Luca Potenza vs Lucas Poullain – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis ITF M25 Porto Men Luca Potenza - Lucas Poullain
Result
0:2
26/07/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Porto, hard - Semi-finals

Match Stats

Last 10 Balls
37

Chances of winning


Luca Potenza
41.6%
Lucas Poullain
58.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
50% 50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.8% 45.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Luca Potenza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Luca Potenza's form might have worsened.
  • Lucas Poullain has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Lucas Poullain's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Luca Potenza than the current prediction. (+13.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Luca Potenza, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lucas Poullain than the current prediction. (-13.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Lucas Poullain, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Luca Potenza - Lucas Poullain Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.23
    (1.83)

    1.59
    (1.83)
    8%
    (9.3%)
    Preview Facts
    • Potenza is ranked ATP: 517. Poullain is ranked ATP: 387.
    • Now, both players are in good form.
    • Potenza may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Potenza won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.
    Latest results of Luca Potenza
    Latest results of Lucas Poullain
    Draw
    2025

    1/16-finals
    1Moro Canas A. (1)Graca J.2 : 0
    2Parker S.Moroni F.0 : 2
    3Polmans M.Nefve A.2 : 0
    4Dhamne M.Lokoli L. (7)0 : 2
    5Elias G. (4)Silva T.2 : 0
    6Rossi L.Forcano I.1 : 2
    7Searle H.Ursu V.2 : 0
    8Freire Da Silva A.Andaloro F. (5)1 : 2
    9Rosenkranz M. (6)Potenza L.0 : 2
    10Pinho T.Maia H.1 : 2
    11Leote Prata V.Batista D.2 : 0
    12Torres T.Added D. (RET.) (3)1 : 1
    13Poullain L. (8)Rocha F.2 : 0
    14Morais D.Marques D.1 : 2
    15Braithwaite T.Malige M.0 : 2
    16Fernandez Flores D.Echargui M. (2)1 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Moro Canas A. (1)Moroni F.0 : 2
    2Polmans M.Lokoli L. (7)0 : 2
    3Elias G. (4)Forcano I.2 : 0
    4Searle H.Andaloro F. (5)1 : 2
    5Potenza L.Maia H.2 : 0
    6Leote Prata V.Torres T.0 : 2
    7Poullain L. (8)Marques D.2 : 0
    8Malige M.Echargui M. (2)2 : 0

    Quarter-finals
    1Moroni F.Lokoli L. (7)1 : 2
    2Elias G. (4)Andaloro F. (5)2 : 0
    3Potenza L.Torres T.2 : 1
    4Poullain L. (8)Malige M.2 : 1

    Semi-finals
    1Lokoli L. (7)Elias G. (WO.) (4)
    2Potenza L.Poullain L. (8)0 : 2

    Final
    1Elias G. (4)Poullain L. (8)2 : 1