Result
3:0
02/09/2026 at 15:05 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- ATP - SINGLES: US Open, hard - 1/32-finals
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Austria | Laola1 |
 Czech-republic | HBO Max |
 Germany | Laola1 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Aces |
|---|
| 11 | 4 |
| Double Faults |
|---|
| 9 | 4 |
| 1st serve percentage |
|---|
| 59% | 54% |
| 1st serve points won |
|---|
| 74% (45/61) | 56% (27/48) |
| 2nd serve points won |
|---|
| 49% (21/43) | 46% (19/41) |
| Break Points Saved |
|---|
| 8/11 | 2/9 |
| Average 1st serve speed |
|---|
| 198 km/h | 186 km/h |
| Average 2nd serve speed |
|---|
| 150 km/h | 148 km/h |
| 1st return points won |
|---|
| 52% (25/48) | 30% (18/61) |
| 2nd return points won |
|---|
| 54% (22/41) | 51% (22/43) |
| Break Points Converted |
|---|
| 7/9 | 3/11 |
| Winners |
|---|
| 50 | 19 |
| Unforced errors |
|---|
| 36 | 20 |
| Net points won |
|---|
| 64% (23/36) | 62% (13/21) |
| Service Points Won |
|---|
| 63% (67/106) | 52% (46/89) |
| Return Points Won |
|---|
| 48% (43/89) | 37% (39/106) |
| Total Points Won |
|---|
| 56% (110/195) | 44% (85/195) |
| Last 10 balls |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Match points saved |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Service games won |
|---|
| 79% (11/14) | 50% (7/14) |
| Return games won |
|---|
| 50% (7/14) | 21% (3/14) |
| Total games won |
|---|
| 64% (18/28) | 36% (10/28) |
| Distance covered (metres) |
|---|
| 2484 | 2674 |
Chances of winning
Denis Shapovalov
58.2% | Luca Van Assche
41.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Denis Shapovalov has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)Luca Van Assche has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Denis Shapovalov than the current prediction. (+3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Luca Van Assche than the current prediction. (-3%)
Denis Shapovalov - Luca Van Assche Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.64 ↑
(1.61) |
|
2.28 ↑
(2.28) |
4.7%
(5.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 38.50
What is the prediction for Denis Shapovalov - Luca Van Assche?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Shapovalov will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%). Van Assche will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Shapovalov: 35.9% – 97.5%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- H/A, 1st Set - Van Assche (2.02) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Van Assche (votes: 3 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 3:0.
Preview Facts
- Shapovalov is ranked ATP: 48. Van Assche is ranked ATP: 40.
- Shapovalov has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Van Assche is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- Shapovalov may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, both players have almost equal chances to win.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Shapovalov won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:0.
How many head-to-head matches has Denis Shapovalov won against Luca Van Assche?
