Sebastian Ofner vs Luca Nardi – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

01/10/2025 at 00:40 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

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ATP - SINGLES: Shanghai, hard - 1/64-finals

Match Stats


Aces
7	5
Double Faults
2	5
1st Serve Percentage
56%	60%
1st Serve Points Won
73% (32/44)	78% (38/49)
2nd Serve Points Won
59% (20/34)	56% (18/32)
Break Points Saved
67% (6/9)	88% (7/8)
1st Return Points Won
22% (11/49)	27% (12/44)
2nd Return Points Won
44% (14/32)	41% (14/34)
Break Points Converted
13% (1/8)	33% (3/9)
Service Points Won
67% (52/78)	69% (56/81)
Return Points Won
31% (25/81)	33% (26/78)
Total Points Won
48% (77/159)	52% (82/159)
Last 10 Balls
2	8
Match Points Saved
0	0
Service Games Won
77% (10/13)	92% (12/13)
Return Games Won
8% (1/13)	23% (3/13)
Total Games Won
42% (11/26)	58% (15/26)

Chances of winning

Sebastian Ofner
44.4%

Luca Nardi
55.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.4%

48.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sebastian Ofner has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sebastian Ofner's form might have worsened.

Luca Nardi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Luca Nardi's recent form is better than expected.

Sebastian Ofner - Luca Nardi Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.15 ↑ (1.78)		1.73 ↓ (1.88)	4.2% (9.4%)

What is the prediction for Sebastian Ofner - Luca Nardi?

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Ofner (votes: 1 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Luca Nardi will win (8 of 10 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 55.21% – 100%.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.

Preview Facts

Ofner is ranked ATP: 137. Nardi is ranked ATP: 85.
Nardi has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
Nardi may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.
In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Ofner won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1. (average 2:0.5).

How many head-to-head matches has Sebastian Ofner won against Luca Nardi?

Sebastian Ofner has won 2 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Luca Nardi won against Sebastian Ofner?

Luca Nardi has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Sebastian Ofner - Luca Nardi were as follows:

19.09.2023 Luca Nardi - Sebastian Ofner 0:2

17.01.2023 Luca Nardi - Sebastian Ofner 1:2

Latest results of Sebastian Ofner

25.08.2025 Sebastian Ofner - Casper Ruud 0:3 ✺

17.08.2025 Sebastian Ofner - Vit Kopriva 1:2 ✺

08.08.2025 Sebastian Ofner - Valentin Royer 1:2 ✺

27.07.2025 Sebastian Ofner - Reilly Opelka 0:2 ✺

22.07.2025 Sebastian Ofner - Jan-Lennard Struff 0:2 ✺

Latest results of Luca Nardi

22.09.2025 Luca Nardi - Matteo Arnaldi 1:2 ✺

17.09.2025 Aleksandar Kovacevic - Luca Nardi Canceled ✺

24.08.2025 Luca Nardi - Tomas Machac 0:3 ✺

13.08.2025 Luca Nardi - Carlos Alcaraz Garfia 0:2 ✺

12.08.2025 Jakub Mensik - Luca Nardi Mensik J. retired ✺

Draw

Singles - Main

1/64-finals

1	Moutet C. (33)	Bye
2	Tien L.	Kecmanovic M.	2 : 1
3	Cazaux A.	Martinez P.	2 : 1
4	Bye	Norrie C. (30)
5	Davidovich Fokina A. (18)	Bye
6	Arnaldi M.	Sakamoto R. (Q)	2 : 0
7	Wu Y. (RET.) (WC)	Svrcina D. (Q)	0 : 1
8	Bye	Medvedev D. (16)
9	Khachanov K. (9)	Bye
10	Kovacevic A.	Shang J. (WC)	1 : 2
11	Van De Zandschulp B.	Borges N.	0 : 2
12	Bye	Vukic A. (LL)
13	Nakashima B. (29)	Bye
14	Majchrzak K.	Quinn E.	2 : 0
15	Ugo Carabelli C.	Atmane T. (RET.)	0 : 0
16	Bye	De Minaur A. (7)
17	Zverev A. (3)	Bye
18	Royer V. (Q)	Navone M.	2 : 1
19	Rinderknech A.	Medjedovic H. (RET.)	0 : 1
20	Bye	Michelsen A. (28)
21	Shapovalov D. (23)	Bye
22	Dzumhur D.	O'Connell C.	0 : 2
23	McDonald M. (LL)	Halys Q.	0 : 2
24	Bye	Lehecka J. (15)
25	Auger-Aliassime F. (12)	Bye
26	Giron M.	Tabilo A. (Q)	0 : 2
27	Zhou Y. (WC)	De Jong J.	1 : 2
28	Bye	Mensik J. (17)
29	Darderi L. (26)	Bye
30	Bu Y.	Cerundolo J. M.	2 : 1
31	Comesana F.	Blanchet U. (Q)	2 : 0
32	Bye	Musetti L. (8)
33	Shelton B. (6)	Bye
34	Goffin D.	Muller A.	2 : 1
35	Opelka R.	Bonzi B.	0 : 2
36	Bye	Diallo G. (31)
37	Cerundolo F. (19)	Bye
38	Mannarino A.	Berrettini M.	2 : 0
39	Korda S.	Bergs Z.	0 : 2
40	Bye	Ruud C. (11)
41	Rublev A. (13)	Bye
42	Nishioka Y. (Q)	Shevchenko A.	2 : 0
43	Munar J.	Fucsovics M.	2 : 1
44	Bye	Cobolli F. (22)
45	Tiafoe F. (25)	Bye
46	Sonego L.	Hanfmann Y. (Q)	1 : 2
47	Cilic M.	Basilashvili N. (Q)	2 : 0
48	Bye	Djokovic N. (4)
49	Fritz T. (5)	Bye
50	Marozsan F.	Wawrinka S. (WC)	2 : 1
51	Ofner S. (PR)	Nardi L.	1 : 2
52	Bye	Mpetshi Perricard G. (32)
53	Humbert U. (21)	Bye
54	Thompson J.	Holmgren A. (Q)	2 : 1
55	Zhang Z. (WC)	Baez S.	1 : 2
56	Bye	Rune H. (10)
57	Bublik A. (14)	Bye
58	Djere L.	Vacherot V. (Q)	0 : 2
59	Walton A.	Bellucci M.	0 : 2
60	Bye	Machac T. (20)
61	Griekspoor T. (27)	Bye
62	Brooksby J. (PR)	Trotter J. K. (Q)	2 : 0
63	Schoolkate T. (Q)	Altmaier D.	0 : 2
64	Bye	Sinner J. (2)

