Luca Castelnuovo vs Duck Hee Lee – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis Shenzhen 4 Challenger Men Luca Castelnuovo - Duck Hee Lee
Result
2:0
11/10/2025 at 23:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Shenzhen 4 - Qualification, hard - Semi-finals

Match Stats

Aces
82
Double Faults
35
1st Serve Percentage
56%58%
1st Serve Points Won
86% (24/28)59% (22/37)
2nd Serve Points Won
59% (13/22)56% (15/27)
Break Points Saved
100% (1/1)70% (7/10)
1st Return Points Won
43% (16/37)39% (11/28)
2nd Return Points Won
44% (12/27)41% (9/22)
Break Points Converted
30% (3/10)0% (0/1)
Service Points Won
74% (37/50)57% (36/63)
Return Points Won
43% (27/63)26% (13/50)
Total Points Won
57% (64/113)43% (49/113)
Last 10 Balls
55
Match Points Saved
02
Service Games Won
100% (9/9)67% (6/9)
Return Games Won
33% (3/9)0% (0/9)
Total Games Won
67% (12/18)33% (6/18)

Chances of winning


Luca Castelnuovo
74.6%
Duck Hee Lee
25.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
59.6% 40.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.6% 40.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Luca Castelnuovo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Luca Castelnuovo's performance.
  • Duck Hee Lee has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-15%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Duck Hee Lee might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Luca Castelnuovo than the current prediction. (-15%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Luca Castelnuovo that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Duck Hee Lee than the current prediction. (+15%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Duck Hee Lee could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Luca Castelnuovo - Duck Hee Lee Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.3
    (1.56)

    3.83
    (2.3)
    2.8%
    (7.6%)
    Preview Facts
    • Castelnuovo is ranked ATP: 409. Lee is ranked ATP: 720.
    • Castelnuovo has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Lee has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Castelnuovo is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Castelnuovo won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:5. (average 1:1.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Luca Castelnuovo - Duck Hee Lee were as follows:
    27.02.2025 Duck Hee Lee - Luca Castelnuovo 1:2
    06.09.2023 Luca Castelnuovo - Duck Hee Lee 1:2
    05.07.2023 Luca Castelnuovo - Duck Hee Lee 0:2
    Latest results of Luca Castelnuovo
    22.09.2025 Lloyd Harris - Luca Castelnuovo Castelnuovo L. retired
    19.09.2025 Omar Jasika - Luca Castelnuovo Jasika O. retired
    Latest results of Duck Hee Lee
    09.09.2025 Seungmin Park - Duck Hee Lee Park S. retired
    29.08.2025 Sam Ryan Ziegann - Duck Hee Lee Lee D. H. retired
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Rocha H. (1)Castelnuovo L. (Q)2 : 0
    2Mo Y. C. (Q)Sultanov K.2 : 0
    3Kotov P.Zhang T. (WC)2 : 0
    4Cui J. (WC)McCabe J. (5)2 : 0
    5Kubler J. (4)Sun F.0 : 2
    6Chung H.Te R. (RET.) (WC)1 : 0
    7Zhou Y.Wang X. (Q)2 : 0
    8Wang A. (Q)Shimizu Y. (7)2 : 1
    9Noguchi R. (8)Uchida K.1 : 2
    10Samrej K.Jung J. (PR)0 : 2
    11Jasika O.Uchiyama Y. (RET.)1 : 0
    12Dev S D P. (Q)Jacquet K. (3)0 : 2
    13Shimabukuro S. (6)Bar Biryukov P.2 : 0
    14Fomin S. (Q)Weber A.2 : 0
    15Honda N. (JR)Ferreira Silva F.1 : 2
    16Harris L.Mayot H. (2)0 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Rocha H. (1)Mo Y. C.0 : 2
    2Kotov P.Cui J.1 : 2
    3Sun F.Chung H.2 : 0
    4Zhou Y. (WO.)Wang A.
    5Uchida K.Jung J. (RET.)1 : 0
    6Jasika O.Jacquet K. (3)1 : 2
    7Shimabukuro S. (6)Fomin S.2 : 1
    8Ferreira Silva F.Mayot H. (2)0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Mo Y. C.Cui J.0 : 2
    2Sun F.Zhou Y.0 : 2
    3Uchida K.Jacquet K. (3)1 : 2
    4Shimabukuro S. (6)Mayot H. (2)2 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1Cui J.Zhou Y.1 : 2
    2Jacquet K. (3)Shimabukuro S. (6)2 : 1

    Final
    1Zhou Y.Jacquet K. (3)