Lucchese vs Perugia – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Italian Serie C Group B Lucchese - Perugia
Result
2:1
17/02/2025 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • ITALY: Serie C - Group B - Round 27
  • Where to Watch on TV:
italyItalyNOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 253

Match Stats

Ball Possession
53%47%
Goal Attempts
1613
Shots on Goal
94
Shots off Goal
79
Corner Kicks
61
Goalkeeper Saves
37
Yellow Cards
12

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 4', 0 - 1, Matos ,
  • 40', Giraudo F. 🟨,
  • 42', Gucher R. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 46', da Silva J. , Benedetti S. ,
  • 46', Lisi F. , Giunti G. ,
  • 46', Giraudo F. , Plaia M. ,
  • 51', 1 - 1, Magnaghi S. ,
  • 64', Montevago D. , Joselito ,
  • 68', Plaia M. 🟨,
  • 70', 2 - 1, Magnaghi S. ,
  • 72', Torrasi E. , Seghetti A. ,
  • 79', Cisco A. , Marconi G. ,
  • 80', Magnaghi S. , Selvini A. ,
  • 80', Catanese G. , Galli G. ,
  • 90+1', Tumbarello G. , Salomaa H. ,
  • 90+5', Gemignani A. , Cartano R. ,

Chances of winning


Lucchese
30.8%
Draw
30.8%
Perugia
38.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
41.2% 28.6% 30.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.2% 27.9% 29.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Lucchese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Lucchese's form might have worsened.
  • Perugia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Perugia's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lucchese than the current prediction. (+11.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Lucchese, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Perugia than the current prediction. (-8.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Perugia, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Lucchese - Perugia Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.96
    (2.2)
    2.97
    (3.17)
    2.38
    (3.01)
    9.5%
    (10.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Lucchese - Perugia?
  • Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Lucchese will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). Perugia will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 33.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Perugia: 23.1%88.1%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • The game will be played between two neighbours in a tournament table (ranked 16 in the zone Serie C ~ Play Out and 15).
    • One and the other team get a very uncertain game.
    • The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.
    • Last 3 head-to-head matches Lucchese won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 0:7 (average 0:2.3).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Lucchese won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0:0
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Lucchese - Perugia were as follows:
    06.10.2024 Perugia - Lucchese 4:0
    07.01.2024 Perugia - Lucchese 3:0
    01.09.2023 Lucchese - Perugia 0:0
    Latest results of Lucchese
    08.02.2025 Milan Futuro - Lucchese 0:2
    02.02.2025 Pianese - Lucchese 2:0
    24.01.2025 Lucchese - Ascoli 2:1
    18.01.2025 Rimini - Lucchese 0:0
    10.01.2025 Lucchese - SPAL 2:3
    Latest results of Perugia
    07.02.2025 Perugia - Vis Pesaro 0:1
    01.02.2025 Rimini - Perugia 1:1
    26.01.2025 Perugia - Pescara 0:0
    20.01.2025 Gubbio - Perugia 1:0
    10.01.2025 Perugia - Carpi 1:0
    Italian Serie C Group B Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Arezzo870116:61021
    2Ravenna760114:8618
    3Ascoli752011:01117
    4Gubbio73316:5112
    5Pianese83328:7112
    6Campobasso732212:7511
    7Sambenedettese732210:8211
    8Juventus U23732212:12011
    9Ternana73139:7210
    10Guidonia73135:6-110
    11Forli73047:709
    12Pineto72238:10-28
    13Carpi72237:10-38
    14Vis Pesaro71426:607
    15Livorno82154:11-77
    16Pontedera72146:13-77
    17Torres71245:9-45
    18Bra71246:10-45
    19Perugia70346:11-53
    20Rimini82155:10-5-4

          Promotion ~ Serie B
          Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (Quarter~finals)
          Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/16~finals)
          Serie C ~ Play Out
          Relegation