Result
0:2
26/08/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Zhangjiagang, hard - 1/16-finals
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Aces |
|---|
| 9 | 6 |
| Double Faults |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| 1st Serve Percentage |
|---|
| 48% | 59% |
| 1st Serve Points Won |
|---|
| 81% (26/32) | 87% (41/47) |
| 2nd Serve Points Won |
|---|
| 53% (18/34) | 48% (16/33) |
| Break Points Saved |
|---|
| 75% (3/4) | 100% (8/8) |
| 1st Return Points Won |
|---|
| 13% (6/47) | 19% (6/32) |
| 2nd Return Points Won |
|---|
| 52% (17/33) | 47% (16/34) |
| Break Points Converted |
|---|
| 0% (0/8) | 25% (1/4) |
| Service Points Won |
|---|
| 67% (44/66) | 71% (57/80) |
| Return Points Won |
|---|
| 29% (23/80) | 33% (22/66) |
| Total Points Won |
|---|
| 46% (67/146) | 54% (79/146) |
| Last 10 Balls |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Match Points Saved |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Service Games Won |
|---|
| 90% (9/10) | 100% (11/11) |
| Return Games Won |
|---|
| 0% (0/11) | 10% (1/10) |
| Total Games Won |
|---|
| 43% (9/21) | 57% (12/21) |
Chances of winning
Luca Castelnuovo
48% | Kaichi Uchida
52% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Luca Castelnuovo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Luca Castelnuovo's form might have worsened.Kaichi Uchida has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Kaichi Uchida's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Luca Castelnuovo than the current prediction. (+10.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Luca Castelnuovo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kaichi Uchida than the current prediction. (-10.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Kaichi Uchida, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Luca Castelnuovo - Kaichi Uchida Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.92 ↑
(1.67) |
|
1.82 ↓
(2.1) |
7%
(7.8%) | |
What is the prediction for Luca Castelnuovo - Kaichi Uchida?
Users Predictions:
Kaichi Uchida will win
(4 of 5 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 44.94% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
Preview Facts
- Castelnuovo is ranked ATP: 486. Uchida is ranked ATP: 579.
- Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- Castelnuovo may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.
- The players have not played against each other recently.
How many head-to-head matches has Luca Castelnuovo won against Kaichi Uchida?
Luca Castelnuovo has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Kaichi Uchida won against Luca Castelnuovo?
Kaichi Uchida has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Luca Castelnuovo - Kaichi Uchida were as follows:
Latest results of Luca Castelnuovo
Latest results of Kaichi Uchida
Draw
Singles - Main1/16-finals| 1 | Tomic B. (1) | Sekulic P. (PR) | 1 : 2 |
| 2 | Binda A. | Tokuda R. (Alt) | 1 : 2 |
| 3 | Yevseyev D. | Moriya H. | 1 : 2 |
| 4 | Imamura M. | Crawford O. (6) | 0 : 2 |
| 5 | Sun F. (4) | Mo Y. C. (WC) | 2 : 1 |
| 6 | Shin S. | Shin W. | 2 : 0 |
| 7 | Fomin S. (Alt) | Isomura K. | 0 : 2 |
| 8 | Cui J. | Gea A. (8) | 2 : 1 |
| 9 | Simakin I. (7) | Wu Tung-Lin | 2 : 0 |
| 10 | Charlton J. (Q) | Te R. (WC) | 2 : 1 |
| 11 | Peliwo F. (Q) | Bar Biryukov P. | 2 : 0 |
| 12 | Watt J. (LL) | Shimabukuro S. (3) | 1 : 2 |
| 13 | Uchiyama Y. (5) | Kikuchi Y. (Q) | 2 : 1 |
| 14 | Uesugi K. (RET.) (Q) | Huang T. (Q) | 1 : 1 |
| 15 | Castelnuovo L. (Alt) | Uchida K. (Q) | 0 : 2 |
| 16 | Xiao L. (WC) | Noguchi R. (2) | 0 : 2 |
1/8-finals| 1 | Sekulic P. | Tokuda R. | 0 : 2 |
| 2 | Moriya H. | Crawford O. (6) | 1 : 2 |
| 3 | Sun F. (4) | Shin S. | 0 : 2 |
| 4 | Isomura K. | Cui J. | 2 : 1 |
| 5 | Simakin I. (7) | Charlton J. | 2 : 0 |
| 6 | Peliwo F. | Shimabukuro S. (3) | 0 : 2 |
| 7 | Uchiyama Y. (5) | Huang T. | 2 : 0 |
| 8 | Uchida K. | Noguchi R. (2) | 2 : 0 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Tokuda R. | Crawford O. (6) | 1 : 2 |
| 2 | Shin S. | Isomura K. | 1 : 2 |
| 3 | Simakin I. (7) | Shimabukuro S. (3) | 0 : 2 |
| 4 | Uchiyama Y. (5) | Uchida K. | 2 : 0 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Crawford O. (6) | Isomura K. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Shimabukuro S. (3) | Uchiyama Y. (5) | 2 : 0 |
Final| 1 | Crawford O. (6) | Shimabukuro S. (3) | 1 : 2 |
