Luca Nardi vs Elias Ymer – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis Perugia Challenger Men Luca Nardi - Elias Ymer
Result
2:0
11/06/2025 at 14:55 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Perugia, clay - 1/8-finals

Match Stats

Aces
51
Double Faults
11
1st Serve Percentage
69%80%
1st Serve Points Won
85% (29/34)69% (27/39)
2nd Serve Points Won
53% (8/15)30% (3/10)
Break Points Saved
100% (1/1)0% (0/3)
1st Return Points Won
31% (12/39)21% (7/34)
2nd Return Points Won
70% (7/10)47% (7/15)
Break Points Converted
100% (3/3)0% (0/1)
Service Points Won
76% (37/49)61% (30/49)
Return Points Won
39% (19/49)24% (12/49)
Total Points Won
57% (56/98)43% (42/98)
Last 10 Balls
64
Match Points Saved
00
Service Games Won
100% (9/9)67% (6/9)
Return Games Won
33% (3/9)0% (0/9)
Total Games Won
67% (12/18)33% (6/18)

Chances of winning


Luca Nardi
66.3%
Elias Ymer
33.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
57.1% 42.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.5% 43.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Luca Nardi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Luca Nardi's performance.
  • Elias Ymer has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Elias Ymer might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Luca Nardi than the current prediction. (-9.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Luca Nardi that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Elias Ymer than the current prediction. (+9.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Elias Ymer could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Luca Nardi - Elias Ymer Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.41
    (1.64)

    2.72
    (2.18)
    7.9%
    (6.8%)
    What is the prediction for Luca Nardi - Elias Ymer?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Nardi (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Users Predictions: Luca Nardi will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 100%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Nardi is ranked ATP: 98. Ymer is ranked ATP: 260.
    • Both players have been playing unpredictably.
    • Nardi might have a minor edge in this game.
    • Recently, there has been no match between the players.
    Latest results of Luca Nardi
    Latest results of Elias Ymer
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Pellegrino A. (9)Piraino G. (Q)2 : 1
    2Sachko V.Bondioli F. (Q)1 : 2
    3Durasovic V.Campana Lee G. (Q)2 : 1
    4Maestrelli F.Passaro F. (7)0 : 2
    5Nardi L. (3)Purtseladze S. (Alt)2 : 0
    6Ymer E.Zeppieri G. (WC)2 : 0
    7Carboni L. (WC)Pavlovic L.0 : 2
    8Marti Pujolras A. (LL)Daniel T. (8)1 : 2
    9Svrcina D. (5)Rincon D. (RET.)1 : 0
    10Travaglia S. (Alt)Tomic B.2 : 0
    11Roca Batalla O. (Q)Fatic N. (Q)1 : 2
    12Sakamoto R.Lajovic D. (4)0 : 2
    13Wawrinka S. (6)Albot R.0 : 2
    14Basile P. (Q)Sanchez Jover C.2 : 0
    15Cecchinato M. (LL)Pacheco Mendez R.0 : 2
    16Arnaboldi F.Picchione A. (LL)2 : 1

    1/8-finals
    1Pellegrino A. (9)Bondioli F.2 : 0
    2Durasovic V.Passaro F. (7)0 : 2
    3Nardi L. (3)Ymer E.2 : 0
    4Pavlovic L.Daniel T. (8)2 : 1
    5Svrcina D. (5)Travaglia S.2 : 0
    6Fatic N.Lajovic D. (4)2 : 0
    7Albot R.Basile P.0 : 2
    8Pacheco Mendez R.Arnaboldi F.0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Pellegrino A. (9)Passaro F. (7)2 : 0
    2Nardi L. (3)Pavlovic L.2 : 0
    3Svrcina D. (5)Fatic N.0 : 2
    4Basile P.Arnaboldi F.2 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1Pellegrino A. (9)Nardi L. (3)2 : 0
    2Fatic N.Basile P.2 : 0

    Final
    1Pellegrino A. (9)Fatic N.2 : 0