Luca Potenza vs Petr Nesterov – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
19/03/2026 at 03:40 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Heraklion, hard - 1/8-finals

Match Stats

Last 10 balls
46

Chances of winning


Luca Potenza
30.7%
Petr Nesterov
69.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
37.8% 62.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43% 57%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Luca Potenza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Luca Potenza's form might have worsened.
  • Petr Nesterov has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Petr Nesterov's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Luca Potenza than the current prediction. (+12.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Luca Potenza, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Petr Nesterov than the current prediction. (-12.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Petr Nesterov, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Luca Potenza - Petr Nesterov Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.03
    (2.42)

    1.34
    (1.47)
    7.6%
    (9.3%)
    Preview Facts
    • Potenza is ranked ATP: 426. Nesterov is ranked ATP: 448.
    • In recent matches, Potenza has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Nesterov is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Nesterov may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Nesterov is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • We predict that Nesterov will win today's game, with odds of 1.48.
    • Recently, the players have not faced each other.
    Latest results of Luca Potenza
    Latest results of Petr Nesterov
    Draw
    2026

    1/16-finals
    1Coulibaly E. (1)Sik M. E. (Q)2 : 1
    2Hopp M.Steiner M.2 : 0
    3Tailleu P. A. (Q)Sakellaridis D.0 : 2
    4Kumstat J. (RET.)Lopez Morillo I. (8)0 : 1
    5Geerts M. (3)Markovina D. (Q)2 : 1
    6Vales A.Schinas S.2 : 0
    7Sesko Z.Jones M.0 : 2
    8Boogaard T.Papoe R. M. (7)2 : 1
    9Searle H. (6)Rejchtman Vinciguerra W. (Q)2 : 0
    10Kountourakis I.Smiej Y. (Q)1 : 2
    11Tsitsipas Pe.Dussin L.1 : 2
    12Staeheli L.Xilas I. (4)0 : 2
    13Stewart H. (5)Crowther C. (LL)2 : 0
    14Nicod J.Mitalas G.2 : 0
    15Falck R. (Q)Elamin A. (Q)2 : 1
    16Jones A. (Q)Bertrand R. (2)0 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Coulibaly E. (1)Hopp M.2 : 0
    2Sakellaridis D.Lopez Morillo I. (8)1 : 2
    3Geerts M. (3)Vales A.2 : 1
    4Jones M.Boogaard T.0 : 2
    5Searle H. (6)Smiej Y.2 : 0
    6Dussin L.Xilas I. (4)1 : 2
    7Stewart H. (5)Nicod J.0 : 2
    8Falck R.Bertrand R. (2)0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Coulibaly E. (1)Lopez Morillo I. (8)2 : 0
    2Geerts M. (3)Boogaard T.2 : 0
    3Searle H. (6)Xilas I. (4)2 : 1
    4Nicod J.Bertrand R. (2)0 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Coulibaly E. (1)Geerts M. (3)0 : 2
    2Searle H. (6)Bertrand R. (2)2 : 0

    Final
    1Geerts M. (3)Searle H. (6)