David Gilbert vs Luca Brecel – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
5:4
08/01/2026 at 09:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • German Masters - Qualification - Final

Chances of winning


David Gilbert
44.1%
Luca Brecel
55.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
44% 56%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.1% 52.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • David Gilbert has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)
  • Luca Brecel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for David Gilbert than the current prediction. (+3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Luca Brecel than the current prediction. (-3%)
  • David Gilbert - Luca Brecel Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.13
    (2.13)

    1.68
    (1.68)
    6.6%
    (6.5%)
    Preview Facts
    • Gilbert is ranked World Ranking: 24. Brecel is ranked World Ranking: 43.
    • Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Gilbert may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Gilbert won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 13:14. (average 6.5:7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between David Gilbert - Luca Brecel were as follows:
    20.04.2024 Luca Brecel - David Gilbert 9:10
    Latest results of David Gilbert
    Latest results of Luca Brecel
    13.12.2025 Luca Brecel - Zhengyi Fan 0:75
    12.12.2025 Shaun Murphy - Luca Brecel 0:70
    10.12.2025 Long Zehuang - Luca Brecel 11:60
    24.11.2025 Luca Brecel - Ian Burns 3:6
    Draw
    Main

    1/16-finals
    1Wilson K.McGill A.5 : 1
    2Hawkins B.Zhang A.2 : 5
    3Yang G.Allen M.3 : 5
    4Leclercq J.Murphy S.1 : 5
    5Williams M.Robertson J.3 : 5
    6Brown J.Jones Jak0 : 5
    7Slessor E.Chadha I.3 : 5
    8Pang J.Robertson N.2 : 5
    9Trump J.Day R.5 : 0
    10Si JiahuiGilbert D.5 : 4
    11Lisowski J.Xiao G.1 : 5
    12Zhou Y.Higgins J.3 : 5
    13Selby M.Si X.4 : 5
    14O'Sullivan R.Carter A.3 : 5
    15Bingham S.Donaldson S.5 : 2
    16Ford T.Zhao X.5 : 3

    1/8-finals
    1Wilson K.Zhang A.5 : 2
    2Allen M.Murphy S.0 : 5
    3Robertson J.Jones Jak5 : 2
    4Chadha I.Robertson N.0 : 5
    5Trump J.Si Jiahui5 : 2
    6Xiao G.Higgins J.5 : 3
    7Si X.Carter A.0 : 5
    8Bingham S.Ford T.5 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Wilson K.Murphy S.1 : 5
    2Robertson J.Robertson N.1 : 5
    3Trump J.Xiao G.5 : 3
    4Carter A.Bingham S.5 : 1

    Semi-finals
    1Murphy S.Robertson N.6 : 1
    2Trump J.Carter A.6 : 2

    Final
    1Murphy S.Trump J.4 : 10