Luca Castelnuovo vs Fajing Sun – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis ITF M25 Anning Men Luca Castelnuovo - Fajing Sun
Result
0:2
02/08/2023 at 21:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 ANNING (CHINA), CLAY - 1/8-FINALS

Chances of winning


Luca Castelnuovo
32.3%
Fajing Sun
67.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
38.5% 61.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.4% 61.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Luca Castelnuovo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Luca Castelnuovo's form might have worsened.
  • Fajing Sun has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Fajing Sun's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Luca Castelnuovo than the current prediction. (+6.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Luca Castelnuovo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fajing Sun than the current prediction. (-6.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Fajing Sun, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Luca Castelnuovo - Fajing Sun Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.87
    (2.41)

    1.37
    (1.51)
    7.8%
    (7.9%)
    Preview Facts
    • Castelnuovo in the last match got a series victories and it is an a fantastic form (in the last 5 games wins - 5).
    • Recent matches Sun is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Sun could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • Sun will have a small advantage in this match.
    • Recently, the players did not play each other.
    Latest results of Luca Castelnuovo
    Latest results of Fajing Sun
    Draw
    2025

    1/16-finals
    1Bai Y. (1)Lee K.2 : 1
    2Yu B.Castelnuovo L.0 : 2
    3Ferguson C.Vithoontien L.2 : 0
    4Li W.Haliak M. (5)0 : 2
    5Brumm J. (4)Du Y.2 : 0
    6Yang X.Sun S. J.2 : 0
    7Lee D. H.Chen X. D.0 : 2
    8Zhao L.Zhang T. (7)2 : 0
    9Trongcharoenchaikul W. (6)Xu W.2 : 0
    10Sim S.Jeong Y.1 : 2
    11Jin Y.Hongyu Y.0 : 2
    12Gibson J. L.Shin S. (3)0 : 2
    13Masabayashi T. (8)Santillan A.0 : 2
    14Li Z.Inui Y.1 : 2
    15Okamura I.Lomakin G.1 : 2
    16Chiu J.Shin W. (2)0 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Bai Y. (1)Castelnuovo L.2 : 0
    2Ferguson C.Haliak M. (5)0 : 2
    3Brumm J. (4)Yang X.2 : 0
    4Chen X. D.Zhao L.2 : 1
    5Trongcharoenchaikul W. (6)Jeong Y.2 : 0
    6Hongyu Y.Shin S. (3)0 : 2
    7Santillan A.Inui Y.0 : 2
    8Lomakin G.Shin W. (2)0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Bai Y. (1)Haliak M. (5)2 : 0
    2Brumm J. (4)Chen X. D.2 : 0
    3Trongcharoenchaikul W. (6)Shin S. (3)1 : 2
    4Inui Y.Shin W. (2)0 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Bai Y. (1)Brumm J. (4)2 : 0
    2Shin S. (3)Shin W. (2)2 : 0

    Final
    1Bai Y. (1)Shin S. (3)2 : 1