Result
2:1
17/06/2025 at 17:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Santa Cruz, clay - 1/16-finals
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Aces |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Double Faults |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| 1st Serve Percentage |
|---|
| 59% | 59% |
| 1st Serve Points Won |
|---|
| 64% (47/73) | 69% (45/65) |
| 2nd Serve Points Won |
|---|
| 48% (24/50) | 42% (19/45) |
| Break Points Saved |
|---|
| 64% (7/11) | 62% (8/13) |
| 1st Return Points Won |
|---|
| 32% (21/65) | 38% (28/73) |
| 2nd Return Points Won |
|---|
| 58% (26/45) | 52% (26/50) |
| Break Points Converted |
|---|
| 38% (5/13) | 36% (4/11) |
| Service Points Won |
|---|
| 58% (71/122) | 57% (63/110) |
| Return Points Won |
|---|
| 43% (47/110) | 42% (51/122) |
| Total Points Won |
|---|
| 51% (118/232) | 49% (114/232) |
| Last 10 Balls |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Match Points Saved |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Service Games Won |
|---|
| 76% (13/17) | 69% (11/16) |
| Return Games Won |
|---|
| 31% (5/16) | 24% (4/17) |
| Total Games Won |
|---|
| 55% (18/33) | 45% (15/33) |
Chances of winning
Lucas Gerch
46.4% | Guido Ivan Justo
53.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lucas Gerch has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)Guido Ivan Justo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lucas Gerch than the current prediction. (-2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guido Ivan Justo than the current prediction. (+2%)
Lucas Gerch - Guido Ivan Justo Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.95 ↓
(2.1) |
|
1.83 ↑
(1.67) |
5.9%
(7.5%) | |
What is the prediction for Lucas Gerch - Guido Ivan Justo?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Gerch will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). Justo will win (votes: 6 - 66.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Justo: 35.9% – 97.5%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Guido Ivan Justo will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
Preview Facts
- Gerch is ranked ATP: 532. Justo is ranked ATP: 394.
- Gerch is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Justo has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Justo may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.
- Recently, the players have not faced each other.
How many head-to-head matches has Lucas Gerch won against Guido Ivan Justo?
Lucas Gerch has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Guido Ivan Justo won against Lucas Gerch?
Guido Ivan Justo has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Lucas Gerch - Guido Ivan Justo were as follows:
Latest results of Lucas Gerch
Latest results of Guido Ivan Justo
Draw
Singles - Main1/16-finals| 1 | Dellien Velasco M. A. (1) | Boscardin Dias P. | 0 : 2 |
| 2 | Kestelboim M. | Villanueva G. | 1 : 2 |
| 3 | Roncadelli F. | Farjat T. (Alt) | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Bueno G. | Prado Angelo J. C. (6) | 1 : 2 |
| 5 | Olivieri G. A. (4) | Sperle J. (Q) | 2 : 0 |
| 6 | Gerch L. (Q) | Justo G. I. | 2 : 1 |
| 7 | Barreto Sanchez D. A. (Q) | Ambrogi L. E. | 1 : 2 |
| 8 | Jones M. | Reis Da Silva J. (8) | 0 : 2 |
| 9 | Olivo R. (RET.) (5) | Alvarez Valdes L. C. (Q) | 0 : 1 |
| 10 | Vilicich B. (Q) | Kicker N. | 2 : 0 |
| 11 | Zeballos F. (WC) | Barrena A. | 0 : 2 |
| 12 | Garcia R. (WC) | Torres J. B. (3) | 0 : 2 |
| 13 | Midon L. (7) | Tudorica A. N. | 2 : 1 |
| 14 | De La Fuente S. (Q) | Aguilar J. C. M. | 1 : 2 |
| 15 | Hernandez A. | Casanova H. | 2 : 0 |
| 16 | Bagnis F. (WC) | La Serna J. M. (LL) | 0 : 2 |
1/8-finals| 1 | Boscardin Dias P. | Villanueva G. | 1 : 2 |
| 2 | Roncadelli F. | Prado Angelo J. C. (6) | 2 : 1 |
| 3 | Olivieri G. A. (RET.) (4) | Gerch L. | 0 : 0 |
| 4 | Ambrogi L. E. | Reis Da Silva J. (8) | 0 : 2 |
| 5 | Alvarez Valdes L. C. | Vilicich B. | 0 : 2 |
| 6 | Barrena A. | Torres J. B. (3) | 2 : 0 |
| 7 | Midon L. (7) | Aguilar J. C. M. | 2 : 0 |
| 8 | Hernandez A. | La Serna J. M. | 0 : 2 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Villanueva G. | Roncadelli F. | 1 : 2 |
| 2 | Gerch L. | Reis Da Silva J. (8) | 1 : 2 |
| 3 | Vilicich B. | Barrena A. | 0 : 2 |
| 4 | Midon L. (7) | La Serna J. M. | 1 : 2 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Roncadelli F. | Reis Da Silva J. (8) | 2 : 1 |
| 2 | Barrena A. | La Serna J. M. | 2 : 0 |
Final| 1 | Roncadelli F. | Barrena A. | 1 : 2 |
