Lucia Bronzetti vs Varvara Gracheva – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

24/04/2024 at 12:05 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

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WTA - SINGLES: Madrid (Spain), clay - 1/64-finals

Match Stats


Aces
2	0
Double Faults
2	0
1st Serve Percentage
54%	88%
1st Serve Points Won
75% (21/28)	60% (25/42)
2nd Serve Points Won
63% (15/24)	17% (1/6)
Break Points Saved
50% (1/2)	33% (2/6)
1st Return Points Won
40% (17/42)	29% (8/28)
2nd Return Points Won
83% (5/6)	38% (9/24)
Break Points Converted
67% (4/6)	50% (1/2)
Max Points In Row
8	5
Service Points Won
69% (36/52)	54% (26/48)
Return Points Won
46% (22/48)	31% (16/52)
Total Points Won
58% (58/100)	42% (42/100)
Max Games In Row
4	2
Service Games Won
89% (8/9)	56% (5/9)
Return Games Won
44% (4/9)	11% (1/9)
Total Games Won
67% (12/18)	33% (6/18)

Chances of winning

Lucia Bronzetti
45.5%

Varvara Gracheva
54.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.7%

46.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54%

46%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lucia Bronzetti has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Lucia Bronzetti's form might have worsened.

Varvara Gracheva has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Varvara Gracheva's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lucia Bronzetti than the current prediction. (+8.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Lucia Bronzetti, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Varvara Gracheva than the current prediction. (-8.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Varvara Gracheva, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Lucia Bronzetti - Varvara Gracheva Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.09 ↑ (1.74)		1.76 ↓ (2.02)	4.6% (7.3%)

What is the prediction for Lucia Bronzetti - Varvara Gracheva?

Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Bronzetti will win (votes: 9 - 52.9%). Gracheva will win (votes: 8 - 47.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Bronzetti: 29.2% – 76.6%.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.

Preview Facts

Two players are playing changeable.
Gracheva could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
In this match the chances to win of both players are almost equal.
Last 2 head-to-head matches Bronzetti won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-1.

How many head-to-head matches has Lucia Bronzetti won against Varvara Gracheva?

Lucia Bronzetti has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Varvara Gracheva won against Lucia Bronzetti?

Varvara Gracheva has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Lucia Bronzetti - Varvara Gracheva were as follows:

29.06.2023 Lucia Bronzetti - Varvara Gracheva 2:0

Latest results of Lucia Bronzetti

19.03.2024 Lucia Bronzetti - Taylor Townsend 1:2 ✺

11.03.2024 Lucia Bronzetti - Cori Gauff 0:2 ✺

09.03.2024 Anhelina Kalinina - Lucia Bronzetti 0:2 ✺

07.03.2024 Magdalena Frech - Lucia Bronzetti 0:2 ✺

26.02.2024 Yafan Wang - Lucia Bronzetti 2:0 ✺

Latest results of Varvara Gracheva

23.04.2024 Elizabeth Mandlik - Varvara Gracheva 0:2 ✺

22.04.2024 Guiomar Maristany Zuleta De Reales - Varvara Gracheva 0:2 ✺

18.04.2024 Varvara Gracheva - Yue Yuan 1:2 ✺

17.04.2024 Varvara Gracheva - Viktoriya Tomova 2:1 ✺

04.04.2024 Varvara Gracheva - Elise Mertens 1:2 ✺

Draw

Singles - Main

1/64-finals

1	Sabalenka A. (1)	Bye
2	Blinkova A. (Q)	Udvardy P. (Q)	2 : 0
3	Arango E. (WC)	Osorio C.	0 : 2
4	Bye	Mertens E. (28)
5	Putintseva Y. (22)	Bye
6	Tomljanovic A. (WC)	Masarova R. (Q)	1 : 2
7	Stearns P.	Birrell K.	2 : 1
8	Bye	Anisimova A. (15)
9	Bucsa C. (LL)	Bye
10	Kudermetova V.	Kudermetova P.	2 : 0
11	Lamens S.	Raducanu E.	0 : 2
12	Bye	Kostyuk M. (24)
13	Kenin S. (32)	Bye
14	Sun L.	Gracheva V.	2 : 1
15	Krueger A.	Potapova A.	1 : 2
16	Bye	Zheng Q. (8)
17	Pegula J. (3)	Bye
18	Lys E.	Kostovic T. (Q)	2 : 0
19	Uchijima M.	Montgomery R. (WC)	2 : 1
20	Bye	Jabeur O. (26)
21	Alexandrova E. (21)	Bye
22	Azarenka V.	Danilovic O.	0 : 2
23	Parks A.	Jimenez Kasintseva V. (WC)	2 : 0
24	Bye	Kasatkina D. (14)
25	Rybakina E. (10)	Bye
26	Kessler M.	Andreescu B.	0 : 2
27	Cristian J.	Kartal S.	0 : 2
28	Bye	Svitolina E. (17)
29	Linette M. (29)	Bye
30	Wang Xin.	Sakkari M.	0 : 2
31	Boulter K.	Siniakova K.	2 : 1
32	Bye	Paolini J. (6)
33	Andreeva M. (7)	Bye
34	Zarazua R.	Bouzkova M.	1 : 2
35	Bouzas Maneiro J.	Sherif M.	2 : 0
36	Bye	Frech M. (27)
37	Samsonova L. (18)	Bye
38	Avanesyan E.	Dolehide C.	0 : 2
39	Starodubtseva Y. (Q)	Fruhvirtova L. (WC)	2 : 0
40	Bye	Cocciaretto E. (LL)
41	Haddad Maia B. (16)	Bye
42	Pera B. (LL)	Fett J. (Q)	2 : 0
43	Bencic B.	Sonmez Z. (Q)	2 : 0
44	Bye	Tauson C. (20)
45	Fernandez L. (25)	Bye
46	Sasnovich A. (Q)	Li A.	0 : 2
47	Jones F. (Q)	Yastremska D.	1 : 2
48	Bye	Gauff C. (4)
49	Keys M. (5)	Bye
50	Osaka N.	Bronzetti L.	1 : 2
51	Parry D. (Q)	Begu I.	2 : 0
52	Bye	Kalinskaya A. (30)
53	Vekic D. (19)	Bye
54	Cirstea S.	Baptiste H. (WC)	1 : 2
55	Joint M. (Q)	Martinez Cirez C. (WC)	2 : 1
56	Bye	Navarro E. (11)
57	Shnaider D. (13)	Bye
58	Volynets K.	Kvitova P.	2 : 0
59	Sevastova A.	Pavlyuchenkova A.	2 : 0
60	Bye	Ostapenko J. (23)
61	Noskova L. (31)	Bye
62	Carle M. L. (Q)	Sramkova R.	2 : 0
63	Tomova V.	Eala A. (WC)	0 : 2
64	Bye	Swiatek I. (2)

