Lucas Marionneau vs Miguel Damas – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis Pau Challenger Men Lucas Marionneau - Miguel Damas
Result
2:1
16/02/2025 at 04:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Pau (France) - Qualification, hard (indoor) - Semi-finals

Match Stats

Aces
140
Double Faults
18
1st Serve Percentage
67%59%
1st Serve Points Won
69% (40/58)68% (45/66)
2nd Serve Points Won
62% (18/29)46% (21/46)
Break Points Saved
0% (0/3)73% (11/15)
1st Return Points Won
32% (21/66)31% (18/58)
2nd Return Points Won
54% (25/46)38% (11/29)
Break Points Converted
27% (4/15)100% (3/3)
Service Points Won
67% (58/87)59% (66/112)
Return Points Won
41% (46/112)33% (29/87)
Total Points Won
52% (104/199)48% (95/199)
Last 10 Balls
46
Match Points Saved
00
Service Games Won
81% (13/16)73% (11/15)
Return Games Won
27% (4/15)19% (3/16)
Total Games Won
55% (17/31)45% (14/31)

Chances of winning


Lucas Marionneau
67.7%
Miguel Damas
32.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
50% 50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49% 51%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Lucas Marionneau has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+17.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Lucas Marionneau's performance.
  • Miguel Damas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-17.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Miguel Damas might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lucas Marionneau than the current prediction. (-18.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Lucas Marionneau that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Miguel Damas than the current prediction. (+18.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Miguel Damas could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Lucas Marionneau - Miguel Damas Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.38
    (1.85)

    2.89
    (1.85)
    7.4%
    (8.3%)
    What is the prediction for Lucas Marionneau - Miguel Damas?
  • Users Predictions: Lucas Marionneau will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 100%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Marionneau is ranked ATP: 1041. Damas is ranked ATP: 424.
    • Recent matches Marionneau is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Damas is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Marionneau could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both players.
    • Recently, the players did not play each other.
    Latest results of Lucas Marionneau
    Latest results of Miguel Damas
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Fearnley J. (1)Pokorny L. (Q)2 : 0
    2Janvier M. (LL)Karlovskiy E. (Q)1 : 2
    3Poullain L. (Q)Gaubas V.2 : 1
    4Escoffier A.Klein L. (8)0 : 2
    5Gasquet R. (3)Broom C. (Alt)2 : 0
    6Sun F.Fery A. (WC)1 : 2
    7Kachmazov A.Zahraj P. (Q)0 : 2
    8Cui J.Mayot H. (5)0 : 2
    9Blockx A. (7)Guinard M. (RET.)0 : 0
    10van Assche L.Cassone M.1 : 2
    11Bertrand R.Delage P. (Q)2 : 0
    12Bouquier A. (WC)Landaluce M. (4)2 : 1
    13Barrere G. (6)Cachin P. (Q)0 : 2
    14Butvilas E.Misolic F. (SE)1 : 2
    15Herbert P.Vatutin A. (LL)0 : 2
    16Beauge M. (Q)Collignon R. (2)1 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Fearnley J. (1)Karlovskiy E.2 : 0
    2Poullain L.Klein L. (8)0 : 2
    3Gasquet R. (3)Fery A. (WO.)
    4Zahraj P.Mayot H. (5)2 : 0
    5Blockx A. (7)Cassone M.0 : 2
    6Bertrand R.Bouquier A.1 : 2
    7Cachin P.Misolic F.1 : 2
    8Vatutin A.Collignon R. (2)0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Fearnley J. (1)Klein L. (8)0 : 2
    2Fery A.Zahraj P.1 : 2
    3Cassone M.Bouquier A.1 : 2
    4Misolic F.Collignon R. (2)0 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Klein L. (8)Zahraj P.0 : 2
    2Bouquier A.Collignon R. (2)0 : 2

    Final
    1Zahraj P.Collignon R. (2)0 : 2