Omar Jasika vs Luca Castelnuovo – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis ITF M25 Guiyang Men Omar Jasika - Luca Castelnuovo
Result
Jasika O. retired
19/09/2025 at 23:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Guiyang, hard - Semi-finals

Match Stats

Last 10 Balls
37

Chances of winning


Omar Jasika
50.8%
Luca Castelnuovo
49.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
55.1% 44.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56% 44%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Omar Jasika has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)
  • Luca Castelnuovo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Omar Jasika than the current prediction. (+5.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Omar Jasika, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Luca Castelnuovo than the current prediction. (-5.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Luca Castelnuovo, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Omar Jasika - Luca Castelnuovo Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.84
    (1.66)

    1.9
    (2.04)
    7.1%
    (9.3%)
    Preview Facts
    • Jasika is ranked ATP: 233. Castelnuovo is ranked ATP: 465.
    • Jasika has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Castelnuovo is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Castelnuovo may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Jasika won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Omar Jasika - Luca Castelnuovo were as follows:
    09.09.2025 Luca Castelnuovo - Omar Jasika 2:0
    Latest results of Omar Jasika
    Latest results of Luca Castelnuovo
    Draw
    2025

    1/16-finals
    1Jasika O. (1)Dong Z.2 : 1
    2Liu H.Mo Y. C.0 : 2
    3Zeng Y.Tang S.2 : 1
    4Wang X.Shin W. (RET.) (8)0 : 0
    5Yevseyev D. (4)Zhu E.2 : 1
    6Hazawa S.Trongcharoenchaikul W.0 : 2
    7Castelnuovo L.Jin Y.2 : 0
    8Lee K.Wang Q. (LL)2 : 0
    9Binda A. (5)Lee D. H.2 : 1
    10Shin M.Ferguson C.0 : 2
    11Vujic S.Sun Qian2 : 1
    12Alvarado P.Bar Biryukov P. (3)0 : 2
    13Huang T. (7)Yang X.2 : 0
    14Zhao Z.Santillan A.0 : 2
    15Tang J.Leong M. W. K.1 : 2
    16Tan J. D.Sharipov M. (2)0 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Jasika O. (1)Mo Y. C.2 : 1
    2Zeng Y.Wang X.1 : 2
    3Yevseyev D. (4)Trongcharoenchaikul W.2 : 1
    4Castelnuovo L.Lee K.2 : 0
    5Binda A. (5)Ferguson C.1 : 2
    6Vujic S.Bar Biryukov P. (3)1 : 2
    7Huang T. (7)Santillan A.0 : 2
    8Leong M. W. K.Sharipov M. (2)0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Jasika O. (1)Wang X.2 : 0
    2Yevseyev D. (4)Castelnuovo L.1 : 2
    3Ferguson C.Bar Biryukov P. (3)1 : 2
    4Santillan A.Sharipov M. (2)2 : 1

    Semi-finals
    1Jasika O. (RET.) (1)Castelnuovo L.1 : 1
    2Bar Biryukov P. (WO.) (3)Santillan A.

    Final
    1Castelnuovo L.Bar Biryukov P. (3)2 : 0