Luca Potenza vs Michael Geerts – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis Abidjan Challenger Men Luca Potenza - Michael Geerts
Result
1:2
16/04/2025 at 08:05 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Abidjan, hard - 1/8-finals

Match Stats

Aces
79
Double Faults
310
1st Serve Percentage
56%51%
1st Serve Points Won
65% (40/62)86% (42/49)
2nd Serve Points Won
48% (23/48)32% (15/47)
Break Points Saved
60% (6/10)50% (4/8)
1st Return Points Won
14% (7/49)35% (22/62)
2nd Return Points Won
68% (32/47)52% (25/48)
Break Points Converted
50% (4/8)40% (4/10)
Service Points Won
57% (63/110)59% (57/96)
Return Points Won
41% (39/96)43% (47/110)
Total Points Won
50% (102/206)50% (104/206)
Last 10 Balls
28
Match Points Saved
00
Service Games Won
71% (10/14)71% (10/14)
Return Games Won
29% (4/14)29% (4/14)
Total Games Won
50% (14/28)50% (14/28)

Chances of winning


Luca Potenza
27.5%
Michael Geerts
72.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
34.8% 65.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.4% 65.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Luca Potenza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Luca Potenza's form might have worsened.
  • Michael Geerts has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Michael Geerts's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Luca Potenza than the current prediction. (+6.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Luca Potenza, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Michael Geerts than the current prediction. (-6.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Michael Geerts, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Luca Potenza - Michael Geerts Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.39
    (2.67)

    1.29
    (1.42)
    6.8%
    (7.8%)
    Preview Facts
    • Potenza is ranked ATP: 570. Geerts is ranked ATP: 290.
    • Potenza is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • Recent matches Geerts is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Potenza could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • Geerts will have a small advantage in this match.
    • Last 1 head-to-head matches Potenza won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:2
    Latest results of Luca Potenza
    Latest results of Michael Geerts
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Dougaz A. (1)Samuel T.2 : 0
    2Bax F. (Q)Singh K.2 : 0
    3Hussey G.Kellovsky D.2 : 1
    4Poullain L.Henning P. (8)0 : 2
    5Chidekh C. (4)Palan D. (Q)2 : 0
    6Jones M. (Q)van Wyk K.2 : 1
    7Paire B. (WC)Glinka D.1 : 2
    8Baadi T. (WC)Coulibaly E. (7)2 : 1
    9Berankis R. (5)Shah A.2 : 1
    10Kivattsev K.Bakshi A.1 : 2
    11Potenza L.Erel Y. (Q)2 : 1
    12Kalyanpur A. (Q)Geerts M. (3)0 : 2
    13Kirkin E. (6)Ouakaa A. (Q)2 : 0
    14Bationo A. (WC)Colson T.0 : 2
    15Ursu V.Echargui M.2 : 1
    16Compagnucci T.Bertrand R. (2)1 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Dougaz A. (1)Bax F.0 : 2
    2Hussey G.Henning P. (8)2 : 0
    3Chidekh C. (4)Jones M.0 : 2
    4Glinka D.Baadi T.2 : 0
    5Berankis R. (5)Bakshi A.2 : 0
    6Potenza L.Geerts M. (3)1 : 2
    7Kirkin E. (6)Colson T.0 : 2
    8Ursu V.Bertrand R. (2)0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Bax F.Hussey G.2 : 0
    2Jones M.Glinka D.2 : 0
    3Berankis R. (5)Geerts M. (3)2 : 1
    4Colson T.Bertrand R. (2)2 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1Bax F.Jones M.1 : 2
    2Berankis R. (5)Colson T.2 : 1

    Final
    1Jones M.Berankis R. (5)2 : 1