Luca Nardi vs Jan Choinski – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis Helsinki Challenger Men Luca Nardi - Jan Choinski
Result
2:0
08/11/2024 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Helsinki (Finland), hard (indoor) - Quarter-finals

Match Stats

Aces
11
Double Faults
34
1st Serve Percentage
56%54%
1st Serve Points Won
57% (17/30)66% (21/32)
2nd Serve Points Won
71% (17/24)30% (8/27)
Break Points Saved
50% (3/6)38% (3/8)
1st Return Points Won
34% (11/32)43% (13/30)
2nd Return Points Won
70% (19/27)29% (7/24)
Break Points Converted
63% (5/8)50% (3/6)
Service Points Won
63% (34/54)49% (29/59)
Return Points Won
51% (30/59)37% (20/54)
Total Points Won
57% (64/113)43% (49/113)
Last 10 Balls
91
Match Points Saved
00
Service Games Won
70% (7/10)44% (4/9)
Return Games Won
56% (5/9)30% (3/10)
Total Games Won
63% (12/19)37% (7/19)

Chances of winning


Luca Nardi
53.3%
Jan Choinski
46.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
57.6% 42.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.5% 41.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Luca Nardi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)
  • Jan Choinski has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Luca Nardi than the current prediction. (+5.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Luca Nardi, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jan Choinski than the current prediction. (-5.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Jan Choinski, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Luca Nardi - Jan Choinski Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.76
    (1.61)

    2.01
    (2.19)
    6.7%
    (7.6%)
    What is the prediction for Luca Nardi - Jan Choinski?
  • Users Predictions: Luca Nardi will win (12 of 14 users predict this - 85.71%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 67.38%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Nardi is ranked ATP: 102. Choinski is ranked ATP: 185.
    • Two players are playing changeable.
    • Choinski could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both players.
    • Recently, the players did not play each other.
    Latest results of Luca Nardi
    06.11.2024 Luca Nardi - Goncalo Oliveira Oliveira G. retired
    30.10.2024 Luca Nardi - Dino Prizmic 0:2
    15.10.2024 Luca Nardi - Javier Barranco Cosano Nardi L. retired
    Latest results of Jan Choinski
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Berankis R. (LL)Squire H.0 : 2
    2Pellegrino A.Gautier A. (Q)2 : 0
    3Rehberg M. H. (Q)Blancaneaux G. (Q)2 : 1
    4Rodriguez Taverna S.Marterer M. (8)0 : 2
    5Fearnley J. (4)Royer V.2 : 0
    6Kachmazov A.Nava E.0 : 2
    7Nishikori K.Alvarez Varona N. (Q)2 : 0
    8Shelbayh A. (Q)Kym J. (7)0 : 2
    9Kukushkin M. (6)Arnaboldi F. (Alt)0 : 2
    10Yevseyev D.Ojakaar O. (WC)2 : 0
    11Kaukovalta P. (WC)Paldanius O. (WC)2 : 1
    12Molleker R. (Alt)Virtanen O. (3)0 : 2
    13Nardi L. (5)Oliveira G. (RET.) (SE)1 : 0
    14Holmgren A.Butvilas E.2 : 0
    15Kopp S. (Q)Choinski J.0 : 2
    16Fonseca J.Sels J. (LL)2 : 0

    1/8-finals
    1Squire H.Pellegrino A.2 : 0
    2Rehberg M. H.Marterer M. (8)2 : 0
    3Fearnley J. (4)Nava E.2 : 0
    4Nishikori K.Kym J. (7)2 : 1
    5Arnaboldi F.Yevseyev D.0 : 2
    6Kaukovalta P.Virtanen O. (3)0 : 2
    7Nardi L. (5)Holmgren A.2 : 0
    8Choinski J.Fonseca J.2 : 1

    Quarter-finals
    1Squire H.Rehberg M. H.0 : 2
    2Fearnley J. (4)Nishikori K.0 : 2
    3Yevseyev D.Virtanen O. (3)2 : 0
    4Nardi L. (5)Choinski J.2 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1Rehberg M. H.Nishikori K.1 : 2
    2Yevseyev D.Nardi L. (5)1 : 2

    Final
    1Nishikori K.Nardi L. (5)2 : 1