Luca Brecel vs He Guoqiang – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Snooker Northern Ireland Open Luca Brecel - He Guoqiang
Result
4:3
20/10/2024 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • NORTHERN IRELAND: Northern Ireland Open - 1/32-finals

Chances of winning


Luca Brecel
54%
He Guoqiang
46%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
59.9% 40.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.5% 40.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Luca Brecel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Luca Brecel's form might have worsened.
  • He Guoqiang has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting He Guoqiang's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Luca Brecel than the current prediction. (+5.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Luca Brecel, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for He Guoqiang than the current prediction. (-5.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for He Guoqiang, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Luca Brecel - He Guoqiang Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.75
    (1.58)

    2.03
    (2.37)
    6.6%
    (5.6%)
    Preview Facts
    • Brecel is ranked World Ranking: 6. Guoqiang is ranked World Ranking: 63.
    • Both players are now playing unstable.
    • Guoqiang could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both players.
    • Recently, the players did not play each other.
    Latest results of Luca Brecel
    Latest results of He Guoqiang
    Draw
    2025

    Semi-finals
    1Lines O.Bye
    2Doherty K.Pengcheng Y.1 : 4
    3Day R.Bye
    4Taylor Al.Nasa C.4 : 1
    5Donaldson S.Bye
    6Kowalski A.Sheldon Z.4 : 0
    7He G.Bye
    8Totten C.Graham L.0 : 4
    9Un-Nooh T.Bye
    10Leclercq J.Nussle F.4 : 2
    11Davis M.Bye
    12Ajaib F.Brown O.4 : 3
    13Lyu H.Bye
    14Tahir H.Benzey C.4 : 0
    15Lam S.Bye
    16Pinhey H.Burns I.0 : 4
    17Zehuang L.Bye
    18Mertens B.Pullen L.0 : 4
    19Wells D.Bye
    20Akani S.Xu Yi Chen4 : 2
    21Holt M.Bye
    22Yuhao L.El Hareedy M.4 : 2
    23Jones Jam.Bye
    24Sarkhosh A.Fu M.2 : 4
    25Robertson J.Bye
    26Luz J.Gurbaxani K.4 : 3
    27Moody S.Bye
    28Evans R. (WO.)Shehab M. M.
    29Si X.Bye
    30Emery D.Highfield L.4 : 1
    31Gong C.Bye
    32Yulu B.Grace D.2 : 4
    33McGill A.Bye
    34Boiko I.Ursenbacher A.2 : 4
    35Stevens M.Bye
    36Hallworth S.Muir R.4 : 0
    37Chadha I.Bye
    38Bingyu C.Jun J.4 : 0
    39O'Donnell M.Bye
    40Craigie S.Connolly J.4 : 1
    41Brecel L.Bye
    42Davies L. J.Yee N. O.4 : 1
    43Liu H.Bye
    44Cheung K. W.Wongharuthai N.4 : 1
    45Williams R.Bye
    46Jiahao H.White J.4 : 2
    47Jones D.Bye
    48Heathcote L.Nayyar S.4 : 0
    49Surety Z.Bye
    50McGuigan R.Quinn F.3 : 4
    51Hill A.Bye
    52Yang G.Wenwei L.4 : 1
    53Milkins R.Bye
    54Szubarczyk M.Whelan P.1 : 4
    55Woollaston B.Bye
    56Yuchen W.Baranowski M.3 : 4
    57Fan Z.Bye
    58Zizins A.Hanyang Z.4 : 2
    59Lilley D.Bye
    60Revesz B.Crowley L.2 : 4
    61Walden R.Bye
    62Yassin H.Hugill A.1 : 4
    63Brown J.Bye
    64Mann M.Dikme U.4 : 3

    Final
    1Lines O.Pengcheng Y.4 : 2
    2Day R.Taylor Al.4 : 1
    3Donaldson S.Kowalski A.4 : 2
    4He G.Graham L.4 : 0
    5Un-Nooh T.Leclercq J.4 : 3
    6Davis M.Ajaib F.4 : 0
    7Lyu H.Tahir H.3 : 4
    8Lam S.Burns I.2 : 4
    9Zehuang L.Pullen L.4 : 2
    10Wells D.Akani S.4 : 3
    11Holt M.Yuhao L.2 : 4
    12Jones Jam.Fu M.2 : 4
    13Robertson J.Luz J.4 : 0
    14Moody S.Evans R.4 : 0
    15Si X.Emery D.3 : 4
    16Gong C.Grace D.0 : 4
    17McGill A.Ursenbacher A.4 : 1
    18Stevens M.Hallworth S.3 : 4
    19Chadha I.Bingyu C.0 : 4
    20O'Donnell M.Craigie S.4 : 2
    21Brecel L.Davies L. J.4 : 0
    22Liu H.Cheung K. W.1 : 4
    23Williams R.Jiahao H.4 : 1
    24Jones D.Heathcote L.2 : 4
    25Surety Z.Quinn F.4 : 3
    26Hill A.Yang G.4 : 1
    27Milkins R.Whelan P.4 : 2
    28Woollaston B.Baranowski M.4 : 0
    29Fan Z.Zizins A.4 : 2
    30Lilley D.Crowley L.4 : 3
    31Walden R.Hugill A.3 : 4
    32Brown J.Mann M.4 : 2