Result
2:0
17/09/2025 at 22:40 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Guiyang, hard - 1/8-finals
Chances of winning
Luca Castelnuovo
64% | Kuan-Yi Lee
36% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Luca Castelnuovo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)Kuan-Yi Lee has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Luca Castelnuovo than the current prediction. (+0.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kuan-Yi Lee than the current prediction. (-0.3%)
Luca Castelnuovo - Kuan-Yi Lee Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.45 ↓
(1.49) |
|
2.58 ↑
(2.47) |
7.7%
(7.6%) | |
Preview Facts
- Castelnuovo is ranked ATP: 465. Lee is ranked ATP: 704.
- Castelnuovo is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Lee's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Lee may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Castelnuovo is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.
How many head-to-head matches has Luca Castelnuovo won against Kuan-Yi Lee?
Luca Castelnuovo has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Kuan-Yi Lee won against Luca Castelnuovo?
Kuan-Yi Lee has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Luca Castelnuovo - Kuan-Yi Lee were as follows:
Latest results of Luca Castelnuovo
Latest results of Kuan-Yi Lee
Draw
20251/16-finals| 1 | Jasika O. (1) | Dong Z. | 2 : 1 |
| 2 | Liu H. | Mo Y. C. | 0 : 2 |
| 3 | Zeng Y. | Tang S. | 2 : 1 |
| 4 | Wang X. | Shin W. (RET.) (8) | 0 : 0 |
| 5 | Yevseyev D. (4) | Zhu E. | 2 : 1 |
| 6 | Hazawa S. | Trongcharoenchaikul W. | 0 : 2 |
| 7 | Castelnuovo L. | Jin Y. | 2 : 0 |
| 8 | Lee K. | Wang Q. (LL) | 2 : 0 |
| 9 | Binda A. (5) | Lee D. H. | 2 : 1 |
| 10 | Shin M. | Ferguson C. | 0 : 2 |
| 11 | Vujic S. | Sun Qian | 2 : 1 |
| 12 | Alvarado P. | Bar Biryukov P. (3) | 0 : 2 |
| 13 | Huang T. (7) | Yang X. | 2 : 0 |
| 14 | Zhao Z. | Santillan A. | 0 : 2 |
| 15 | Tang J. | Leong M. W. K. | 1 : 2 |
| 16 | Tan J. D. | Sharipov M. (2) | 0 : 2 |
1/8-finals| 1 | Jasika O. (1) | Mo Y. C. | 2 : 1 |
| 2 | Zeng Y. | Wang X. | 1 : 2 |
| 3 | Yevseyev D. (4) | Trongcharoenchaikul W. | 2 : 1 |
| 4 | Castelnuovo L. | Lee K. | 2 : 0 |
| 5 | Binda A. (5) | Ferguson C. | 1 : 2 |
| 6 | Vujic S. | Bar Biryukov P. (3) | 1 : 2 |
| 7 | Huang T. (7) | Santillan A. | 0 : 2 |
| 8 | Leong M. W. K. | Sharipov M. (2) | 0 : 2 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Jasika O. (1) | Wang X. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Yevseyev D. (4) | Castelnuovo L. | 1 : 2 |
| 3 | Ferguson C. | Bar Biryukov P. (3) | 1 : 2 |
| 4 | Santillan A. | Sharipov M. (2) | 2 : 1 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Jasika O. (RET.) (1) | Castelnuovo L. | 1 : 1 |
| 2 | Bar Biryukov P. (WO.) (3) | Santillan A. | |
Final| 1 | Castelnuovo L. | Bar Biryukov P. (3) | 2 : 0 |
