Lucas Poullain vs Mario Gonzalez Fernandez – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis ITF M25 Castelo Branco Men Lucas Poullain - Mario Gonzalez Fernandez
Result
2:1
17/07/2025 at 04:40 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ITF MEN - SINGLES: M25 Castelo Branco, hard - 1/8-finals

Match Stats

Last 10 Balls
64

Chances of winning


Lucas Poullain
68.3%
Mario Gonzalez Fernandez
31.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
68.2% 31.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.8% 34.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Lucas Poullain has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)
  • Mario Gonzalez Fernandez has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lucas Poullain than the current prediction. (-2.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mario Gonzalez Fernandez than the current prediction. (+2.5%)
  • Lucas Poullain - Mario Gonzalez Fernandez Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.36
    (1.35)

    2.93
    (2.9)
    7.7%
    (8.6%)
    Preview Facts
    • Poullain is ranked ATP: 386. Gonzalez Fernandez is ranked ATP: 678.
    • Poullain has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Gonzalez Fernandez is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Poullain may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Poullain is a strong favorite.
    • In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.
    Latest results of Lucas Poullain
    Draw
    2025

    1/16-finals
    1Poullain L. (1)Marques D.2 : 0
    2Fernandes R.Gonzalez Fernandez M.1 : 2
    3Fomba L.Malirz K.1 : 2
    4Jadoun N.Borg L. (6)0 : 2
    5Sasikumar M. (3)Andre S.1 : 2
    6Castro F. M.Fernandez Flores D.2 : 0
    7Leote Prata V.Torres T.2 : 1
    8Rossi L.McKennon M. (7)0 : 2
    9Wendelken H. (5)Batista D.1 : 2
    10Masjuan Ginel P.Silva T.1 : 2
    11Da Rosa Castro G.Dhamne M.0 : 2
    12Graca J.Broom C. (4)0 : 2
    13Moroni F. (8)Pow L.2 : 1
    14Marrero Curbelo I.Robertson C.2 : 0
    15Nefve A.Rocha F.2 : 0
    16Tkemaladze Z.Polmans M. (2)0 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Poullain L. (1)Gonzalez Fernandez M.2 : 1
    2Malirz K.Borg L. (6)0 : 2
    3Andre S.Castro F. M.2 : 0
    4Leote Prata V.McKennon M. (7)0 : 2
    5Batista D.Silva T.0 : 2
    6Dhamne M.Broom C. (4)0 : 2
    7Moroni F. (8)Marrero Curbelo I.1 : 2
    8Nefve A.Polmans M. (2)0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Poullain L. (1)Borg L. (6)2 : 1
    2Andre S.McKennon M. (7)0 : 2
    3Silva T.Broom C. (4)0 : 2
    4Marrero Curbelo I.Polmans M. (WO.) (2)

    Semi-finals
    1Poullain L. (1)McKennon M. (7)0 : 2
    2Broom C. (4)Polmans M. (2)2 : 0

    Final
    1McKennon M. (7)Broom C. (4)0 : 2