Result
2:1
17/06/2025 at 04:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Cattolica, clay - 1/16-finals
Chances of winning
Luca Castagnola
27.8% | Lilian Marmousez
72.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Luca Castagnola has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Luca Castagnola's form might have worsened.Lilian Marmousez has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Lilian Marmousez's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Luca Castagnola than the current prediction. (+2.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lilian Marmousez than the current prediction. (-2.3%)
Luca Castagnola - Lilian Marmousez Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.35 ↑
(2.75) |
|
1.29 ↓
(1.41) |
7.5%
(7.3%) | |
Preview Facts
- Castagnola is ranked ATP: 601. Marmousez is ranked ATP: 441.
- Both players have been playing unpredictably.
- Marmousez may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Marmousez is the team to beat.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Castagnola won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.
How many head-to-head matches has Luca Castagnola won against Lilian Marmousez?
Luca Castagnola has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Lilian Marmousez won against Luca Castagnola?
Lilian Marmousez has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Luca Castagnola - Lilian Marmousez were as follows:
11.06.2024
Luca Castagnola
-
Lilian Marmousez
1:2
Latest results of Luca Castagnola
Latest results of Lilian Marmousez
Draw
20251/16-finals| 1 | Pennaforti G. (1) | Rispoli N. (Q) | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Bilardo J. | Mesaglio M. (Q) | 1 : 2 |
| 3 | Rottoli L. | Meduri A. (Q) | 2 : 1 |
| 4 | Mazza M. | Vincent Ruggeri S. (5) | 2 : 1 |
| 5 | Picchione A. (3) | Mecarelli M. | 2 : 0 |
| 6 | Pampanin P. (Q) | Miletich I. | 1 : 2 |
| 7 | Vulpitta G. (Q) | Catini N. | 1 : 2 |
| 8 | Baroni N. | Pecci A. (6) | 0 : 2 |
| 9 | Oradini G. (8) | Tabacco G. (Q) | 2 : 0 |
| 10 | Mazzola F. | Serafini M. | 0 : 2 |
| 11 | Romano F. | Sciahbasi L. | 2 : 0 |
| 12 | Milev Y. | Compagnucci T. (4) | 2 : 0 |
| 13 | Lopez Montagud C. (7) | Morolli A. (LL) | 2 : 0 |
| 14 | D'Agostino S. | Caniato C. A. | 0 : 2 |
| 15 | Osti F. K. P. (Q) | Primucci L. (Q) | 0 : 2 |
| 16 | Castagnola L. | Marmousez L. (2) | 2 : 1 |
1/8-finals| 1 | Pennaforti G. (1) | Mesaglio M. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Rottoli L. | Mazza M. | 0 : 2 |
| 3 | Picchione A. (3) | Miletich I. | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Catini N. | Pecci A. (6) | 0 : 2 |
| 5 | Oradini G. (8) | Serafini M. | 2 : 1 |
| 6 | Romano F. | Milev Y. | 2 : 0 |
| 7 | Lopez Montagud C. (7) | Caniato C. A. | 0 : 2 |
| 8 | Primucci L. | Castagnola L. | 0 : 2 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Pennaforti G. (1) | Mazza M. | 0 : 2 |
| 2 | Picchione A. (3) | Pecci A. (6) | 0 : 2 |
| 3 | Oradini G. (8) | Romano F. | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Caniato C. A. | Castagnola L. | 2 : 0 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Mazza M. | Pecci A. (RET.) (6) | 1 : 1 |
| 2 | Oradini G. (8) | Caniato C. A. | 0 : 2 |
Final| 1 | Mazza M. | Caniato C. A. | 2 : 0 |
