Luca Potenza vs Maks Kasnikowski – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis Alicante Challenger Men Luca Potenza - Maks Kasnikowski
Result
1:2
29/09/2025 at 05:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Alicante - Qualification, hard - Final

Match Stats

Aces
613
Double Faults
42
1st Serve Percentage
61%56%
1st Serve Points Won
79% (48/61)85% (46/54)
2nd Serve Points Won
51% (20/39)50% (21/42)
Break Points Saved
70% (7/10)50% (1/2)
1st Return Points Won
15% (8/54)25% (15/61)
2nd Return Points Won
50% (21/42)49% (19/39)
Break Points Converted
50% (1/2)30% (3/10)
Service Points Won
68% (68/100)69% (66/95)
Return Points Won
31% (29/95)32% (32/100)
Total Points Won
50% (97/195)50% (98/195)
Last 10 Balls
55
Match Points Saved
00
Service Games Won
80% (12/15)94% (15/16)
Return Games Won
6% (1/16)20% (3/15)
Total Games Won
42% (13/31)58% (18/31)

Chances of winning


Luca Potenza
45.9%
Maks Kasnikowski
54.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
50% 50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.2% 48.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Luca Potenza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)
  • Maks Kasnikowski has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Luca Potenza than the current prediction. (+5.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Luca Potenza, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Maks Kasnikowski than the current prediction. (-5.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Maks Kasnikowski, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Luca Potenza - Maks Kasnikowski Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.04
    (1.83)

    1.73
    (1.83)
    6.8%
    (9.3%)
    Preview Facts
    • Potenza is ranked ATP: 399. Kasnikowski is ranked ATP: 547.
    • Both players have been playing unpredictably.
    • Kasnikowski may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.
    • Recently, there has been no match between the players.
    Latest results of Luca Potenza
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Struff J-L. (1)Butvilas E.
    2Blanch Dar. (WC)Potenza L. (LL)
    3Oberleitner N. (Q)Gea A.
    4Alvarez Varona N.Kym J. (7)
    5Carreno-Busta P. (3)Blanch D. (WC)
    6Negritu Ch.Coulibaly E.
    7Carboni L. (Q)Crawford O.
    8Montes-De La Torre I. (WC)Landaluce M. (5)
    9Merida Aguilar D. (8)Peniston R.0 : 0
    10Ramos A. (Alt)Kasnikowski M. (Q)
    11Barroso Campos A. (Q)Loffhagen G.
    12Durasovic V.Klein L. (4)1 : 0
    13Echargui M. (6)Brancaccio R. (Q)
    14Barton H.Grenier H.
    15Kuzmanov D.Coppejans K.1 : 0
    16Gentzsch T.Jarry N. (2)

    1/8-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8
    5TBD #9TBD #10
    6TBD #11TBD #12
    7TBD #13TBD #14
    8TBD #15TBD #16

    Quarter-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2