Lucchese vs Perugia – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Italian Serie C Group B Lucchese - Perugia
Result
2:1
17/02/2025 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • ITALY: Serie C - Group B - Round 27
  • Where to Watch on TV:
italyItalyNOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 253

Match Stats

Ball Possession
53%47%
Goal Attempts
1613
Shots on Goal
94
Shots off Goal
79
Corner Kicks
61
Goalkeeper Saves
37
Yellow Cards
12

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 4', 0 - 1, Matos ,
  • 40', Giraudo F. 🟨,
  • 42', Gucher R. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 46', da Silva J. , Benedetti S. ,
  • 46', Lisi F. , Giunti G. ,
  • 46', Giraudo F. , Plaia M. ,
  • 51', 1 - 1, Magnaghi S. ,
  • 64', Montevago D. , Joselito ,
  • 68', Plaia M. 🟨,
  • 70', 2 - 1, Magnaghi S. ,
  • 72', Torrasi E. , Seghetti A. ,
  • 79', Cisco A. , Marconi G. ,
  • 80', Magnaghi S. , Selvini A. ,
  • 80', Catanese G. , Galli G. ,
  • 90+1', Tumbarello G. , Salomaa H. ,
  • 90+5', Gemignani A. , Cartano R. ,

Chances of winning


Lucchese
30.8%
Draw
30.8%
Perugia
38.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
41.2% 28.6% 30.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.2% 27.9% 29.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Lucchese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Lucchese's form might have worsened.
  • Perugia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Perugia's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lucchese than the current prediction. (+11.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Lucchese, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Perugia than the current prediction. (-8.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Perugia, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Lucchese - Perugia Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.96
    (2.2)
    2.97
    (3.17)
    2.38
    (3.01)
    9.5%
    (10.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Lucchese - Perugia?
  • Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Lucchese will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). Perugia will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 33.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Perugia: 23.1%88.1%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • The game will be played between two neighbours in a tournament table (ranked 16 in the zone Serie C ~ Play Out and 15).
    • One and the other team get a very uncertain game.
    • The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.
    • Last 3 head-to-head matches Lucchese won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 0:7 (average 0:2.3).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Lucchese won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0:0
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Lucchese - Perugia were as follows:
    06.10.2024 Perugia - Lucchese 4:0
    07.01.2024 Perugia - Lucchese 3:0
    01.09.2023 Lucchese - Perugia 0:0
    Latest results of Lucchese
    08.02.2025 Milan Futuro - Lucchese 0:2
    02.02.2025 Pianese - Lucchese 2:0
    24.01.2025 Lucchese - Ascoli 2:1
    18.01.2025 Rimini - Lucchese 0:0
    10.01.2025 Lucchese - SPAL 2:3
    Latest results of Perugia
    07.02.2025 Perugia - Vis Pesaro 0:1
    01.02.2025 Rimini - Perugia 1:1
    26.01.2025 Perugia - Pescara 0:0
    20.01.2025 Gubbio - Perugia 1:0
    10.01.2025 Perugia - Carpi 1:0
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/32-finals
    1CrotoneBye
    2BeneventoJuventus U231 : 5
    4ByeFeralpiSalo
    8ByeL.R. Vicenza
    9RenateArzignano0 : 0
    10Giana ErminioVirtus Verona1 : 0
    12ByeMonopoli
    16ByeTernana
    17AlbinoLeffeBye
    18TrentoAtalanta U231 : 2
    20ByeTorres
    24ByeAudace Cerignola
    25ArezzoGubbio3 : 1
    26Vis PesaroPontedera1 : 1
    28ByeRimini
    29CataniaGiugliano3 : 2
    30PotenzaPicerno2 : 0
    31PescaraBye
    32PinetoPianese0 : 1

    1/16-finals
    1CrotoneJuventus U230 : 0
    2ByeFeralpiSalo
    4ByeL.R. Vicenza
    5RenateGiana Erminio1 : 2
    6ByeMonopoli
    8ByeTernana
    9AlbinoLeffeAtalanta U231 : 3
    10ByeTorres
    12ByeAudace Cerignola
    13ArezzoVis Pesaro0 : 1
    14ByeRimini
    15CataniaPotenza1 : 0
    16PescaraPianese2 : 1

    1/8-finals
    1CrotoneFeralpiSalo1 : 2, 3 : 1
    2ByeL.R. Vicenza
    3Giana ErminioMonopoli3 : 1, 3 : 1
    4ByeTernana
    5Atalanta U23Torres1 : 2, 7 : 1
    6ByeAudace Cerignola
    7Vis PesaroRimini4 : 3, 1 : 1
    8CataniaPescara2 : 1, 0 : 1

    Quarter-finals
    1CrotoneL.R. Vicenza0 : 1, 1 : 2
    2Giana ErminioTernana0 : 2, 1 : 0
    3Atalanta U23Audace Cerignola2 : 2, 0 : 0
    4Vis PesaroPescara0 : 2, 2 : 4

    Semi-finals
    1L.R. VicenzaTernana1 : 3, 0 : 0
    2Audace CerignolaPescara1 : 1, 1 : 4

    Final
    1TernanaPescara1 : 1, 0 : 1