Lucas Marionneau vs Gilles Arnaud Bailly – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis ITF M15 Oegstgeest Men Lucas Marionneau - Gilles Arnaud Bailly
Result
0:2
30/04/2025 at 06:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ITF MEN - SINGLES: M15 Oegstgeest, clay - 1/16-finals

Match Stats

Last 10 Balls
28

Chances of winning


Lucas Marionneau
26.1%
Gilles Arnaud Bailly
73.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
27.9% 72.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.5% 73.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Lucas Marionneau has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)
  • Gilles Arnaud Bailly has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lucas Marionneau than the current prediction. (+0.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gilles Arnaud Bailly than the current prediction. (-0.4%)
  • Lucas Marionneau - Gilles Arnaud Bailly Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.57
    (3.38)

    1.26
    (1.31)
    7.4%
    (5.9%)
    What is the prediction for Lucas Marionneau - Gilles Arnaud Bailly?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Marionneau (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Marionneau is ranked ATP: 974. Bailly is ranked ATP: 582.
    • Recent matches Marionneau is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Bailly is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • Marionneau could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • In this match Bailly is a favorite.
    • Our prediction for today's Bailly to win the game is with odds 1.31.
    • Recently, the players did not play each other.
    Latest results of Lucas Marionneau
    Latest results of Gilles Arnaud Bailly
    Draw
    2025

    1/16-finals
    1Negritu Ch. (1)Zick S.2 : 0
    2Raynel A.Vasa E.1 : 2
    3Demanet E.Castagnola L.1 : 2
    4Lootsma N.Slump S. (6)0 : 2
    5Gerch L. (4)Rottgering M.2 : 0
    6Forger A.Loge J.2 : 0
    7Rocens M.Pel S.0 : 2
    8Marionneau L.Bailly G. A. (8)0 : 2
    9Reymond A. (7)Visser M.2 : 0
    10Bol J.Sperle J.1 : 2
    11Thurner N. (LL)Balciunas M.0 : 2
    12Forejtek J.Feldbausch K. (3)0 : 2
    13Jorda Sanchis D. (5)Hjorth P.2 : 1
    14Lane L.Visker N.0 : 2
    15Schoenhaus M.Bozemoj B.0 : 2
    16Wessels L.Zakharov A. (2)0 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Negritu Ch. (1)Vasa E.2 : 0
    2Castagnola L.Slump S. (6)1 : 2
    3Gerch L. (4)Forger A.0 : 2
    4Pel S.Bailly G. A. (8)0 : 2
    5Reymond A. (RET.) (7)Sperle J.0 : 1
    6Balciunas M.Feldbausch K. (3)1 : 2
    7Jorda Sanchis D. (5)Visker N.2 : 1
    8Bozemoj B.Zakharov A. (2)2 : 0

    Quarter-finals
    1Negritu Ch. (1)Slump S. (6)2 : 0
    2Forger A.Bailly G. A. (8)1 : 2
    3Sperle J.Feldbausch K. (3)0 : 2
    4Jorda Sanchis D. (5)Bozemoj B.2 : 1

    Semi-finals
    1Negritu Ch. (1)Bailly G. A. (8)1 : 2
    2Feldbausch K. (3)Jorda Sanchis D. (5)0 : 2

    Final
    1Bailly G. A. (8)Jorda Sanchis D. (5)2 : 0