Alexey Vatutin vs Lucas Poullain – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis Pau Challenger Men Alexey Vatutin - Lucas Poullain
Result
0:2
17/02/2025 at 05:05 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Pau (France) - Qualification, hard (indoor) - Final

Match Stats

Aces
23
Double Faults
40
1st Serve Percentage
57%78%
1st Serve Points Won
74% (34/46)71% (30/42)
2nd Serve Points Won
34% (12/35)67% (8/12)
Break Points Saved
70% (7/10)50% (1/2)
1st Return Points Won
29% (12/42)26% (12/46)
2nd Return Points Won
33% (4/12)66% (23/35)
Break Points Converted
50% (1/2)30% (3/10)
Service Points Won
57% (46/81)70% (38/54)
Return Points Won
30% (16/54)43% (35/81)
Total Points Won
46% (62/135)54% (73/135)
Last 10 Balls
64
Match Points Saved
00
Service Games Won
70% (7/10)90% (9/10)
Return Games Won
10% (1/10)30% (3/10)
Total Games Won
40% (8/20)60% (12/20)

Chances of winning


Alexey Vatutin
43.5%
Lucas Poullain
56.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
50% 50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49% 51%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Alexey Vatutin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Alexey Vatutin's form might have worsened.
  • Lucas Poullain has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Lucas Poullain's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alexey Vatutin than the current prediction. (+5.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Alexey Vatutin, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lucas Poullain than the current prediction. (-5.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Lucas Poullain, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Alexey Vatutin - Lucas Poullain Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.14
    (1.86)

    1.65
    (1.86)
    7.1%
    (7.5%)
    Preview Facts
    • Vatutin is ranked ATP: 330. Poullain is ranked ATP: 438.
    • Two players are playing changeable.
    • Poullain could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both players.
    • Last 2 head-to-head matches Vatutin won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2:2 (average 1:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Alexey Vatutin - Lucas Poullain were as follows:
    02.02.2025 Lucas Poullain - Alexey Vatutin 2:0
    25.05.2024 Lucas Poullain - Alexey Vatutin 0:2
    Latest results of Alexey Vatutin
    Latest results of Lucas Poullain
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Fearnley J. (1)Pokorny L. (Q)2 : 0
    2Janvier M. (LL)Karlovskiy E. (Q)1 : 2
    3Poullain L. (Q)Gaubas V.2 : 1
    4Escoffier A.Klein L. (8)0 : 2
    5Gasquet R. (3)Broom C. (Alt)2 : 0
    6Sun F.Fery A. (WC)1 : 2
    7Kachmazov A.Zahraj P. (Q)0 : 2
    8Cui J.Mayot H. (5)0 : 2
    9Blockx A. (7)Guinard M. (RET.)0 : 0
    10van Assche L.Cassone M.1 : 2
    11Bertrand R.Delage P. (Q)2 : 0
    12Bouquier A. (WC)Landaluce M. (4)2 : 1
    13Barrere G. (6)Cachin P. (Q)0 : 2
    14Butvilas E.Misolic F. (SE)1 : 2
    15Herbert P.Vatutin A. (LL)0 : 2
    16Beauge M. (Q)Collignon R. (2)1 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Fearnley J. (1)Karlovskiy E.2 : 0
    2Poullain L.Klein L. (8)0 : 2
    3Gasquet R. (3)Fery A. (WO.)
    4Zahraj P.Mayot H. (5)2 : 0
    5Blockx A. (7)Cassone M.0 : 2
    6Bertrand R.Bouquier A.1 : 2
    7Cachin P.Misolic F.1 : 2
    8Vatutin A.Collignon R. (2)0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Fearnley J. (1)Klein L. (8)0 : 2
    2Fery A.Zahraj P.1 : 2
    3Cassone M.Bouquier A.1 : 2
    4Misolic F.Collignon R. (2)0 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Klein L. (8)Zahraj P.0 : 2
    2Bouquier A.Collignon R. (2)0 : 2

    Final
    1Zahraj P.Collignon R. (2)0 : 2