Denis Shapovalov has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Luca Van Assche won against Denis Shapovalov?
Luca Van Assche has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Denis Shapovalov - Luca Van Assche were as follows:
27.05.2024
Luca Van Assche
-
Denis Shapovalov
0:3
Latest results of Denis Shapovalov
Latest results of Luca Van Assche
Draw
Singles - Main1/64-finals| 1 | Zverev A. (1) | Sonego L. | 3 : 2 |
| 2 | Halys Q. | Diaz Acosta F. | 3 : 1 |
| 3 | Dimitrov G. (Q) | Popyrin A. | 1 : 3 |
| 4 | Hanfmann Y. | Tabilo A. (25) | 1 : 3 |
| 5 | Darderi L. (21) | Wendelken H. (Q) | 3 : 1 |
| 6 | Svrcina D. (Q) | Royer V. | 3 : 2 |
| 7 | Sweeny D. (WC) | Moutet C. (RET.) | 2 : 0 |
| 8 | Fery A. | Musetti L. (13) | 0 : 3 |
| 9 | Jodar R. (12) | Bu Y. (LL) | 0 : 3 |
| 10 | Marozsan F. | Zheng M. (WC) | 0 : 3 |
| 11 | Svajda Z. | Altmaier D. | 3 : 1 |
| 12 | Cerundolo J. M. | Gea A. (LL) | 2 : 3 |
| 13 | Bergs Z. (31) | Taberner C. | 3 : 1 |
| 14 | De Jong J. | Passaro F. (Q) | 3 : 2 |
| 15 | Choinski J. | Van De Zandschulp B. | 0 : 3 |
| 16 | Guerrieri A. (Q) | De Minaur A. (6) | 0 : 3 |
| 17 | Auger-Aliassime F. (3) | Hijikata R. | 3 : 1 |
| 18 | Burruchaga R. A. | Khachanov K. | 0 : 3 |
| 19 | Molcan A. | Bonzi B. | 1 : 3 |
| 20 | Giron M. | Buse I. (32) | 2 : 3 |
| 21 | Mensik J. (17) | Mochizuki S. (LL) | 3 : 0 |
| 22 | Rodionov J. (Q) | Mpetshi Perricard G. | 3 : 0 |
| 23 | Vallejo D. | Monfils G. (WC) | 1 : 3 |
| 24 | Borges N. | Tien L. (14) | 0 : 3 |
| 25 | Fritz T. (9) | Blanch Dar. (WC) | 3 : 0 |
| 26 | Bellucci M. | Piros Z. (Q) | 3 : 0 |
| 27 | Ugo Carabelli C. | Struff J-L. | 0 : 3 |
| 28 | Misolic F. | Cerundolo F. (24) | 0 : 3 |
| 29 | Blockx A. (28) | Barrios Vera T. (Q) | 3 : 0 |
| 30 | Shang J. | Trungelliti M. | 2 : 3 |
| 31 | Basavareddy N. (Q) | Schoolkate T. (Q) | 1 : 3 |
| 32 | Comesana F. | Cobolli F. (5) | 2 : 3 |
| 33 | Medvedev D. (7) | Gaston H. (Q) | 3 : 0 |
| 34 | Gorzny S. (WC) | Collignon R. | 3 : 2 |
| 35 | Munar J. | Atmane T. | 3 : 2 |
| 36 | Shimabukuro S. | Rinderknech A. (26) | 1 : 3 |
| 37 | Vacherot V. (22) | Kovacevic A. | 3 : 0 |
| 38 | Majchrzak K. | Medjedovic H. | 3 : 0 |
| 39 | Vukic A. | Sakamoto R. (Q) | 2 : 3 |
| 40 | Damm M. | Tiafoe F. (11) | 2 : 3 |
| 41 | Nakashima B. (16) | Baez S. | 3 : 0 |
| 42 | Michelsen A. | Cina F. (Q) | 3 : 0 |
| 43 | Merida Aguilar D. | Fucsovics M. | 3 : 0 |
| 44 | Virtanen O. (LL) | Rublev A. (23) | 2 : 3 |
| 45 | Etcheverry T. M. (27) | Kopriva V. | 3 : 0 |
| 46 | Landaluce M. | Fearnley J. (LL) | 2 : 3 |
| 47 | Berrettini M. | Wawrinka S. (WC) | 3 : 0 |
| 48 | Navone M. | Djokovic N. (4) | 3 : 2 |
| 49 | Shelton B. (8) | Griekspoor T. | 3 : 1 |
| 50 | Dzumhur D. | Hurkacz H. | 1 : 3 |
| 51 | Kecmanovic M. | Shapovalov D. | 1 : 3 |
| 52 | van Assche L. | Norrie C. (29) | 3 : 1 |
| 53 | Lehecka J. (18) | Carreno-Busta P. | 3 : 1 |
| 54 | Samuel T. (Q) | Machac T. | 3 : 0 |
| 55 | Harris L. (Q) | Kennedy J. (WC) | 3 : 0 |
| 56 | Tsitsipas S. | Fils A. (10) | 3 : 1 |
| 57 | Bublik A. (15) | Wolf J.J. (WC) | 3 : 1 |
| 58 | Tirante T. A. | Mannarino A. | 2 : 3 |
