Result
1:2
15/09/2025 at 04:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: St. Tropez - Qualification, hard - Final
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Aces |
|---|
| 15 | 11 |
| Double Faults |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| 1st Serve Percentage |
|---|
| 53% | 68% |
| 1st Serve Points Won |
|---|
| 71% (44/62) | 72% (48/67) |
| 2nd Serve Points Won |
|---|
| 51% (28/55) | 50% (16/32) |
| Break Points Saved |
|---|
| 75% (12/16) | 67% (6/9) |
| 1st Return Points Won |
|---|
| 30% (20/67) | 29% (18/62) |
| 2nd Return Points Won |
|---|
| 50% (16/32) | 49% (27/55) |
| Break Points Converted |
|---|
| 33% (3/9) | 25% (4/16) |
| Service Points Won |
|---|
| 61% (70/114) | 65% (64/99) |
| Return Points Won |
|---|
| 35% (35/99) | 39% (44/114) |
| Total Points Won |
|---|
| 49% (105/213) | 51% (108/213) |
| Last 10 Balls |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Match Points Saved |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Service Games Won |
|---|
| 75% (12/16) | 81% (13/16) |
| Return Games Won |
|---|
| 19% (3/16) | 25% (4/16) |
| Total Games Won |
|---|
| 47% (15/32) | 53% (17/32) |
Chances of winning
Michael Geerts
64.9% | Luca Potenza
35.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Michael Geerts has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.9%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Michael Geerts's performance.Luca Potenza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.9%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Luca Potenza might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Michael Geerts than the current prediction. (-13.7%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Michael Geerts that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Luca Potenza than the current prediction. (+13.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Luca Potenza could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Michael Geerts - Luca Potenza Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.42 ↓
(1.83) |
|
2.63 ↑
(1.83) |
8.2%
(9.3%) | |
What is the prediction for Michael Geerts - Luca Potenza?
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Geerts will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Potenza will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Potenza (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- Geerts is ranked ATP: 324. Potenza is ranked ATP: 422.
- Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.
- Potenza may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Geerts could have a small edge in this match.
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Geerts won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1. (average 2:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Michael Geerts won against Luca Potenza?
Michael Geerts has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Luca Potenza won against Michael Geerts?
Luca Potenza has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Michael Geerts - Luca Potenza were as follows:
16.04.2025
Luca Potenza
-
Michael Geerts
1:2
Latest results of Michael Geerts
Latest results of Luca Potenza
Draw
Singles - Main1/16-finals| 1 | Landaluce M. (1) | Bax F. (LL) | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Gombos N. (Alt) | Gengel M. (Alt) | 1 : 2 |
| 3 | Vacherot V. | Bertrand R. (WC) | 1 : 2 |
| 4 | Engel J. | Wawrinka S. (5) | 0 : 2 |
| 5 | Herbert P. (3) | Kukushkin M. | 1 : 2 |
| 6 | Paris T. (Q) | Barrere G. (WC) | 2 : 1 |
| 7 | Added D. (Alt) | Jacquet K. | 2 : 0 |
| 8 | Vatutin A. (Q) | Mayot H. (6) | 0 : 2 |
| 9 | Droguet T. (8) | Potenza L. (Q) | 2 : 0 |
| 10 | Malige M. (WC) | Mmoh M. (PR) | 2 : 0 |
| 11 | Pacheco Mendez R. (Q) | Donnet E. (Q) | 2 : 1 |
| 12 | Echargui M. | Blanchet U. (4) | 2 : 0 |
| 13 | Lajal M. (7) | Gueymard Wayenburg S. | 2 : 0 |
| 14 | Molcan A. (Alt) | Geerts M. (LL) | 2 : 0 |
| 15 | Hilderbrand T. (Q) | Grenier H. | 0 : 2 |
| 16 | Butvilas E. (Alt) | Gigante M. (2) | 2 : 1 |
1/8-finals| 1 | Landaluce M. (1) | Gengel M. (RET.) | 1 : 0 |
| 2 | Bertrand R. | Wawrinka S. (5) | 0 : 2 |
| 3 | Kukushkin M. | Paris T. | 0 : 2 |
| 4 | Added D. | Mayot H. (6) | 2 : 1 |
| 5 | Droguet T. (8) | Malige M. | 2 : 1 |
| 6 | Pacheco Mendez R. | Echargui M. | 0 : 2 |
| 7 | Lajal M. (7) | Molcan A. (RET.) | 1 : 1 |
| 8 | Grenier H. | Butvilas E. | 2 : 1 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Landaluce M. (1) | Wawrinka S. (5) | 0 : 2 |
| 2 | Paris T. | Added D. | 0 : 2 |
| 3 | Droguet T. (8) | Echargui M. | 0 : 2 |
| 4 | Lajal M. (7) | Grenier H. | 2 : 1 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Wawrinka S. (5) | Added D. (WO.) | |
| 2 | Echargui M. | Lajal M. (7) | 2 : 1 |
Final| 1 | Added D. | Echargui M. | 0 : 2 |
