Luca Nardi vs Mariano Navone – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis Turin 2 Challenger Men Luca Nardi - Mariano Navone
Result
2:1
14/05/2025 at 13:55 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Turin 2, clay - 1/16-finals

Match Stats

Aces
13
Double Faults
13
1st Serve Percentage
60%74%
1st Serve Points Won
64% (41/64)55% (47/85)
2nd Serve Points Won
48% (20/42)37% (11/30)
Break Points Saved
63% (10/16)47% (7/15)
1st Return Points Won
45% (38/85)36% (23/64)
2nd Return Points Won
63% (19/30)52% (22/42)
Break Points Converted
53% (8/15)38% (6/16)
Winners
2627
Unforced Errors
3449
Net Points Won
79% (15/19)80% (8/10)
Service Points Won
57% (61/107)50% (60/119)
Return Points Won
50% (59/119)43% (46/107)
Total Points Won
53% (120/226)47% (106/226)
Last 10 Balls
82
Match Points Saved
00
Service Games Won
60% (9/15)50% (8/16)
Return Games Won
50% (8/16)40% (6/15)
Total Games Won
55% (17/31)45% (14/31)

Chances of winning


Luca Nardi
29.5%
Mariano Navone
70.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
40.5% 59.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.8% 61.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Luca Nardi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Luca Nardi's form might have worsened.
  • Mariano Navone has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Mariano Navone's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Luca Nardi than the current prediction. (+9.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Luca Nardi, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mariano Navone than the current prediction. (-9.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Mariano Navone, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Luca Nardi - Mariano Navone Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.15
    (2.29)

    1.32
    (1.55)
    7.3%
    (8.1%)
    What is the prediction for Luca Nardi - Mariano Navone?
  • Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Nardi will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). Navone will win (votes: 8 - 88.9%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Navone: 68.4%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Nardi is ranked ATP: 95. Navone is ranked ATP: 99.
    • Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Navone will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • Recently, there has been no match between the players.
    Latest results of Luca Nardi
    Latest results of Mariano Navone
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Cobolli F. (1)Bye
    2Collarini A. (Alt)Huesler M. (Alt)2 : 0
    3Cerundolo J. M.Cina F. (WC)2 : 0
    4Pellegrino A. (Q)Altmaier D. (6)0 : 2
    5Etcheverry T. M. (3)Bye
    6Spizzirri E.Sachko V. (Q)0 : 2
    7Arnaboldi F. (Alt)Quinn E.2 : 1
    8Gigante M. (Alt)Bublik A. (8)0 : 2
    9Ugo Carabelli C. (5)Virtanen O. (Alt)2 : 0
    10Nardi L.Navone M.2 : 1
    11Vasami J. (WC)Tseng C. H.0 : 2
    12ByeSanchez Jover C. (LL)
    13Bu Y. (7)Fonio G. (Q)2 : 0
    14Prihodko O. (Q)Fognini F.0 : 2
    15Gomez F. A. (Alt)Passaro F.1 : 2
    16ByeDarderi L. (2)

    1/8-finals
    1Cobolli F. (1)Collarini A.2 : 0
    2Cerundolo J. M.Altmaier D. (6)0 : 2
    3Etcheverry T. M. (3)Sachko V.2 : 0
    4Arnaboldi F.Bublik A. (8)1 : 2
    5Ugo Carabelli C. (5)Nardi L.2 : 0
    6Tseng C. H.Sanchez Jover C. (LL)2 : 0
    7Bu Y. (7)Fognini F.2 : 0
    8Passaro F.Darderi L. (2)2 : 0

    Quarter-finals
    1Cobolli F. (1)Altmaier D. (6)0 : 2
    2Etcheverry T. M. (3)Bublik A. (8)1 : 2
    3Ugo Carabelli C. (5)Tseng C. H.2 : 1
    4Bu Y. (7)Passaro F. (RET.)0 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1Altmaier D. (6)Bublik A. (8)0 : 2
    2Ugo Carabelli C. (5)Bu Y. (7)0 : 2

    Final
    1Bublik A. (8)Bu Y. (7)2 : 0