Luca Castagnola vs Stefano DAgostino – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis ITF M15 Store Men Luca Castagnola - Stefano DAgostino
Result
2:1
03/07/2025 at 05:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Store, clay - 1/8-finals

Match Stats

Last 10 Balls
55

Chances of winning


Luca Castagnola
66.1%
Stefano DAgostino
33.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
58.9% 41.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.9% 39.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Luca Castagnola has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Luca Castagnola's performance.
  • Stefano DAgostino has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Stefano DAgostino might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Luca Castagnola than the current prediction. (-5.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Luca Castagnola that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stefano DAgostino than the current prediction. (+5.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Stefano DAgostino could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Luca Castagnola - Stefano DAgostino Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.42
    (1.57)

    2.76
    (2.25)
    6.6%
    (8.1%)
    Preview Facts
    • Castagnola is ranked ATP: 589. DAgostino is ranked ATP: 838.
    • Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Castagnola may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Castagnola is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • The players have not played against each other recently.
    Latest results of Luca Castagnola
    Draw
    2025

    1/16-finals
    1Cadenasso G. (1)Dominko S.2 : 0
    2Sakellaridis D.Prechtel S.2 : 0
    3Vukadin N.Kovac T.2 : 0
    4Simundza J.Rocha F. (7)0 : 2
    5Castagnola L. (4)Obrul L.2 : 0
    6Basic N.D'Agostino S.0 : 2
    7Filar K.Borrelli L.0 : 2
    8Kupcic J.Hurrion M. (8)1 : 2
    9Knaff A. (6)Staeheli L.0 : 2
    10Pillonel C.Jilly A.0 : 2
    11Falabella L. A.Schlagenhauf N.2 : 0
    12de Marchi A.Bielinskyi V. (3)0 : 2
    13Ferrari G. (5)Rahmani K.2 : 1
    14Marcondes I.Sekachov G. (RET.)1 : 0
    15Balshaw F.Mashtakov N.2 : 0
    16Pieri S.Artnak B. (2)0 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Cadenasso G. (1)Sakellaridis D.2 : 0
    2Vukadin N.Rocha F. (7)0 : 2
    3Castagnola L. (4)D'Agostino S.2 : 1
    4Borrelli L.Hurrion M. (8)0 : 2
    5Staeheli L.Jilly A.0 : 2
    6Falabella L. A.Bielinskyi V. (3)2 : 1
    7Ferrari G. (RET.) (5)Marcondes I.0 : 1
    8Balshaw F.Artnak B. (2)0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Cadenasso G. (1)Rocha F. (7)2 : 0
    2Castagnola L. (4)Hurrion M. (8)0 : 2
    3Jilly A.Falabella L. A.2 : 0
    4Marcondes I.Artnak B. (2)0 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Cadenasso G. (1)Hurrion M. (8)2 : 0
    2Jilly A.Artnak B. (2)1 : 2

    Final
    1Cadenasso G. (1)Artnak B. (2)0 : 2