Lucas Gerch vs Gonzalo Villanueva – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis Santa Fe Challenger Men Lucas Gerch - Gonzalo Villanueva
Result
1:2
10/06/2025 at 12:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Santa Fe, clay - 1/16-finals

Match Stats

Aces
40
Double Faults
81
1st Serve Percentage
60%69%
1st Serve Points Won
74% (51/69)64% (56/88)
2nd Serve Points Won
48% (22/46)73% (29/40)
Break Points Saved
50% (4/8)82% (9/11)
1st Return Points Won
36% (32/88)26% (18/69)
2nd Return Points Won
28% (11/40)52% (24/46)
Break Points Converted
18% (2/11)50% (4/8)
Service Points Won
63% (73/115)66% (85/128)
Return Points Won
34% (43/128)37% (42/115)
Total Points Won
48% (116/243)52% (127/243)
Last 10 Balls
37
Match Points Saved
10
Service Games Won
76% (13/17)88% (14/16)
Return Games Won
13% (2/16)24% (4/17)
Total Games Won
45% (15/33)55% (18/33)

Chances of winning


Lucas Gerch
43.3%
Gonzalo Villanueva
56.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
40.3% 59.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.2% 61.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Lucas Gerch has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)
  • Gonzalo Villanueva has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lucas Gerch than the current prediction. (-5.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Lucas Gerch that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gonzalo Villanueva than the current prediction. (+5.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Gonzalo Villanueva could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Lucas Gerch - Gonzalo Villanueva Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.14
    (2.3)

    1.65
    (1.55)
    7.3%
    (8%)
    Preview Facts
    • Gerch is ranked ATP: 547. Villanueva is ranked ATP: 396.
    • Each of the players is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Gerch may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Villanueva will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • Recently, there has been no match between the players.
    Latest results of Lucas Gerch
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Guillen Meza A. (1)Kestelboim M.1 : 2
    2Reis Da Silva J.Gimenez I. (Q)2 : 0
    3Boscardin Dias P.La Serna J. M.2 : 0
    4Bueno G.Torres J. B. (5)2 : 0
    5Collarini A. (3)Barreto Sanchez D. A. (LL)2 : 0
    6Gerch L. (Q)Villanueva G.1 : 2
    7Farjat T.Jones M.0 : 2
    8Casanova H.Olivieri G. A. (6)2 : 0
    9Sakamoto P. (8)Blanch D. (Q)1 : 2
    10Kuzuhara B. (Alt)Roncadelli F.2 : 1
    11Ambrogi L. E.Cigarran T. (WC)2 : 0
    12Leite W. (Q)Pucinelli de Almeida M. (4)0 : 2
    13Midon L. (7)Rodriguez L. J. (Q)2 : 0
    14Bagnis F. (WC)Huertas Del Pino C. (Alt)2 : 0
    15Sperle J. (LL)Olivo R. (WC)2 : 0
    16Aguilar Cardozo J. (Q)Rodriguez Taverna S. (2)0 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Kestelboim M.Reis Da Silva J.0 : 2
    2Boscardin Dias P.Bueno G.0 : 2
    3Collarini A. (3)Villanueva G.2 : 0
    4Jones M.Casanova H.0 : 2
    5Blanch D.Kuzuhara B.2 : 0
    6Ambrogi L. E.Pucinelli de Almeida M. (4)1 : 2
    7Midon L. (7)Bagnis F.2 : 0
    8Sperle J.Rodriguez Taverna S. (2)0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Reis Da Silva J.Bueno G.2 : 0
    2Collarini A. (3)Casanova H.2 : 0
    3Blanch D.Pucinelli de Almeida M. (4)2 : 1
    4Midon L. (7)Rodriguez Taverna S. (2)2 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1Reis Da Silva J.Collarini A. (3)2 : 0
    2Blanch D.Midon L. (7)0 : 2

    Final
    1Reis Da Silva J.Midon L. (7)2 : 0