Lucas Almeida vs Michael Aswell – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

MMA Featherweight UFC Men Lucas Almeida - Michael Aswell
Result
Aswell M. - 1st Round TKO
11/10/2025 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • FEATHERWEIGHT - MEN: UFC
  • Where to Watch on TV:
australiaAustraliaESPN
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 6, Oneplay
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
finlandFinlandViaplay
franceFranceRMC Sport 1
greeceGreeceCOSMOTE Sport 6
norwayNorwayViaplay
polandPolandPolsat Sport 1, Polsat Sport Premium 1
portugalPortugalSport TV1
slovakiaSlovakiaVoyo
swedenSwedenViaplay
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomTNT Sports 1

Chances of winning


Lucas Almeida
28.5%
Michael Aswell
71.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
41.5% 58.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Lucas Almeida has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Lucas Almeida's form might have worsened.
  • Michael Aswell has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Michael Aswell's recent form is better than expected.
  • Lucas Almeida - Michael Aswell Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.43
    (2.3)

    1.34
    (1.63)
    4.1%
    (4.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    Preview Facts
    • In this match, Aswell is seen as the favorite.
    • Recently, the fighters have not faced each other.
    Latest results of Lucas Almeida
    01.03.2025 Danny Silva - Lucas Almeida Silva D. win
    16.11.2024 David Onama - Lucas Almeida Canceled
    15.06.2024 Timothy Cuamba - Lucas Almeida Almeida L. win
    16.12.2023 Andre Fili - Lucas Almeida Fili A. - 1st Round TKO
    02.09.2023 William Gomis - Lucas Almeida Canceled
    Latest results of Michael Aswell
    31.05.2025 Bolaji Oki - Michael Aswell Oki B. win