Luca Van Assche vs Rei Sakamoto – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:0
10/03/2026 at 17:10 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Cap Cana - Qualification, hard - Final

Match Stats

Aces
25
Double Faults
04
1st serve percentage
60%52%
1st serve points won
71% (30/42)72% (33/46)
2nd serve points won
71% (20/28)49% (21/43)
Break Points Saved
3/49/11
1st return points won
30% (14/46)29% (12/42)
2nd return points won
51% (22/43)29% (8/28)
Break Points Converted
2/111/4
Winners
730
Unforced errors
1964
Net points won
100% (6/6)74% (17/23)
Service Points Won
71% (50/70)60% (53/89)
Return Points Won
40% (36/89)29% (20/70)
Total Points Won
54% (86/159)46% (73/159)
Last 10 balls
82
Match points saved
00
Service games won
91% (10/11)80% (8/10)
Return games won
20% (2/10)9% (1/11)
Total games won
57% (12/21)43% (9/21)

Chances of winning


Luca Van Assche
53.4%
Rei Sakamoto
46.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
53.1% 46.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.4% 48.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Luca Van Assche has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)
  • Rei Sakamoto has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Luca Van Assche than the current prediction. (-2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rei Sakamoto than the current prediction. (+2%)
  • Luca Van Assche - Rei Sakamoto Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.74
    (1.75)

    2
    (1.99)
    7.5%
    (7.5%)
    Preview Facts
    • Van Assche is ranked ATP: 105. Sakamoto is ranked ATP: 159.
    • Van Assche is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Sakamoto's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Van Assche won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Luca Van Assche - Rei Sakamoto were as follows:
    18.06.2025 Luca Van Assche - Rei Sakamoto 2:0
    Latest results of Luca Van Assche
    Latest results of Rei Sakamoto
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Kecmanovic M. (1)Bye
    2McDonald M. (Alt)Landaluce M. (Q)2 : 1
    3Tseng C. H.Andrade A. (Q)0 : 2
    4Jarry N. (WC)Walton A. (8)0 : 2
    5Hurkacz H. (4)Bye
    6Maestrelli F.Bellucci M.0 : 2
    7van Assche L. (Q)Schoolkate T.2 : 0
    8Barrios Vera T.Collignon R. (5)0 : 2
    9Garin C. (7)Svrcina D.0 : 2
    10Cid Subervi R. (WC)Blockx A.0 : 2
    11Burruchaga R. A.Wong C. (LL)1 : 2
    12ByeDzumhur D. (3)
    13Navone M. (6)Hardt N. (WC)2 : 1
    14Mejia N. (Q)Mochizuki S. (Alt)0 : 2
    15Bautista-Agut R.Goffin D. (Alt)2 : 0
    16ByeRoyer V. (2)

    1/8-finals
    1Kecmanovic M. (1)McDonald M.2 : 0
    2Andrade A.Walton A. (8)0 : 2
    3Hurkacz H. (4)Bellucci M.0 : 2
    4van Assche L.Collignon R. (5)0 : 2
    5Svrcina D.Blockx A.1 : 2
    6Wong C.Dzumhur D. (3)2 : 1
    7Navone M. (6)Mochizuki S.2 : 0
    8Bautista-Agut R.Royer V. (2)0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Kecmanovic M. (1)Walton A. (8)1 : 2
    2Bellucci M.Collignon R. (5)2 : 0
    3Blockx A.Wong C.2 : 1
    4Navone M. (6)Royer V. (2)2 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1Walton A. (8)Bellucci M.0 : 2
    2Blockx A.Navone M. (6)1 : 2

    Final
    1Bellucci M.Navone M. (6)0 : 2