Luca Castagnola vs Nikita Bilozertsev – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis Hersonissos 4 Challenger Men Luca Castagnola - Nikita Bilozertsev
Result
2:0
17/08/2025 at 06:50 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Hersonissos 4 - Qualification, hard - Semi-finals

Match Stats

Aces
04
Double Faults
514
1st Serve Percentage
56%47%
1st Serve Points Won
70% (23/33)58% (19/33)
2nd Serve Points Won
54% (14/26)43% (16/37)
Break Points Saved
60% (3/5)44% (4/9)
1st Return Points Won
42% (14/33)42% (14/33)
2nd Return Points Won
57% (21/37)46% (12/26)
Break Points Converted
56% (5/9)40% (2/5)
Winners
1614
Unforced Errors
2640
Net Points Won
55% (11/20)100% (3/3)
Service Points Won
61% (34/56)51% (34/67)
Return Points Won
49% (33/67)39% (22/56)
Total Points Won
54% (67/123)46% (56/123)
Last 10 Balls
82
Match Points Saved
01
Service Games Won
78% (7/9)50% (5/10)
Return Games Won
50% (5/10)22% (2/9)
Total Games Won
63% (12/19)37% (7/19)

Chances of winning


Luca Castagnola
59.3%
Nikita Bilozertsev
40.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
62.4% 37.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.8% 35.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Luca Castagnola has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)
  • Nikita Bilozertsev has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Luca Castagnola than the current prediction. (+5.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Luca Castagnola, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nikita Bilozertsev than the current prediction. (-5.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Nikita Bilozertsev, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Luca Castagnola - Nikita Bilozertsev Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.56
    (1.5)

    2.27
    (2.49)
    8.2%
    (6.8%)
    Preview Facts
    • Castagnola is ranked ATP: 575. Bilozertsev is ranked ATP: 878.
    • In recent matches, Castagnola has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Bilozertsev is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Castagnola may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Castagnola might have a minor edge in this game.
    • The players have not played against each other recently.
    Latest results of Luca Castagnola
    Latest results of Nikita Bilozertsev
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Echargui M. (1)Hara Friend J. D. (CO)2 : 1
    2Castagnola L. (LL)Tsitsipas Pa. (WC)1 : 2
    3Thanos A.Rosenkranz M.1 : 2
    4Lokoli L.Langmo C. (8)0 : 2
    5Paul J. (4)Wendelken H. (Q)2 : 0
    6Bicknell B. (PR)Potenza L. (Q)2 : 0
    7Moroni F. (Q)Andaloro F.2 : 0
    8Azoidis D. (WC)Bertrand R. (6)0 : 2
    9Sakellaridis S. (5)Giunta M. (Q)2 : 1
    10Wiskandt M.Jones M.1 : 2
    11Jodar R.Wallart E. (Q)2 : 0
    12Poullain L.Martineau M. (3)2 : 0
    13Added D. (7)Fellin P. O. (Q)2 : 0
    14Searle H.Reymond A. (Alt)2 : 0
    15Ursu V.Xilas I. (WC)1 : 2
    16Parker S.Gengel M. (2)2 : 0

    1/8-finals
    1Echargui M. (1)Tsitsipas Pa.2 : 1
    2Rosenkranz M.Langmo C. (8)2 : 1
    3Paul J. (4)Bicknell B.2 : 1
    4Moroni F.Bertrand R. (6)1 : 2
    5Sakellaridis S. (5)Jones M.2 : 1
    6Jodar R.Poullain L.2 : 0
    7Added D. (7)Searle H.2 : 0
    8Xilas I.Parker S.2 : 1

    Quarter-finals
    1Echargui M. (1)Rosenkranz M.2 : 0
    2Paul J. (4)Bertrand R. (6)1 : 2
    3Sakellaridis S. (5)Jodar R.0 : 2
    4Added D. (7)Xilas I.2 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1Echargui M. (1)Bertrand R. (6)2 : 0
    2Jodar R.Added D. (7)0 : 2

    Final
    1Echargui M. (1)Added D. (RET.) (7)1 : 1