Result
2:1
17/02/2025 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- ITALY: Serie C - Group B - Round 27
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Italy | NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 253 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 53% | 47% |
| Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 16 | 13 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 9 | 4 |
| Shots off Goal |
|---|
| 7 | 9 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 4', 0 - 1, Matos ⚽,
- 40', Giraudo F. 🟨,
- 42', Gucher R. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 46', da Silva J. ↓, Benedetti S. ↑,
- 46', Lisi F. ↓, Giunti G. ↑,
- 46', Giraudo F. ↓, Plaia M. ↑,
- 51', 1 - 1, Magnaghi S. ⚽,
- 64', Montevago D. ↓, Joselito ↑,
- 68', Plaia M. 🟨,
- 70', 2 - 1, Magnaghi S. ⚽,
- 72', Torrasi E. ↓, Seghetti A. ↑,
- 79', Cisco A. ↓, Marconi G. ↑,
- 80', Magnaghi S. ↓, Selvini A. ↑,
- 80', Catanese G. ↓, Galli G. ↑,
- 90+1', Tumbarello G. ↓, Salomaa H. ↑,
- 90+5', Gemignani A. ↓, Cartano R. ↑,
Chances of winning
Lucchese
30.8% | Draw
30.8% | Perugia
38.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lucchese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Lucchese's form might have worsened.Perugia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.2%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Perugia's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lucchese than the current prediction. (+11.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Lucchese, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Perugia than the current prediction. (-8.9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Perugia, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Lucchese - Perugia Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.96 ↑
(2.2) |
2.97 ↓
(3.17) |
2.38 ↓
(3.01) |
9.5%
(10.3%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Lucchese - Perugia?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Lucchese will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). Perugia will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 33.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Perugia: 23.1% – 88.1%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- The game will be played between two neighbours in a tournament table (ranked 16 in the zone Serie C ~ Play Out and 15).
- One and the other team get a very uncertain game.
- The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.
- Last 3 head-to-head matches Lucchese won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 0:7 (average 0:2.3).
- Including matches at home between the teams Lucchese won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0:0
How many head-to-head matches has Lucchese won against Perugia?
Lucchese has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Perugia won against Lucchese?
Perugia has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Lucchese - Perugia were as follows:
06.10.2024
Perugia
-
Lucchese
4:0
07.01.2024
Perugia
-
Lucchese
3:0
01.09.2023
Lucchese
-
Perugia
0:0
Latest results of Lucchese
Latest results of Perugia
Draw
Play Offs1/32-finals| 1 | Crotone | Bye | |
| 2 | Benevento | Juventus U23 | 1 : 5 |
| 4 | Bye | FeralpiSalo | |
| 8 | Bye | L.R. Vicenza | |
| 9 | Renate | Arzignano | 0 : 0 |
| 10 | Giana Erminio | Virtus Verona | 1 : 0 |
| 12 | Bye | Monopoli | |
| 16 | Bye | Ternana | |
| 17 | AlbinoLeffe | Bye | |
| 18 | Trento | Atalanta U23 | 1 : 2 |
| 20 | Bye | Torres | |
| 24 | Bye | Audace Cerignola | |
| 25 | Arezzo | Gubbio | 3 : 1 |
| 26 | Vis Pesaro | Pontedera | 1 : 1 |
| 28 | Bye | Rimini | |
| 29 | Catania | Giugliano | 3 : 2 |
| 30 | Potenza | Picerno | 2 : 0 |
| 31 | Pescara | Bye | |
| 32 | Pineto | Pianese | 0 : 1 |
1/16-finals| 1 | Crotone | Juventus U23 | 0 : 0 |
| 2 | Bye | FeralpiSalo | |
| 4 | Bye | L.R. Vicenza | |
| 5 | Renate | Giana Erminio | 1 : 2 |
| 6 | Bye | Monopoli | |
| 8 | Bye | Ternana | |
| 9 | AlbinoLeffe | Atalanta U23 | 1 : 3 |
| 10 | Bye | Torres | |
| 12 | Bye | Audace Cerignola | |
| 13 | Arezzo | Vis Pesaro | 0 : 1 |
| 14 | Bye | Rimini | |
| 15 | Catania | Potenza | 1 : 0 |
| 16 | Pescara | Pianese | 2 : 1 |
1/8-finals| 1 | Crotone | FeralpiSalo | 1 : 2, 3 : 1 |
| 2 | Bye | L.R. Vicenza | |
| 3 | Giana Erminio | Monopoli | 3 : 1, 3 : 1 |
| 4 | Bye | Ternana | |
| 5 | Atalanta U23 | Torres | 1 : 2, 7 : 1 |
| 6 | Bye | Audace Cerignola | |
| 7 | Vis Pesaro | Rimini | 4 : 3, 1 : 1 |
| 8 | Catania | Pescara | 2 : 1, 0 : 1 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Crotone | L.R. Vicenza | 0 : 1, 1 : 2 |
| 2 | Giana Erminio | Ternana | 0 : 2, 1 : 0 |
| 3 | Atalanta U23 | Audace Cerignola | 2 : 2, 0 : 0 |
| 4 | Vis Pesaro | Pescara | 0 : 2, 2 : 4 |
Semi-finals| 1 | L.R. Vicenza | Ternana | 1 : 3, 0 : 0 |
| 2 | Audace Cerignola | Pescara | 1 : 1, 1 : 4 |
Final| 1 | Ternana | Pescara | 1 : 1, 0 : 1 |
