Result
0:2
22/06/2025 at 07:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Milan - Qualification, clay - Semi-finals
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Aces |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Double Faults |
|---|
| 2 | 8 |
| 1st Serve Percentage |
|---|
| 63% | 74% |
| 1st Serve Points Won |
|---|
| 48% (29/61) | 61% (34/56) |
| 2nd Serve Points Won |
|---|
| 53% (19/36) | 35% (7/20) |
| Break Points Saved |
|---|
| 54% (7/13) | 38% (3/8) |
| 1st Return Points Won |
|---|
| 39% (22/56) | 52% (32/61) |
| 2nd Return Points Won |
|---|
| 65% (13/20) | 47% (17/36) |
| Break Points Converted |
|---|
| 63% (5/8) | 46% (6/13) |
| Service Points Won |
|---|
| 49% (48/97) | 54% (41/76) |
| Return Points Won |
|---|
| 46% (35/76) | 51% (49/97) |
| Total Points Won |
|---|
| 48% (83/173) | 52% (90/173) |
| Last 10 Balls |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Match Points Saved |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Service Games Won |
|---|
| 40% (4/10) | 55% (6/11) |
| Return Games Won |
|---|
| 45% (5/11) | 60% (6/10) |
| Total Games Won |
|---|
| 43% (9/21) | 57% (12/21) |
Chances of winning
Luca Castagnola
30.2% | Max Alcala Gurri
69.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Luca Castagnola has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)Max Alcala Gurri has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Luca Castagnola than the current prediction. (-3.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Max Alcala Gurri than the current prediction. (+3.5%)
Luca Castagnola - Max Alcala Gurri Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.1 ↑
(3.05) |
|
1.34 ↑
(1.31) |
6.9%
(9.1%) | |
Preview Facts
- Castagnola is ranked ATP: 601. Alcala Gurri is ranked ATP: 385.
- Both players have been playing unpredictably.
- Alcala Gurri may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Alcala Gurri is a strong favorite.
- Recently, the players have not faced each other.
How many head-to-head matches has Luca Castagnola won against Max Alcala Gurri?
Luca Castagnola has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Max Alcala Gurri won against Luca Castagnola?
Max Alcala Gurri has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Luca Castagnola - Max Alcala Gurri were as follows:
Latest results of Luca Castagnola
Latest results of Max Alcala Gurri
Draw
Singles - Main1/16-finals| 1 | Prizmic D. (1) | Piraino G. (WC) | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Berrettini J. (Q) | Squire H. (RET.) | 1 : 0 |
| 3 | Erhard M. | Negritu Ch. | 1 : 2 |
| 4 | Martin A. | Gakhov I. (8) | 1 : 2 |
| 5 | Soto M. (4) | Pereira T. (LL) | 1 : 2 |
| 6 | Jodar R. (JR) | Giustino L. | 2 : 0 |
| 7 | Dedura D. (NG) | Gea A. | 0 : 2 |
| 8 | Roca Batalla O. (Alt) | Pacheco Mendez R. (5) | 2 : 1 |
| 9 | Ferreira Silva F. (6) | Vatutin A. (RET.) | 1 : 0 |
| 10 | Cecchinato M. (WC) | Alcala Gurri M. (Q) | 2 : 0 |
| 11 | Faurel T. (Q) | Bondioli F. (Q) | 2 : 1 |
| 12 | Fonio G. (Q) | Houkes M. (3) | 1 : 2 |
| 13 | Poljicak M. (7) | Travaglia S. | 2 : 1 |
| 14 | Santamarta Roig A. (Q) | Vasami J. (WC) | 0 : 2 |
| 15 | Prihodko O. (Alt) | Albot R. | 2 : 0 |
| 16 | Mikrut L. | Coppejans K. (2) | 2 : 0 |
1/8-finals| 1 | Prizmic D. (1) | Berrettini J. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Negritu Ch. | Gakhov I. (8) | 2 : 0 |
| 3 | Pereira T. | Jodar R. | 1 : 2 |
| 4 | Gea A. | Roca Batalla O. | 2 : 1 |
| 5 | Ferreira Silva F. (6) | Cecchinato M. | 0 : 2 |
| 6 | Faurel T. | Houkes M. (3) | 1 : 2 |
| 7 | Poljicak M. (7) | Vasami J. | 1 : 2 |
| 8 | Prihodko O. | Mikrut L. | 0 : 2 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Prizmic D. (1) | Negritu Ch. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Jodar R. | Gea A. | 2 : 1 |
| 3 | Cecchinato M. | Houkes M. (3) | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Vasami J. | Mikrut L. | 2 : 1 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Prizmic D. (1) | Jodar R. | 2 : 1 |
| 2 | Cecchinato M. | Vasami J. | 2 : 0 |
Final| 1 | Prizmic D. (1) | Cecchinato M. | 0 : 2 |
