Lucas Poullain vs Vilius Gaubas – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis Pau Challenger Men Lucas Poullain - Vilius Gaubas
Result
2:1
18/02/2025 at 05:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Pau (France), hard (indoor) - 1/16-finals

Match Stats

Aces
01
Double Faults
23
1st Serve Percentage
73%69%
1st Serve Points Won
59% (36/61)59% (35/59)
2nd Serve Points Won
65% (15/23)23% (6/26)
Break Points Saved
57% (4/7)22% (2/9)
1st Return Points Won
41% (24/59)41% (25/61)
2nd Return Points Won
77% (20/26)35% (8/23)
Break Points Converted
78% (7/9)43% (3/7)
Service Points Won
61% (51/84)48% (41/85)
Return Points Won
52% (44/85)39% (33/84)
Total Points Won
56% (95/169)44% (74/169)
Last 10 Balls
82
Match Points Saved
00
Service Games Won
77% (10/13)46% (6/13)
Return Games Won
54% (7/13)23% (3/13)
Total Games Won
65% (17/26)35% (9/26)

Chances of winning


Lucas Poullain
65%
Vilius Gaubas
35%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
57.3% 42.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.1% 40.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Lucas Poullain has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Lucas Poullain's performance.
  • Vilius Gaubas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Vilius Gaubas might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lucas Poullain than the current prediction. (-5.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Lucas Poullain that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vilius Gaubas than the current prediction. (+5.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Vilius Gaubas could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Lucas Poullain - Vilius Gaubas Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.44
    (1.62)

    2.68
    (2.18)
    6.9%
    (7.5%)
    Preview Facts
    • Poullain is ranked ATP: 448. Gaubas is ranked ATP: 181.
    • Poullain is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • Gaubas is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Poullain could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • Poullain will have a small advantage in this match.
    • Recently, the players did not play each other.
    Latest results of Lucas Poullain
    Latest results of Vilius Gaubas
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Fearnley J. (1)Pokorny L. (Q)2 : 0
    2Janvier M. (LL)Karlovskiy E. (Q)1 : 2
    3Poullain L. (Q)Gaubas V.2 : 1
    4Escoffier A.Klein L. (8)0 : 2
    5Gasquet R. (3)Broom C. (Alt)2 : 0
    6Sun F.Fery A. (WC)1 : 2
    7Kachmazov A.Zahraj P. (Q)0 : 2
    8Cui J.Mayot H. (5)0 : 2
    9Blockx A. (7)Guinard M. (RET.)0 : 0
    10van Assche L.Cassone M.1 : 2
    11Bertrand R.Delage P. (Q)2 : 0
    12Bouquier A. (WC)Landaluce M. (4)2 : 1
    13Barrere G. (6)Cachin P. (Q)0 : 2
    14Butvilas E.Misolic F. (SE)1 : 2
    15Herbert P.Vatutin A. (LL)0 : 2
    16Beauge M. (Q)Collignon R. (2)1 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Fearnley J. (1)Karlovskiy E.2 : 0
    2Poullain L.Klein L. (8)0 : 2
    3Gasquet R. (3)Fery A. (WO.)
    4Zahraj P.Mayot H. (5)2 : 0
    5Blockx A. (7)Cassone M.0 : 2
    6Bertrand R.Bouquier A.1 : 2
    7Cachin P.Misolic F.1 : 2
    8Vatutin A.Collignon R. (2)0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Fearnley J. (1)Klein L. (8)0 : 2
    2Fery A.Zahraj P.1 : 2
    3Cassone M.Bouquier A.1 : 2
    4Misolic F.Collignon R. (2)0 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Klein L. (8)Zahraj P.0 : 2
    2Bouquier A.Collignon R. (2)0 : 2

    Final
    1Zahraj P.Collignon R. (2)0 : 2