| 59 | Prizmic D. | Shevchenko A. | 3 : 2 |
| 60 | Wong C. (Q) | Paul T. (20) | 1 : 3 |
| 61 | Arnaldi M. (30) | Duckworth J. | 1 : 3 |
| 62 | Wu Y. | Walton A. | 3 : 0 |
| 63 | Faria J. | Brooksby J. | 3 : 2 |
| 64 | Safiullin R. | Alcaraz C. (2) | 0 : 3 |
1/32-finals| 1 | Zverev A. (1) | Halys Q. | 3 : 2 |
| 2 | Popyrin A. | Tabilo A. (25) | 1 : 3 |
| 3 | Darderi L. (21) | Svrcina D. | 3 : 1 |
| 4 | Sweeny D. | Musetti L. (13) | 3 : 1 |
| 5 | Bu Y. | Zheng M. | 1 : 3 |
| 6 | Svajda Z. | Gea A. | 1 : 3 |
| 7 | Bergs Z. (31) | De Jong J. | 3 : 1 |
| 8 | Van De Zandschulp B. | De Minaur A. (6) | 3 : 0 |
| 9 | Auger-Aliassime F. (3) | Khachanov K. | 1 : 3 |
| 10 | Bonzi B. | Buse I. (32) | 3 : 0 |
| 11 | Mensik J. (17) | Rodionov J. | 3 : 1 |
| 12 | Monfils G. | Tien L. (14) | 0 : 3 |
| 13 | Fritz T. (9) | Bellucci M. | 3 : 0 |
| 14 | Struff J-L. | Cerundolo F. (24) | 2 : 3 |
| 15 | Blockx A. (28) | Trungelliti M. | 3 : 1 |
| 16 | Schoolkate T. | Cobolli F. (5) | 1 : 3 |
| 17 | Medvedev D. (7) | Gorzny S. | 3 : 0 |
| 18 | Munar J. | Rinderknech A. (26) | 0 : 3 |
| 19 | Vacherot V. (22) | Majchrzak K. | 3 : 1 |
| 20 | Sakamoto R. | Tiafoe F. (11) | 0 : 3 |
| 21 | Nakashima B. (16) | Michelsen A. | 0 : 3 |
| 22 | Merida Aguilar D. | Rublev A. (23) | 3 : 1 |
| 23 | Etcheverry T. M. (27) | Fearnley J. | 3 : 1 |
| 24 | Berrettini M. | Navone M. | 1 : 3 |
| 25 | Shelton B. (8) | Hurkacz H. | 3 : 1 |
| 26 | Shapovalov D. | van Assche L. | 3 : 0 |
| 27 | Lehecka J. (18) | Samuel T. | 3 : 0 |
| 28 | Harris L. | Tsitsipas S. | 1 : 3 |
| 29 | Bublik A. (15) | Mannarino A. | 3 : 0 |
| 30 | Prizmic D. | Paul T. (20) | 1 : 3 |
| 31 | Duckworth J. | Wu Y. | 0 : 3 |
| 32 | Faria J. | Alcaraz C. (2) | 1 : 3 |
1/16-finals| 1 | Zverev A. (1) | Tabilo A. (25) | 3 : 0 |
| 2 | Darderi L. (21) | Sweeny D. | 3 : 0 |
| 3 | Zheng M. | Gea A. | 2 : 3 |
| 4 | Bergs Z. (31) | Van De Zandschulp B. | 2 : 3 |
| 5 | Khachanov K. | Bonzi B. | 3 : 0 |
| 6 | Mensik J. (17) | Tien L. (14) | 2 : 3 |
| 7 | Fritz T. (9) | Cerundolo F. (24) | 2 : 3 |
| 8 | Blockx A. (28) | Cobolli F. (5) | 3 : 1 |
| 9 | Medvedev D. (7) | Rinderknech A. (26) | 3 : 0 |
| 10 | Vacherot V. (22) | Tiafoe F. (11) | 0 : 3 |
| 11 | Michelsen A. | Merida Aguilar D. | 3 : 0 |
| 12 | Etcheverry T. M. (27) | Navone M. | 3 : 0 |
| 13 | Shelton B. (8) | Shapovalov D. | 3 : 1 |
| 14 | Lehecka J. (18) | Tsitsipas S. | 1 : 3 |
| 15 | Bublik A. (15) | Paul T. (20) | 2 : 3 |
| 16 | Wu Y. | Alcaraz C. (2) | 0 : 3 |
1/8-finals| 1 | Zverev A. (1) | Darderi L. (21) | 3 : 0 |
| 2 | Gea A. | Van De Zandschulp B. | 2 : 3 |
| 3 | Khachanov K. | Tien L. (14) | 3 : 2 |
| 4 | Cerundolo F. (24) | Blockx A. (28) | 1 : 3 |
| 5 | Medvedev D. (7) | Tiafoe F. (11) | 0 : 3 |
| 6 | Michelsen A. | Etcheverry T. M. (27) | 3 : 0 |
| 7 | Shelton B. (8) | Tsitsipas S. | 3 : 0 |
| 8 | Paul T. (20) | Alcaraz C. (2) | 0 : 3 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Zverev A. (1) | Van De Zandschulp B. | |
| 2 | Khachanov K. | Blockx A. (28) | |
| 3 | Tiafoe F. (11) | Michelsen A. | |
| 4 | Shelton B. (8) | Alcaraz C. (2) | |
Semi-finalsFinal
