Fabian Marozsan vs Luca Nardi – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis ATP Almaty Fabian Marozsan - Luca Nardi
Result
2:0
13/10/2025 at 02:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ATP - SINGLES: Almaty, hard - 1/16-finals

Match Stats

Aces
86
Double Faults
14
1st Serve Percentage
78%57%
1st Serve Points Won
74% (35/47)64% (25/39)
2nd Serve Points Won
62% (8/13)53% (16/30)
Break Points Saved
50% (1/2)50% (3/6)
Average 1st Serve Speed
0 km/h0 km/h
Average 2nd Serve Speed
0 km/h0 km/h
1st Return Points Won
36% (14/39)26% (12/47)
2nd Return Points Won
47% (14/30)38% (5/13)
Break Points Converted
50% (3/6)50% (1/2)
Winners
1712
Unforced Errors
169
Net Points Won
100% (7/0)43% (3/7)
Service Points Won
72% (43/60)59% (41/69)
Return Points Won
41% (28/69)28% (17/60)
Total Points Won
55% (71/129)45% (58/129)
Last 10 Balls
82
Match Points Saved
00
Service Games Won
90% (9/10)73% (8/11)
Return Games Won
27% (3/11)10% (1/10)
Total Games Won
57% (12/21)43% (9/21)

Chances of winning


Fabian Marozsan
69.5%
Luca Nardi
30.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
62.8% 37.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.5% 34.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Fabian Marozsan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Fabian Marozsan's performance.
  • Luca Nardi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Luca Nardi might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fabian Marozsan than the current prediction. (-4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Luca Nardi than the current prediction. (+4%)
  • Fabian Marozsan - Luca Nardi Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.38
    (1.51)

    3.12
    (2.55)
    4.8%
    (5.4%)
    What is the prediction for Fabian Marozsan - Luca Nardi?
  • Users Predictions: 19 users predict this event. Marozsan will win (votes: 18 - 94.7%). Nardi will win (votes: 1 - 5.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Marozsan: 84.6%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Fabian Marozsan will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Marozsan is ranked ATP: 52. Nardi is ranked ATP: 88.
    • Marozsan has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Nardi's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Marozsan may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Marozsan is seen as the favorite.
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Marozsan won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:1. (average 2.3:0.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Fabian Marozsan - Luca Nardi were as follows:
    25.05.2025 Fabian Marozsan - Luca Nardi 3:0
    18.09.2024 Luca Nardi - Fabian Marozsan 0:2
    03.05.2023 Luca Nardi - Fabian Marozsan 1:2
    Latest results of Fabian Marozsan
    Latest results of Luca Nardi
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Khachanov K. (1)Bye
    2Struff J-L.McDonald M.2 : 1
    3Djere L.Shevchenko A.0 : 2
    4Tomic B. (Q)Moutet C. (8)0 : 2
    5Darderi L. (4)Bye
    6Cazaux A.Mochizuki S.0 : 2
    7Vukic A.Topo M. (Q)2 : 1
    8Zhukayev B. (WC)Michelsen A. (6)0 : 2
    9Diallo G. (7)Omarkhanov A. (WC)2 : 0
    10Blanchet U. (Q)Duckworth J. (Q)0 : 2
    11Hijikata R. (LL)Skatov T. (WC)2 : 1
    12ByeCobolli F. (3)
    13Nakashima B. (5)Medjedovic H.2 : 0
    14Marozsan F.Nardi L.2 : 0
    15Schoolkate T.Walton A.1 : 2
    16ByeMedvedev D. (2)

    1/8-finals
    1Khachanov K. (1)Struff J-L.1 : 2
    2Shevchenko A.Moutet C. (8)0 : 2
    3Darderi L. (4)Mochizuki S.0 : 2
    4Vukic A.Michelsen A. (6)0 : 2
    5Diallo G. (7)Duckworth J.1 : 2
    6Hijikata R.Cobolli F. (3)0 : 2
    7Nakashima B. (5)Marozsan F.0 : 2
    8Walton A.Medvedev D. (2)0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Struff J-L.Moutet C. (8)0 : 2
    2Mochizuki S.Michelsen A. (6)1 : 2
    3Duckworth J.Cobolli F. (3)2 : 0
    4Marozsan F.Medvedev D. (2)0 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Moutet C. (8)Michelsen A. (6)2 : 0
    2Duckworth J.Medvedev D. (2)1 : 2

    Final
    1Moutet C. (8)Medvedev D. (2)