Luca Nardi vs Arthur Rinderknech – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

05/04/2025 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

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ATP - SINGLES: Monte Carlo - Qualification, clay - Semi-finals

Match Stats


Aces
1	2
Double Faults
5	0
1st Serve Percentage
49%	47%
1st Serve Points Won
42% (11/26)	79% (22/28)
2nd Serve Points Won
56% (15/27)	39% (12/31)
Break Points Saved
17% (1/6)	25% (1/4)
1st Return Points Won
25% (7/28)	58% (15/26)
2nd Return Points Won
61% (19/31)	44% (12/27)
Break Points Converted
75% (3/4)	83% (5/6)
Winners
11	16
Unforced Errors
27	32
Net Points Won
0% (0/0)	63% (10/16)
Service Points Won
49% (26/53)	58% (34/59)
Return Points Won
42% (25/59)	51% (27/53)
Total Points Won
46% (51/112)	54% (61/112)
Last 10 Balls
2	8
Match Points Saved
0	0
Service Games Won
50% (5/10)	70% (7/10)
Return Games Won
30% (3/10)	50% (5/10)
Total Games Won
40% (8/20)	60% (12/20)

Chances of winning

Luca Nardi
55.9%

Arthur Rinderknech
44.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.7%

49.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Luca Nardi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Luca Nardi's performance.

Arthur Rinderknech has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Arthur Rinderknech might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Luca Nardi than the current prediction. (-5.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Luca Nardi that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arthur Rinderknech than the current prediction. (+5.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Arthur Rinderknech could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Luca Nardi - Arthur Rinderknech Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.67 ↓ (1.89)		2.12 ↑ (1.89)	7.2% (5.8%)

What is the prediction for Luca Nardi - Arthur Rinderknech?

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Nardi will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Rinderknech will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Nardi (votes: 1 - 50%). Rinderknech (votes: 1 - 50%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.

Preview Facts

Nardi is ranked ATP: 93. Rinderknech is ranked ATP: 74.
Both players have a series of defeats in the last matches.
Nardi could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
The chances to win of two players are almost the same in this match.
Last 1 head-to-head matches Nardi won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:2

How many head-to-head matches has Luca Nardi won against Arthur Rinderknech?

Luca Nardi has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Arthur Rinderknech won against Luca Nardi?

Arthur Rinderknech has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Luca Nardi - Arthur Rinderknech were as follows:

07.02.2023 Luca Nardi - Arthur Rinderknech 0:2

Latest results of Luca Nardi

01.04.2025 Luca Nardi - Marton Fucsovics 0:2 ✺

12.03.2025 Luca Nardi - Kei Nishikori 0:2 ✺

05.03.2025 Cameron Norrie - Luca Nardi 2:0 ✺

27.02.2025 Luca Nardi - Quentin Halys 1:2 ✺

26.02.2025 Luca Nardi - Zizou Bergs 2:0 ✺

Latest results of Arthur Rinderknech

19.03.2025 Arthur Rinderknech - Jaume Munar 0:2 ✺

12.03.2025 Arthur Rinderknech - Reilly Opelka 1:2 ✺

06.03.2025 Arthur Rinderknech - Nuno Borges 1:2 ✺

24.02.2025 Arthur Rinderknech - Casper Ruud 0:2 ✺

12.02.2025 Arthur Rinderknech - Cameron Norrie 0:2 ✺

Draw

Singles - Main

1/32-finals

1	Zverev A. (1)	Bye
2	Navone M. (Q)	Berrettini M.	0 : 2
3	Lehecka J.	Korda S.	2 : 0
4	Bu Y. (Q)	Musetti L. (13)	1 : 2
5	Rune H. (RET.) (10)	Borges N.	0 : 1
6	Sonego L.	Martinez P.	1 : 2
7	Thompson J.	Mpetshi Perricard G.	2 : 0
8	Bye	Tsitsipas S. (6)
9	Djokovic N. (3)	Bye
10	Wawrinka S. (WC)	Tabilo A.	1 : 2
11	Struff J-L.	Vacherot V. (WC)	0 : 2
12	Jarry N.	Dimitrov G. (15)	0 : 2
13	Medvedev D. (9)	Khachanov K.	2 : 1
14	Muller A.	Ugo Carabelli C. (Q)	2 : 0
15	Machac T.	Baez S.	2 : 1
16	Bye	De Minaur A. (8)
17	Draper J. (5)	Bye
18	Giron M.	Shapovalov D.	2 : 0
19	Etcheverry T. M.	Moutet C. (Q)	2 : 1
20	Davidovich Fokina A.	Shelton B. (11)	2 : 1
21	Tiafoe F. (14)	Kecmanovic M.	2 : 1
22	Popyrin A.	Humbert U.	2 : 1
23	Bautista-Agut R.	Nakashima B.	2 : 0
24	Bye	Ruud C. (4)
25	Rublev A. (7)	Bye
26	Monfils G.	Marozsan F. (Q)	2 : 1
27	Lajovic D. (Q)	Cobolli F.	0 : 2
28	Griekspoor T.	Fils A. (12)	1 : 2
29	Auger-Aliassime F. (16)	Altmaier D. (Q)	0 : 2
30	Arnaldi M.	Gasquet R. (WC)	1 : 2
31	Fognini F. (WC)	Cerundolo F.	0 : 2
32	Bye	Alcaraz C. (2)

1/16-finals

1	Zverev A. (1)	Berrettini M.	1 : 2
2	Lehecka J.	Musetti L. (13)	1 : 2
3	Borges N.	Martinez P.	2 : 1
4	Thompson J.	Tsitsipas S. (6)	1 : 2
5	Djokovic N. (3)	Tabilo A.	0 : 2
6	Vacherot V.	Dimitrov G. (15)	1 : 2
7	Medvedev D. (9)	Muller A.	2 : 1
8	Machac T.	De Minaur A. (8)	1 : 2
9	Draper J. (5)	Giron M.	2 : 0
10	Etcheverry T. M.	Davidovich Fokina A.	0 : 2
11	Tiafoe F. (14)	Popyrin A.	1 : 2
12	Bautista-Agut R.	Ruud C. (4)	0 : 2
13	Rublev A. (7)	Monfils G.	2 : 0
14	Cobolli F.	Fils A. (12)	0 : 2
15	Altmaier D.	Gasquet R.	2 : 1
16	Cerundolo F.	Alcaraz C. (2)	1 : 2

1/8-finals

1	Berrettini M.	Musetti L. (13)	0 : 2
2	Borges N.	Tsitsipas S. (6)	0 : 2
3	Tabilo A.	Dimitrov G. (15)	1 : 2
4	Medvedev D. (9)	De Minaur A. (8)	0 : 2
5	Draper J. (5)	Davidovich Fokina A.	1 : 2
6	Popyrin A.	Ruud C. (4)	2 : 1
7	Rublev A. (7)	Fils A. (12)	0 : 2
8	Altmaier D.	Alcaraz C. (2)	0 : 2

Quarter-finals

1	Musetti L. (13)	Tsitsipas S. (6)	2 : 1
2	Dimitrov G. (15)	De Minaur A. (8)	0 : 2
3	Davidovich Fokina A.	Popyrin A.	2 : 0
4	Fils A. (12)	Alcaraz C. (2)	1 : 2

Semi-finals

1	Musetti L. (13)	De Minaur A. (8)	2 : 1
2	Davidovich Fokina A.	Alcaraz C. (2)	0 : 2

Final

1

Musetti L. (13)

Alcaraz C. (2)

1 : 2