Luca Castagnola vs Lautaro Midon – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis Todi Challenger Men Luca Castagnola - Lautaro Midon
Result
2:0
11/08/2024 at 08:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Todi (Italy) - Qualification, clay - Semi-finals
  • Referee: Concas R. (Ita)

Match Stats

Aces
11
Double Faults
21
1st Serve Percentage
61%73%
1st Serve Points Won
69% (35/51)72% (39/54)
2nd Serve Points Won
67% (22/33)60% (12/20)
Break Points Saved
100% (6/6)80% (4/5)
1st Return Points Won
31% (17/54)33% (17/51)
2nd Return Points Won
40% (8/20)33% (11/33)
Break Points Converted
20% (1/5)0% (0/6)
Max Points In Row
94
Service Points Won
68% (57/84)68% (49/72)
Return Points Won
32% (23/72)32% (27/84)
Total Points Won
51% (80/156)49% (76/156)
Max Games In Row
31
Service Games Won
100% (11/11)91% (10/11)
Return Games Won
9% (1/11)0% (0/11)
Total Games Won
55% (12/22)45% (10/22)

Chances of winning


Luca Castagnola
28.1%
Lautaro Midon
71.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
38.4% 61.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.1% 62.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Luca Castagnola has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Luca Castagnola's form might have worsened.
  • Lautaro Midon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Lautaro Midon's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Luca Castagnola than the current prediction. (+9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Luca Castagnola, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lautaro Midon than the current prediction. (-9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Lautaro Midon, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Luca Castagnola - Lautaro Midon Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.31
    (2.41)

    1.3
    (1.5)
    7.4%
    (8.2%)
    Preview Facts
    • Castagnola is ranked ATP: 662. Midon is ranked ATP: 438.
    • Castagnola is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Recent matches Midon is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Midon could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • In this match Midon is a favorite.
    • Recently, the players did not play each other.
    Latest results of Luca Castagnola
    Latest results of Lautaro Midon
    04.08.2024 Max Alcala Gurri - Lautaro Midon Alcala Gurri M. retired
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Dodig M. (9)Juarez F. (Q)1 : 2
    2Ferrari G. (Q)Carboni L. (WC)2 : 1
    3Romano F. (LL)Tabacco F. (Q)2 : 0
    4Skatov T. (SE)Bueno G. (5)2 : 1
    5Budkov Kjaer N. (3)Torres J. B.2 : 1
    6Villanueva G. (Alt)Pucinelli de Almeida M.0 : 2
    7Forti F. (PR)Vasa E. (Q)2 : 0
    8Mrva M. (NG)Vacherot V. (7)0 : 2
    9Travaglia S. (6)Pereira T.2 : 1
    10Vasami J. (WC)Noce G. M. (LL)2 : 0
    11Sanchez Jover C.Basile P. (WC)2 : 1
    12Guerrieri A. (Q)Neumayer L. (4)0 : 2
    13Ferreira Silva F. (8)Vatutin A.0 : 2
    14Cecchinato M.Bertola R. (Alt)2 : 0
    15Poljicak M.Prado Angelo J. C.1 : 2
    16Arnaboldi F.Jorda Sanchis D. (Q)0 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Juarez F.Ferrari G.0 : 2
    2Romano F.Skatov T.1 : 2
    3Budkov Kjaer N. (3)Pucinelli de Almeida M. (RET.)1 : 0
    4Forti F.Vacherot V. (7)0 : 2
    5Travaglia S. (6)Vasami J.2 : 0
    6Sanchez Jover C.Neumayer L. (4)0 : 2
    7Vatutin A.Cecchinato M.1 : 2
    8Prado Angelo J. C.Jorda Sanchis D.2 : 1

    Quarter-finals
    1Ferrari G.Skatov T.1 : 2
    2Budkov Kjaer N. (3)Vacherot V. (7)0 : 2
    3Travaglia S. (6)Neumayer L. (4)2 : 0
    4Cecchinato M.Prado Angelo J. C.0 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Skatov T.Vacherot V. (7)2 : 0
    2Travaglia S. (6)Prado Angelo J. C.2 : 0

    Final
    1Skatov T.Travaglia S. (6)2 : 1