Luca Castagnola vs Federico Iannaccone – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:2
09/04/2026 at 04:40 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Monastir 5, hard - 1/8-finals

Match Stats

Last 10 balls
37

Chances of winning


Luca Castagnola
21.8%
Federico Iannaccone
78.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
27.3% 72.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.7% 70.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Luca Castagnola has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Luca Castagnola's form might have worsened.
  • Federico Iannaccone has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Federico Iannaccone's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Luca Castagnola than the current prediction. (+7.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Luca Castagnola, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Federico Iannaccone than the current prediction. (-7.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Federico Iannaccone, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Luca Castagnola - Federico Iannaccone Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    4.27
    (3.47)

    1.19
    (1.3)
    7.6%
    (5.7%)
    Preview Facts
    • Castagnola is ranked ATP: 785. Iannaccone is ranked ATP: 602.
    • Castagnola is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Iannaccone has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Iannaccone may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Iannaccone is considered a favorite.
    • Recently, there has been no match between the players.
    Latest results of Luca Castagnola
    Latest results of Federico Iannaccone