Matthew Summers vs Luca Castagnola – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis ITF M15 Budapest Men Matthew Summers - Luca Castagnola
Result
2:1
26/08/2025 at 04:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Budapest, hard - 1/16-finals

Match Stats

Last 10 Balls
44

Chances of winning


Matthew Summers
39.4%
Luca Castagnola
60.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
39.6% 60.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.3% 61.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Matthew Summers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)
  • Luca Castagnola has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Matthew Summers than the current prediction. (-1.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Luca Castagnola than the current prediction. (+1.1%)
  • Matthew Summers - Luca Castagnola Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.36
    (2.36)

    1.53
    (1.55)
    7.7%
    (6.9%)
    Preview Facts
    • Summers is ranked ATP: 811. Castagnola is ranked ATP: 628.
    • Summers is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Castagnola's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Summers may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Castagnola could have a small edge in this match.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Summers won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Matthew Summers - Luca Castagnola were as follows:
    25.09.2024 Luca Castagnola - Matthew Summers 0:2
    Latest results of Matthew Summers
    Latest results of Luca Castagnola
    Draw
    2025

    1/16-finals
    1Fellin P. O. (1)Tamm K.2 : 0
    2Boros A.Fondriest M.2 : 1
    3Kis Balazs R.Hodkin S.0 : 2
    4Fuele M.Madarasz G. (RET.) (8)0 : 0
    5Hurrion M. (RET.) (4)Gusic Wan B.0 : 1
    6Campbell N.Popovic S.0 : 2
    7Namigandet Tenguere L.Ambarzumjan E.1 : 2
    8Sallay P.Dalmasso G. (6)0 : 2
    9Krajci M. (5)Makk P.0 : 2
    10Gubi T.Holder C.0 : 2
    11Ivanov S.Belkovics A.2 : 1
    12Summers M.Castagnola L. (3)2 : 1
    13Rottgering M. (7)Efstathiou M.1 : 2
    14Hornung G.Drayton T.2 : 0
    15Seifert S.Andre S.0 : 2
    16Tkemaladze Z.Broady L. (2)1 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Fellin P. O. (1)Boros A.0 : 2
    2Hodkin S.Fuele M.0 : 2
    3Gusic Wan B.Popovic S.2 : 1
    4Ambarzumjan E.Dalmasso G. (6)0 : 2
    5Makk P.Holder C.2 : 1
    6Ivanov S.Summers M.0 : 2
    7Efstathiou M.Hornung G.0 : 2
    8Andre S.Broady L. (2)0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Boros A.Fuele M.0 : 2
    2Gusic Wan B.Dalmasso G. (6)0 : 2
    3Makk P.Summers M.0 : 2
    4Hornung G.Broady L. (2)0 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Fuele M.Dalmasso G. (6)2 : 0
    2Summers M.Broady L. (2)0 : 2

    Final
    1Fuele M.Broady L. (2)1 : 2