Luca Castagnola vs Stijn Slump – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis ITF M15 Oegstgeest Men Luca Castagnola - Stijn Slump
Result
1:2
01/05/2025 at 05:40 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Oegstgeest, clay - 1/8-finals

Match Stats

Last 10 Balls
46

Chances of winning


Luca Castagnola
44.3%
Stijn Slump
55.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
50% 50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52% 48%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Luca Castagnola has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Luca Castagnola's form might have worsened.
  • Stijn Slump has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Stijn Slump's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Luca Castagnola than the current prediction. (+7.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Luca Castagnola, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stijn Slump than the current prediction. (-7.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Stijn Slump, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Luca Castagnola - Stijn Slump Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.09
    (1.83)

    1.67
    (1.83)
    7.8%
    (9.3%)
    Preview Facts
    • Castagnola is ranked ATP: 654. Slump is ranked ATP: 540.
    • Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Castagnola could have an advantage in physical - more days for rest in the last days.
    • In this match, the chances to achieve triumph for both players are almost equal.
    • Recently, the players did not play each other.
    Latest results of Luca Castagnola
    Latest results of Stijn Slump
    25.04.2025 Alex Molcan - Stijn Slump 2:0
    24.04.2025 Daniel Lara Salmeron - Stijn Slump Lara Salmeron D. retired
    Draw
    2025

    1/16-finals
    1Negritu Ch. (1)Zick S.2 : 0
    2Raynel A.Vasa E.1 : 2
    3Demanet E.Castagnola L.1 : 2
    4Lootsma N.Slump S. (6)0 : 2
    5Gerch L. (4)Rottgering M.2 : 0
    6Forger A.Loge J.2 : 0
    7Rocens M.Pel S.0 : 2
    8Marionneau L.Bailly G. A. (8)0 : 2
    9Reymond A. (7)Visser M.2 : 0
    10Bol J.Sperle J.1 : 2
    11Thurner N. (LL)Balciunas M.0 : 2
    12Forejtek J.Feldbausch K. (3)0 : 2
    13Jorda Sanchis D. (5)Hjorth P.2 : 1
    14Lane L.Visker N.0 : 2
    15Schoenhaus M.Bozemoj B.0 : 2
    16Wessels L.Zakharov A. (2)0 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Negritu Ch. (1)Vasa E.2 : 0
    2Castagnola L.Slump S. (6)1 : 2
    3Gerch L. (4)Forger A.0 : 2
    4Pel S.Bailly G. A. (8)0 : 2
    5Reymond A. (RET.) (7)Sperle J.0 : 1
    6Balciunas M.Feldbausch K. (3)1 : 2
    7Jorda Sanchis D. (5)Visker N.2 : 1
    8Bozemoj B.Zakharov A. (2)2 : 0

    Quarter-finals
    1Negritu Ch. (1)Slump S. (6)2 : 0
    2Forger A.Bailly G. A. (8)1 : 2
    3Sperle J.Feldbausch K. (3)0 : 2
    4Jorda Sanchis D. (5)Bozemoj B.2 : 1

    Semi-finals
    1Negritu Ch. (1)Bailly G. A. (8)1 : 2
    2Feldbausch K. (3)Jorda Sanchis D. (5)0 : 2

    Final
    1Bailly G. A. (8)Jorda Sanchis D. (5)2 : 0