Result
1:1
29/11/2025 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Regionalliga North - Round 21
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Germany | Nordfv |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 7', 0 - 1, Lehnfeld M. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 54', 1 - 1, Ahlstrand E. ⚽,
- 90+2', Melenivskyi Y. 🟨,
Chances of winning
St. Pauli II
34.8% | Draw
26.2% | Lübeck
38.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
St. Pauli II has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that St. Pauli II's form might have worsened.Lübeck has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Lübeck's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for St. Pauli II than the current prediction. (+7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for St. Pauli II, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lübeck than the current prediction. (-6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Lübeck, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
St. Pauli II - Lübeck Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.65 ↑
(2.2) |
3.51 ↓
(3.63) |
2.37 ↓
(2.78) |
8.5%
(9.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 12).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, St. Pauli II won 2.
- St. Pauli II is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Lübeck has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Lübeck may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- In the last 18 head-to-head matches, St. Pauli II won 3 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 17:33. (average 0.9:1.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, St. Pauli II won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 10:15. (average 1.1:1.7).
How many head-to-head matches has St. Pauli II won against Lübeck?
St. Pauli II has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Lübeck won against St. Pauli II?
Lübeck has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between St. Pauli II - Lübeck were as follows:
28.10.2025
Lübeck
-
St. Pauli II
1:1
29.10.2024
St. Pauli II
-
Lübeck
1:3
19.03.2023
St. Pauli II
-
Lübeck
2:1
18.09.2022
Lübeck
-
St. Pauli II
1:1
Latest results of St. Pauli II
German Regionalliga North Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Meppen | 22 | 15 | 5 | 2 | 68:24 | 44 | 50 |
| 2 | VfB Oldenburg | 21 | 14 | 4 | 3 | 55:26 | 29 | 46 |
| 3 | Drochtersen/Assel | 21 | 15 | 1 | 5 | 54:30 | 24 | 46 |
| 4 | Jeddeloh | 20 | 12 | 5 | 3 | 49:25 | 24 | 41 |
| 5 | Phonix Lubeck | 21 | 10 | 6 | 5 | 33:21 | 12 | 36 |
| 6 | Hamburger SV II | 22 | 9 | 5 | 8 | 38:35 | 3 | 32 |
| 7 | Bremer | 21 | 9 | 4 | 8 | 29:26 | 3 | 31 |
| 8 | SC Weiche-08 | 22 | 9 | 3 | 10 | 49:45 | 4 | 30 |
| 9 | Hannover II | 22 | 8 | 5 | 9 | 36:33 | 3 | 29 |
| 10 | Lubeck | 21 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 34:45 | -11 | 27 |
| 11 | Werder Bremen II | 21 | 7 | 5 | 9 | 42:50 | -8 | 26 |
| 12 | Emden | 21 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 36:34 | 2 | 25 |
| 13 | Hannoverscher SC | 21 | 6 | 5 | 10 | 31:55 | -24 | 23 |
| 14 | Schoningen | 19 | 7 | 0 | 12 | 29:47 | -18 | 21 |
| 15 | Norderstedt | 21 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 30:46 | -16 | 18 |
| 16 | Lohne | 21 | 5 | 2 | 14 | 25:48 | -23 | 17 |
| 17 | Altona | 20 | 4 | 3 | 13 | 24:51 | -27 | 15 |
| 18 | St. Pauli II | 21 | 2 | 8 | 11 | 24:45 | -21 | 14 |
Promotion ~ 3. Liga
Regionalliga North (Relegation)
Relegation
