Result
0:2
02/05/2025 at 14:40 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Estoril, clay - Quarter-finals
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Aces |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Double Faults |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| 1st Serve Percentage |
|---|
| 48% | 68% |
| 1st Serve Points Won |
|---|
| 68% (19/28) | 69% (29/42) |
| 2nd Serve Points Won |
|---|
| 47% (14/30) | 65% (13/20) |
| Break Points Saved |
|---|
| 50% (3/6) | 67% (2/3) |
| 1st Return Points Won |
|---|
| 31% (13/42) | 32% (9/28) |
| 2nd Return Points Won |
|---|
| 35% (7/20) | 53% (16/30) |
| Break Points Converted |
|---|
| 33% (1/3) | 50% (3/6) |
| Winners |
|---|
| 15 | 18 |
| Unforced Errors |
|---|
| 30 | 26 |
| Net Points Won |
|---|
| 50% (2/4) | 44% (4/9) |
| Service Points Won |
|---|
| 57% (33/58) | 68% (42/62) |
| Return Points Won |
|---|
| 32% (20/62) | 43% (25/58) |
| Total Points Won |
|---|
| 44% (53/120) | 56% (67/120) |
| Last 10 Balls |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Match Points Saved |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Service Games Won |
|---|
| 67% (6/9) | 90% (9/10) |
| Return Games Won |
|---|
| 10% (1/10) | 33% (3/9) |
| Total Games Won |
|---|
| 37% (7/19) | 63% (12/19) |
Chances of winning
Luca Nardi
52% | Alex Michelsen
48% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Luca Nardi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Luca Nardi's performance.Alex Michelsen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Alex Michelsen might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Luca Nardi than the current prediction. (-14.8%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Luca Nardi that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alex Michelsen than the current prediction. (+14.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Alex Michelsen could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Luca Nardi - Alex Michelsen Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.81 ↓
(2.3) |
|
1.95 ↑
(1.55) |
6.4%
(8%) | |
What is the prediction for Luca Nardi - Alex Michelsen?
Users Predictions:
21 users predict this event. Nardi will win (votes: 16 - 76.2%). Michelsen will win (votes: 5 - 23.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Nardi: 58% – 94.4%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Nardi (votes: 2 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- Nardi is ranked ATP: 100. Michelsen is ranked ATP: 38.
- Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.
- Nardi may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Michelsen might have a minor edge in this game.
- Recently, there has been no match between the players.
How many head-to-head matches has Luca Nardi won against Alex Michelsen?
Luca Nardi has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Alex Michelsen won against Luca Nardi?
Alex Michelsen has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Luca Nardi - Alex Michelsen were as follows:
Latest results of Luca Nardi
Latest results of Alex Michelsen
Draw
Singles - Main1/16-finals| 1 | Auger-Aliassime F. (1) | Bye | |
| 2 | Lajovic D. (Alt) | Pellegrino A. (Q) | 1 : 2 |
| 3 | Tien L. | Elias G. (WC) | 1 : 2 |
| 4 | Rocha H. (WC) | Jarry N. (7) | 1 : 2 |
| 5 | Giron M. (4) | Bye | |
| 6 | Vukic A. | Moreno De Alboran N. (Alt) | 2 : 1 |
| 7 | Faria J. | Zapata Miralles B. (LL) | 0 : 2 |
| 8 | De Jong J. | Fonseca J. (8) | 2 : 0 |
| 9 | Kecmanovic M. (5) | Struff J-L. | 2 : 0 |
| 10 | Coppejans K. (Alt) | Yevseyev D. (LL) | 0 : 2 |
| 11 | Zeppieri G. (Q) | Fucsovics M. | 1 : 2 |
| 12 | Bye | Borges N. (3) | |
| 13 | Martinez P. (6) | Vatutin A. (Q) | 0 : 2 |
| 14 | Nardi L. | Kovacevic A. | 2 : 0 |
| 15 | Hanfmann Y. (Alt) | Fonio G. (Q) | 0 : 2 |
| 16 | Bye | Michelsen A. (2) | |
1/8-finals| 1 | Auger-Aliassime F. (1) | Pellegrino A. | 0 : 2 |
| 2 | Elias G. | Jarry N. (7) | 1 : 2 |
| 3 | Giron M. (4) | Vukic A. | 0 : 2 |
| 4 | Zapata Miralles B. | De Jong J. | 2 : 0 |
| 5 | Kecmanovic M. (5) | Yevseyev D. | 2 : 1 |
| 6 | Fucsovics M. | Borges N. (3) | 1 : 2 |
| 7 | Vatutin A. | Nardi L. | 0 : 2 |
| 8 | Fonio G. | Michelsen A. (2) | 0 : 2 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Pellegrino A. | Jarry N. (7) | 2 : 1 |
| 2 | Vukic A. | Zapata Miralles B. | 2 : 0 |
| 3 | Kecmanovic M. (5) | Borges N. (3) | 2 : 1 |
| 4 | Nardi L. | Michelsen A. (2) | 0 : 2 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Pellegrino A. | Vukic A. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Kecmanovic M. (5) | Michelsen A. (2) | 0 : 2 |
Final| 1 | Pellegrino A. | Michelsen A. (2) | 0 : 2 |
