Luca Nardi vs Valentin Royer – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:2
07/04/2026 at 10:05 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Monza, clay - 1/16-finals

Match Stats

Aces
84
Double Faults
40
1st serve percentage
66%59%
1st serve points won
65% (41/63)65% (31/48)
2nd serve points won
41% (13/32)61% (20/33)
Break Points Saved
9/134/7
1st return points won
35% (17/48)35% (22/63)
2nd return points won
39% (13/33)59% (19/32)
Break Points Converted
3/74/13
Winners
2819
Unforced errors
4028
Net points won
60% (3/5)46% (12/26)
Service Points Won
57% (54/95)63% (51/81)
Return Points Won
37% (30/81)43% (41/95)
Total Points Won
48% (84/176)52% (92/176)
Last 10 balls
37
Match points saved
30
Service games won
67% (8/12)75% (9/12)
Return games won
25% (3/12)33% (4/12)
Total games won
46% (11/24)54% (13/24)

Chances of winning


Luca Nardi
45.4%
Valentin Royer
54.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
41.1% 58.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.2% 55.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Luca Nardi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)
  • Valentin Royer has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Luca Nardi than the current prediction. (-1.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Valentin Royer than the current prediction. (+1.2%)
  • Luca Nardi - Valentin Royer Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.07
    (2.25)

    1.71
    (1.57)
    7%
    (8.1%)
    What is the prediction for Luca Nardi - Valentin Royer?
  • Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Nardi will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%). Royer will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Nardi: 50.6%100%.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Luca Nardi will win (2 of 2 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Nardi is ranked ATP: 140. Royer is ranked ATP: 71.
    • Nardi is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • In recent matches, Royer has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Royer may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Royer will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Nardi won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.
    Latest results of Luca Nardi
    Latest results of Valentin Royer