1/32-finals

1	Moutet C. (33)	Tien L.	1 : 2
2	Cazaux A.	Norrie C. (30)	1 : 2
3	Davidovich Fokina A. (18)	Arnaldi M.	2 : 0
4	Svrcina D.	Medvedev D. (16)	0 : 2
5	Khachanov K. (9)	Shang J.	0 : 2
6	Borges N.	Vukic A.	2 : 0
7	Nakashima B. (29)	Majchrzak K.	0 : 2
8	Ugo Carabelli C.	De Minaur A. (7)	0 : 2
9	Zverev A. (3)	Royer V.	2 : 0
10	Rinderknech A.	Michelsen A. (28)	2 : 0
11	Shapovalov D. (23)	O'Connell C.	2 : 0
12	Halys Q.	Lehecka J. (15)	0 : 2
13	Auger-Aliassime F. (12)	Tabilo A.	2 : 0
14	De Jong J.	Mensik J. (17)	2 : 1
15	Darderi L. (26)	Bu Y.	2 : 0
16	Comesana F.	Musetti L. (8)	0 : 2
17	Shelton B. (6)	Goffin D.	0 : 2
18	Bonzi B.	Diallo G. (31)	0 : 2
19	Cerundolo F. (19)	Mannarino A.	2 : 0
20	Bergs Z.	Ruud C. (RET.) (11)	1 : 1
21	Rublev A. (13)	Nishioka Y.	1 : 2
22	Munar J.	Cobolli F. (22)	2 : 0
23	Tiafoe F. (25)	Hanfmann Y.	1 : 2
24	Cilic M.	Djokovic N. (4)	0 : 2
25	Fritz T. (5)	Marozsan F.	2 : 1
26	Nardi L.	Mpetshi Perricard G. (32)	0 : 2
27	Humbert U. (21)	Thompson J.	2 : 0
28	Baez S.	Rune H. (10)	0 : 2
29	Bublik A. (14)	Vacherot V.	1 : 2
30	Bellucci M.	Machac T. (20)	0 : 2
31	Griekspoor T. (27)	Brooksby J.	2 : 1
32	Altmaier D.	Sinner J. (2)	0 : 2

1/16-finals

1	Tien L.	Norrie C. (30)	2 : 0
2	Davidovich Fokina A. (18)	Medvedev D. (16)	0 : 2
3	Shang J.	Borges N.	1 : 2
4	Majchrzak K.	De Minaur A. (7)	0 : 2
5	Zverev A. (3)	Rinderknech A.	1 : 2
6	Shapovalov D. (23)	Lehecka J. (15)	0 : 2
7	Auger-Aliassime F. (12)	De Jong J.	2 : 0
8	Darderi L. (26)	Musetti L. (8)	0 : 2
9	Goffin D. (RET.)	Diallo G. (31)	0 : 0
10	Cerundolo F. (19)	Bergs Z.	0 : 2
11	Nishioka Y.	Munar J.	1 : 2
12	Hanfmann Y.	Djokovic N. (4)	1 : 2
13	Fritz T. (5)	Mpetshi Perricard G. (32)	0 : 2
14	Humbert U. (21)	Rune H. (10)	0 : 2
15	Vacherot V.	Machac T. (RET.) (20)	1 : 0
16	Griekspoor T. (27)	Sinner J. (RET.) (2)	1 : 1

1/8-finals

1	Tien L.	Medvedev D. (16)	1 : 2
2	Borges N.	De Minaur A. (7)	0 : 2
3	Rinderknech A.	Lehecka J. (15)	2 : 0
4	Auger-Aliassime F. (12)	Musetti L. (8)	2 : 0
5	Diallo G. (31)	Bergs Z.	1 : 2
6	Munar J.	Djokovic N. (4)	1 : 2
7	Mpetshi Perricard G. (32)	Rune H. (10)	1 : 2
8	Vacherot V.	Griekspoor T. (27)	2 : 1

Quarter-finals

1	Medvedev D. (16)	De Minaur A. (7)	2 : 0
2	Rinderknech A.	Auger-Aliassime F. (12)	2 : 0
3	Bergs Z.	Djokovic N. (4)	0 : 2
4	Rune H. (10)	Vacherot V.	1 : 2

Semi-finals

1	Medvedev D. (16)	Rinderknech A.	1 : 2
2	Djokovic N. (4)	Vacherot V.	0 : 2

Final

1

Rinderknech A.

Vacherot V.

1 : 2