Luca Castelnuovo vs Bogdan Bobrov – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis ITF M15 Bali 4 Men Luca Castelnuovo - Bogdan Bobrov
Result
2:0
24/12/2024 at 22:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Bali 4 (Indonesia), hard - 1/8-finals

Match Stats

Last 10 Balls
64

Chances of winning


Luca Castelnuovo
28.7%
Bogdan Bobrov
71.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
36.1% 63.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.4% 66.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Luca Castelnuovo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Luca Castelnuovo's form might have worsened.
  • Bogdan Bobrov has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Bogdan Bobrov's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Luca Castelnuovo than the current prediction. (+4.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bogdan Bobrov than the current prediction. (-4.7%)
  • Luca Castelnuovo - Bogdan Bobrov Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.23
    (2.56)

    1.3
    (1.45)
    8.2%
    (8.2%)
    Preview Facts
    • Castelnuovo is ranked ATP: 825. Bobrov is ranked ATP: 437.
    • Recent matches Castelnuovo is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Bobrov is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • Castelnuovo could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • In this match Bobrov is a favorite.
    • Our prediction for today's Bobrov to win the game is with odds 1.38.
    • Recently, the players did not play each other.
    Latest results of Luca Castelnuovo
    Latest results of Bogdan Bobrov
    Draw
    2024

    1/16-finals
    1Escoffier A. (1)Charlton J. (Q)1 : 2
    2Susanto A.Yamasaki J. (Q)0 : 2
    3Sumizawa D. (Q)Masabayashi T.1 : 2
    4Leong M. W. K.Adams H. (6)2 : 1
    5Echargui M. (4)Tamm K. (Q)0 : 2
    6Yamanaka T. (Q)Arutiunian E.0 : 2
    7Hurrion M.Lee D. H.0 : 2
    8Tokuda R.Weber A. (8)1 : 2
    9Hudd E. (5)Jones M.2 : 1
    10Bittoun C.Barki N. A. (RET.)1 : 0
    11Castelnuovo L.Iutkin I.2 : 0
    12Trongcharoenchaikul W.Bobrov B. (3)0 : 2
    13Saitoh K. (7)M Rifqi F.1 : 2
    14Ochi M.Nakagawa S. (Q)0 : 2
    15Matsuoka H. (Q)Lee J. (Q)2 : 0
    16Chung H.Hussey G. (2)0 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Charlton J.Yamasaki J.2 : 1
    2Masabayashi T.Leong M. W. K.1 : 2
    3Tamm K.Arutiunian E.2 : 0
    4Lee D. H.Weber A. (8)0 : 2
    5Hudd E. (5)Bittoun C.2 : 0
    6Castelnuovo L.Bobrov B. (3)2 : 0
    7M Rifqi F.Nakagawa S.1 : 2
    8Matsuoka H.Hussey G. (2)2 : 1

    Quarter-finals
    1Charlton J.Leong M. W. K.2 : 0
    2Tamm K.Weber A. (8)0 : 2
    3Hudd E. (5)Castelnuovo L.1 : 2
    4Nakagawa S.Matsuoka H.0 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Charlton J.Weber A. (8)0 : 2
    2Castelnuovo L.Matsuoka H.1 : 2

    Final
    1Weber A. (8)Matsuoka H.1 : 2