RW EssenDortmund0 : 1
    3Viktoria KolnPaderborn1 : 3
    4GrossaspachBayer Leverkusen0 : 4
    5DelmenhorstB. Monchengladbach2 : 3
    6MeuselwitzKarlsruher SC0 : 5
    7NorderstedtSt. Pauli0 : 1
    8Hansa RostockHoffenheim0 : 4
    9FC GuterslohUnion Berlin0 : 5
    10Arminia BielefeldWerder Bremen1 : 0
    11RegensburgFC Koln1 : 2
    12WehenBayern Munich2 : 3
    13CottbusHannover1 : 0
    14SandhausenRB Leipzig2 : 4
    15IllertissenNurnberg4 : 3
    16SaarbruckenMagdeburg1 : 3
    17BahlingerHeidenheim0 : 5
    18PirmasensHamburger SV1 : 2
    19HemelingenWolfsburg0 : 9
    20FC 08 HomburgHolstein Kiel0 : 2
    21HallescherAugsburg0 : 2
    22BFC DynamoBochum1 : 3
    23SG Dynamo DresdenMainz0 : 1
    24BraunschweigStuttgart4 : 5
    25Preussen MunsterHertha Berlin0 : 1
    26UlmElversberg0 : 1
    27LohneGreuther Furth0 : 2
    28RSV EintrachtKaiserslautern0 : 7
    29SchweinfurtDusseldorf2 : 4
    30LotteFreiburg0 : 2
    31LubeckDarmstadt1 : 2
    32Lokomotive LeipzigSchalke0 : 1

    1/16-finals
    1Eintracht FrankfurtDortmund1 : 2
    2PaderbornBayer Leverkusen2 : 4
    3B. MonchengladbachKarlsruher SC3 : 1
    4St. PauliHoffenheim3 : 2
    5Union BerlinArminia Bielefeld2 : 1
    6FC KolnBayern Munich1 : 4
    7CottbusRB Leipzig1 : 4
    8IllertissenMagdeburg0 : 3
    9HeidenheimHamburger SV0 : 1
    10WolfsburgHolstein Kiel0 : 1
    11AugsburgBochum0 : 1
    12MainzStuttgart0 : 2
    13Hertha BerlinElversberg3 : 0
    14Greuther FurthKaiserslautern0 : 1
    15DusseldorfFreiburg1 : 3
    16DarmstadtSchalke4 : 0

    1/8-finals
    1DortmundBayer Leverkusen0 : 1
    2B. MonchengladbachSt. Pauli1 : 2
    3Union BerlinBayern Munich2 : 3
    4RB LeipzigMagdeburg3 : 1
    5Hamburger SVHolstein Kiel1 : 2
    6BochumStuttgart0 : 2
    7Hertha BerlinKaiserslautern6 : 1
    8FreiburgDarmstadt2 : 0

    Quarter-finals
    1Bayer LeverkusenSt. Pauli3 : 0
    2Bayern MunichRB Leipzig2 : 0
    3Holstein KielStuttgart0 : 3
    4Hertha BerlinFreiburg1 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Bayer LeverkusenBayern Munich
    2StuttgartFreiburg

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2