Result
2:0
17/03/2026 at 12:40 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Heraklion, hard - 1/16-finals
Chances of winning
Luca Potenza
65.3% | Luca Castagnola
34.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Luca Potenza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)Luca Castagnola has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Luca Potenza than the current prediction. (+7.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Luca Potenza, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Luca Castagnola than the current prediction. (-7.3%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Luca Castagnola, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Luca Potenza - Luca Castagnola Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.42 ↑
(1.35) |
|
2.66 ↓
(2.86) |
8.1%
(9.4%) | |
Preview Facts
- Potenza is ranked ATP: 426. Castagnola is ranked ATP: 672.
- Recent form of Potenza has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- In recent matches, Castagnola has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Potenza may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Potenza is seen as the favorite.
- In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Potenza won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:4. (average 1:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Luca Potenza won against Luca Castagnola?
Luca Potenza has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Luca Castagnola won against Luca Potenza?
Luca Castagnola has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Luca Potenza - Luca Castagnola were as follows:
15.03.2024
Luca Castagnola
-
Luca Potenza
2:0
09.03.2024
Luca Castagnola
-
Luca Potenza
0:2
13.02.2024
Luca Castagnola
-
Luca Potenza
2:0
28.09.2022
Luca Potenza
-
Luca Castagnola
2:0
Latest results of Luca Potenza
Latest results of Luca Castagnola
Draw
20261/16-finals| 1 | Coulibaly E. (1) | Sik M. E. (Q) | 2 : 1 |
| 2 | Hopp M. | Steiner M. | 2 : 0 |
| 3 | Tailleu P. A. (Q) | Sakellaridis D. | 0 : 2 |
| 4 | Kumstat J. (RET.) | Lopez Morillo I. (8) | 0 : 1 |
| 5 | Geerts M. (3) | Markovina D. (Q) | 2 : 1 |
| 6 | Vales A. | Schinas S. | 2 : 0 |
| 7 | Sesko Z. | Jones M. | 0 : 2 |
| 8 | Boogaard T. | Papoe R. M. (7) | 2 : 1 |
| 9 | Searle H. (6) | Rejchtman Vinciguerra W. (Q) | 2 : 0 |
| 10 | Kountourakis I. | Smiej Y. (Q) | 1 : 2 |
| 11 | Tsitsipas Pe. | Dussin L. | 1 : 2 |
| 12 | Staeheli L. | Xilas I. (4) | 0 : 2 |
| 13 | Stewart H. (5) | Crowther C. (LL) | 2 : 0 |
| 14 | Nicod J. | Mitalas G. | 2 : 0 |
| 15 | Falck R. (Q) | Elamin A. (Q) | 2 : 1 |
| 16 | Jones A. (Q) | Bertrand R. (2) | 0 : 2 |
1/8-finals| 1 | Coulibaly E. (1) | Hopp M. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Sakellaridis D. | Lopez Morillo I. (8) | 1 : 2 |
| 3 | Geerts M. (3) | Vales A. | 2 : 1 |
| 4 | Jones M. | Boogaard T. | 0 : 2 |
| 5 | Searle H. (6) | Smiej Y. | 2 : 0 |
| 6 | Dussin L. | Xilas I. (4) | 1 : 2 |
| 7 | Stewart H. (5) | Nicod J. | 0 : 2 |
| 8 | Falck R. | Bertrand R. (2) | 0 : 2 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Coulibaly E. (1) | Lopez Morillo I. (8) | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Geerts M. (3) | Boogaard T. | 2 : 0 |
| 3 | Searle H. (6) | Xilas I. (4) | 2 : 1 |
| 4 | Nicod J. | Bertrand R. (2) | 0 : 2 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Coulibaly E. (1) | Geerts M. (3) | 0 : 2 |
| 2 | Searle H. (6) | Bertrand R. (2) | 2 : 0 |
Final| 1 | Geerts M. (3) | Searle H. (6) | |
