Lucas Gerch vs Andrew Paulson – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis Szczecin Challenger Men Lucas Gerch - Andrew Paulson
Result
2:1
12/09/2023 at 15:10 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: SZCZECIN (POLAND), CLAY - 1/16-FINALS

Official Live

Chances of winning


Lucas Gerch
45.4%
Andrew Paulson
54.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
50.5% 49.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.7% 47.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Lucas Gerch has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Lucas Gerch's form might have worsened.
  • Andrew Paulson has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Andrew Paulson's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lucas Gerch than the current prediction. (+7.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Lucas Gerch, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Andrew Paulson than the current prediction. (-7.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Andrew Paulson, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Lucas Gerch - Andrew Paulson Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.07
    (1.84)

    1.71
    (1.87)
    6.7%
    (8%)
    What is the prediction for Lucas Gerch - Andrew Paulson?
  • Users Predictions: Lucas Gerch will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 44.94%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Gerch is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • Recent matches Paulson is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Gerch could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both players are almost equal.
    • Recently, the players did not play each other.
    Latest results of Lucas Gerch
    11.09.2023 Lucas Gerch - Miljan Zekic 2:0
    10.09.2023 Federico Delbonis - Lucas Gerch Delbonis F. retired
    02.09.2023 Lucas Gerch - Max Houkes 2:0
    01.09.2023 Dax Donders - Lucas Gerch 1:2
    Latest results of Andrew Paulson
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Seyboth Wild T. (1)Debru G.0 : 2
    2Cachin P.Campana Lee G.0 : 2
    3Novak D.Berkieta T. (WC)2 : 0
    4Molleker R.Ramos A. (6)2 : 0
    5Altmaier D. (4)Michalski D. (WC)2 : 0
    6Andreev A.Gerch L. (Q)2 : 1
    7Rehberg M. H. (Q)Mager G.1 : 2
    8Pellegrino A.Galan D. E. (7)2 : 0
    9Kopriva V. (5)Moreno De Alboran N.2 : 1
    10Paulson A. (RET.) (Q)Fanselow S. (LL)0 : 1
    11Vatutin A. (Q)Popko D.2 : 1
    12Vrbensky M. (Alt)Munar J. (3)2 : 0
    13Napolitano S. (8)Berrettini J. (Q)1 : 2
    14Barton H. (Q)Choinski J. (SE)1 : 2
    15Arnaboldi F.Barranco Cosano J.2 : 0
    16Pieczkowski O. (WC)Coria F. (2)0 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Debru G.Campana Lee G.1 : 2
    2Novak D.Molleker R.0 : 2
    3Altmaier D. (4)Andreev A.2 : 1
    4Mager G.Pellegrino A.1 : 2
    5Kopriva V. (5)Fanselow S.2 : 0
    6Vatutin A.Vrbensky M.2 : 0
    7Berrettini J.Choinski J.2 : 0
    8Arnaboldi F.Coria F. (2)0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Campana Lee G.Molleker R.2 : 1
    2Altmaier D. (4)Pellegrino A.0 : 2
    3Kopriva V. (5)Vatutin A.2 : 1
    4Berrettini J.Coria F. (2)0 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Campana Lee G.Pellegrino A.0 : 2
    2Kopriva V. (5)Coria F. (2)2 : 1

    Final
    1Pellegrino A.Kopriva V. (5)0 : 2