Luca Van Assche vs Leandro Riedi – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
16/02/2026 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Lille, hard - 1/16-finals

Match Stats

Aces
310
Double Faults
10
1st serve percentage
60%63%
1st serve points won
75% (49/65)79% (45/57)
2nd serve points won
52% (23/44)48% (16/33)
Break Points Saved
85% (11/13)50% (2/4)
1st return points won
26% (15/57)28% (18/65)
2nd return points won
48% (16/33)48% (21/44)
Break Points Converted
50% (2/4)15% (2/13)
Winners
1749
Unforced errors
1752
Net points won
75% (6/8)75% (15/20)
Service Points Won
66% (72/109)67% (61/91)
Return Points Won
33% (30/91)34% (37/109)
Total Points Won
51% (102/200)49% (98/200)
Last 10 balls
64
Match points saved
03
Service games won
87% (13/15)88% (14/16)
Return games won
13% (2/16)13% (2/15)
Total games won
48% (15/31)52% (16/31)

Chances of winning


Luca Van Assche
58.8%
Leandro Riedi
41.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
57.7% 42.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.2% 45.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Luca Van Assche has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)
  • Leandro Riedi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Luca Van Assche than the current prediction. (-4.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leandro Riedi than the current prediction. (+4.6%)
  • Luca Van Assche - Leandro Riedi Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.6
    (1.61)

    2.25
    (2.19)
    7.1%
    (7.7%)
    What is the prediction for Luca Van Assche - Leandro Riedi?
  • Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Van Assche will win (votes: 7 - 70%). Riedi will win (votes: 3 - 30%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Van Assche: 41.6%98.4%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Luca Van Assche will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Van Assche is ranked ATP: 126. Riedi is ranked ATP: 173.
    • Van Assche has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Riedi is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Riedi may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Van Assche could have a small edge in this match.
    • Recently, there has been no match between the players.
    Latest results of Luca Van Assche
    Latest results of Leandro Riedi
    07.02.2026 Leandro Riedi - Moez Echargui Canceled
    06.02.2026 Leandro Riedi - Alaa Trifi 2:0
    23.01.2026 Leandro Riedi - Zsombor Piros Riedi L. retired
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Misolic F. (RET.) (1)Landaluce M.0 : 1
    2Kym J.Harris L. (SE)2 : 1
    3Skatov T.Hemery C. (Q)2 : 0
    4Sachko V.Droguet T. (6)1 : 2
    5Blockx A. (4)Safiullin R.2 : 0
    6Bouquier A. (WC)Coppejans K. (Q)2 : 1
    7Massard L. (Q)Engel J.0 : 2
    8Glinka D. (Alt)Bonzi B. (8)0 : 2
    9Goffin D. (5)Schwaerzler J. J. (NG)1 : 2
    10Kouame M. (WC)Dodig M. (Q)2 : 0
    11Basavareddy N. (Q)Blanchet U.2 : 0
    12Ofner S.Gaston H. (3)1 : 2
    13van Assche L. (7)Riedi L.2 : 1
    14Kukushkin M. (Q)Zeppieri G.2 : 0
    15Holmgren A.Gueymard Wayenburg S.0 : 2
    16Chidekh C.Fearnley J. (2)2 : 1

    1/8-finals
    1Landaluce M.Kym J.0 : 2
    2Skatov T.Droguet T. (6)0 : 2
    3Blockx A. (4)Bouquier A.2 : 0
    4Engel J.Bonzi B. (8)0 : 2
    5Schwaerzler J. J.Kouame M.0 : 2
    6Basavareddy N.Gaston H. (3)2 : 0
    7van Assche L. (7)Kukushkin M.2 : 0
    8Gueymard Wayenburg S.Chidekh C.0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Kym J.Droguet T. (6)2 : 1
    2Blockx A. (4)Bonzi B. (8)2 : 0
    3Kouame M.Basavareddy N.2 : 0
    4van Assche L. (7)Chidekh C.2 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1Kym J.Blockx A. (4)0 : 2
    2Kouame M.van Assche L. (7)0 : 2

    Final
    1Blockx A. (4)van Assche L. (7)0 : 2