Robin Catry vs Lucas Poullain – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:2
23/02/2026 at 08:15 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Saint Brieuc - Qualification, hard - Final

Match Stats

Aces
00
Double Faults
20
1st serve percentage
58%72%
1st serve points won
48% (15/31)79% (22/28)
2nd serve points won
50% (11/22)91% (10/11)
Break Points Saved
20% (1/5)50% (1/2)
1st return points won
25% (7/28)52% (16/31)
2nd return points won
9% (1/11)50% (11/22)
Break Points Converted
50% (1/2)80% (4/5)
Winners
135
Unforced errors
3910
Net points won
58% (7/12)50% (1/2)
Service Points Won
49% (26/53)82% (32/39)
Return Points Won
18% (7/39)51% (27/53)
Total Points Won
36% (33/92)64% (59/92)
Last 10 balls
46
Match points saved
00
Service games won
56% (5/9)88% (7/8)
Return games won
13% (1/8)44% (4/9)
Total games won
35% (6/17)65% (11/17)

Chances of winning


Robin Catry
34.2%
Lucas Poullain
65.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
36% 64%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.8% 67.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Robin Catry has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)
  • Lucas Poullain has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Robin Catry than the current prediction. (-1.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lucas Poullain than the current prediction. (+1.4%)
  • Robin Catry - Lucas Poullain Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.86
    (2.52)

    1.49
    (1.42)
    2.3%
    (10.1%)
    Preview Facts
    • Catry is ranked ATP: 554. Poullain is ranked ATP: 418.
    • Catry has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).
    • Poullain has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Poullain may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Poullain could have a small edge in this match.
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Catry won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:4. (average 0.5:2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Robin Catry - Lucas Poullain were as follows:
    28.09.2025 Lucas Poullain - Robin Catry 2:0
    03.07.2024 Lucas Poullain - Robin Catry 2:1
    Latest results of Robin Catry
    Latest results of Lucas Poullain
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Fearnley J. (1)Bouquier A.0 : 2
    2Lokoli L. (Q)Paul J. (LL)2 : 1
    3Tabur C.Rincon D.2 : 0
    4Chidekh C.Safiullin R. (8)2 : 0
    5Ofner S. (4)Broom C.2 : 1
    6Smith K. (Q)Blancaneaux G.0 : 2
    7Martineau M. (WC)Ghibaudo A. (Q)2 : 1
    8Zahraj P.Rodionov J. (7)0 : 2
    9Lajal M. (5)Berrettini J.
    10Perot R. (WC)Herbert P.0 : 2
    11Gombos N. (Alt)Poullain L. (Q)0 : 2
    12Kouame M. (WC)Droguet T. (3)
    13Blanchet U. (6)Broska F. (Q)
    14Bertrand R.Gadamauri B. (Q)
    15Kukushkin M.Loffhagen G. (RET.)0 : 0
    16Gueymard Wayenburg S.Gaston H. (2)0 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Bouquier A.Lokoli L.
    2Tabur C.Chidekh C.
    3Ofner S. (4)Blancaneaux G.
    4Martineau M.Rodionov J. (7)
    5TBD #9Herbert P.
    6Poullain L.TBD #12
    7TBD #13TBD #14
    8Kukushkin M.Gaston H. (2)

    Quarter-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2