Luca Wiedenmann vs Matthew Donald – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:0
20/11/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Monastir 42, hard - 1/8-finals

Match Stats

Last 10 Balls
22

Chances of winning


Luca Wiedenmann
52.7%
Matthew Donald
47.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
45.8% 54.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.9% 54.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Luca Wiedenmann has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Luca Wiedenmann's performance.
  • Matthew Donald has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Matthew Donald might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Luca Wiedenmann than the current prediction. (-6.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Luca Wiedenmann that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Matthew Donald than the current prediction. (+6.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Matthew Donald could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Luca Wiedenmann - Matthew Donald Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.74
    (2.01)

    1.94
    (1.7)
    9.2%
    (8.6%)
    Preview Facts
    • Wiedenmann is ranked ATP: 1045. Donald is ranked ATP: 685.
    • Wiedenmann has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Donald is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Wiedenmann may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.
    • We predict that Donald will win today's game, with odds of 1.7.
    • The players have not played against each other recently.
    Latest results of Luca Wiedenmann
    Latest results of Matthew Donald
    Draw
    2025

    1/16-finals
    1Faurel T. (1)Turker M. N.2 : 1
    2Lopez N.Aubriot A.2 : 0
    3Duhan C.Snoussi I.2 : 0
    4Molder M.Schoenhaus M. (7)0 : 2
    5Mbithi M. (4)Dong C.0 : 2
    6Leather J.Bidan F.2 : 1
    7Herrmann T.Varughese J.2 : 0
    8Ferrari F.Sahtali T. (5)1 : 2
    9Petkovic M. (6)Rybkin S.2 : 0
    10Lettieri L.Todoran M.0 : 2
    11Wiedenmann L.Larwig N.2 : 0
    12Misasi G.Donald M. (3)0 : 2
    13Plans J. (8)Bilardo J.2 : 1
    14Trifi A.Martin T.2 : 1
    15Chetouane M.Omarkhanov A.0 : 2
    16Eichenseher D.Kudriashov I. (2)1 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Faurel T. (1)Lopez N.2 : 1
    2Duhan C.Schoenhaus M. (7)0 : 2
    3Dong C.Leather J.2 : 1
    4Herrmann T.Sahtali T. (5)1 : 2
    5Petkovic M. (6)Todoran M.2 : 0
    6Wiedenmann L.Donald M. (3)2 : 0
    7Plans J. (8)Trifi A.2 : 0
    8Omarkhanov A.Kudriashov I. (2)2 : 0

    Quarter-finals
    1Faurel T. (1)Schoenhaus M. (7)0 : 2
    2Dong C.Sahtali T. (5)2 : 1
    3Petkovic M. (6)Wiedenmann L.2 : 1
    4Plans J. (8)Omarkhanov A.0 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Schoenhaus M. (7)Dong C.2 : 0
    2Petkovic M. (6)Omarkhanov A.0 : 2

    Final
    1Schoenhaus M. (7)Omarkhanov A.1 : 2