1/32-finals

1	Sabalenka A. (1)	Blinkova A.	2 : 0
2	Osorio C.	Mertens E. (28)	0 : 2
3	Putintseva Y. (22)	Masarova R.	0 : 2
4	Stearns P.	Anisimova A. (15)	2 : 1
5	Bucsa C.	Kudermetova V.	1 : 2
6	Raducanu E.	Kostyuk M. (24)	1 : 2
7	Kenin S. (32)	Sun L.	2 : 0
8	Potapova A.	Zheng Q. (8)	2 : 0
9	Pegula J. (3)	Lys E.	2 : 0
10	Uchijima M.	Jabeur O. (26)	2 : 1
11	Alexandrova E. (21)	Danilovic O.	2 : 0
12	Parks A.	Kasatkina D. (14)	0 : 2
13	Rybakina E. (10)	Andreescu B.	2 : 0
14	Kartal S.	Svitolina E. (17)	0 : 2
15	Linette M. (29)	Sakkari M.	0 : 2
16	Boulter K.	Paolini J. (6)	0 : 2
17	Andreeva M. (7)	Bouzkova M.	2 : 0
18	Bouzas Maneiro J.	Frech M. (27)	1 : 2
19	Samsonova L. (18)	Dolehide C.	2 : 0
20	Starodubtseva Y.	Cocciaretto E.	2 : 0
21	Haddad Maia B. (16)	Pera B.	2 : 1
22	Bencic B.	Tauson C. (20)	2 : 0
23	Fernandez L. (25)	Li A.	1 : 2
24	Yastremska D.	Gauff C. (4)	1 : 2
25	Keys M. (5)	Bronzetti L.	2 : 0
26	Parry D.	Kalinskaya A. (30)	0 : 2
27	Vekic D. (19)	Baptiste H.	2 : 0
28	Joint M.	Navarro E. (11)	0 : 2
29	Shnaider D. (13)	Volynets K.	2 : 0
30	Sevastova A.	Ostapenko J. (23)	2 : 0
31	Noskova L. (31)	Carle M. L.	2 : 0
32	Eala A.	Swiatek I. (2)	1 : 2

1/16-finals

1	Sabalenka A. (1)	Mertens E. (28)	2 : 1
2	Masarova R.	Stearns P.	0 : 2
3	Kudermetova V.	Kostyuk M. (24)	1 : 2
4	Kenin S. (32)	Potapova A.	1 : 2
5	Pegula J. (3)	Uchijima M.	0 : 2
6	Alexandrova E. (21)	Kasatkina D. (14)	2 : 0
7	Rybakina E. (10)	Svitolina E. (17)	0 : 2
8	Sakkari M.	Paolini J. (6)	2 : 0
9	Andreeva M. (7)	Frech M. (27)	2 : 0
10	Samsonova L. (18)	Starodubtseva Y.	1 : 2
11	Haddad Maia B. (16)	Bencic B.	1 : 2
12	Li A.	Gauff C. (4)	0 : 2
13	Keys M. (5)	Kalinskaya A. (30)	2 : 0
14	Vekic D. (19)	Navarro E. (11)	2 : 1
15	Shnaider D. (13)	Sevastova A.	2 : 0
16	Noskova L. (31)	Swiatek I. (2)	0 : 2

1/8-finals

1	Sabalenka A. (1)	Stearns P.	2 : 0
2	Kostyuk M. (24)	Potapova A.	2 : 0
3	Uchijima M.	Alexandrova E. (21)	2 : 0
4	Svitolina E. (17)	Sakkari M.	2 : 0
5	Andreeva M. (7)	Starodubtseva Y.	2 : 0
6	Bencic B.	Gauff C. (4)	0 : 2
7	Keys M. (5)	Vekic D. (19)	2 : 0
8	Shnaider D. (13)	Swiatek I. (2)	1 : 2

Quarter-finals

1	Sabalenka A. (1)	Kostyuk M. (24)	2 : 0
2	Uchijima M.	Svitolina E. (17)	0 : 2
3	Andreeva M. (7)	Gauff C. (4)	0 : 2
4	Keys M. (5)	Swiatek I. (2)	1 : 2

Semi-finals

1	Sabalenka A. (1)	Svitolina E. (17)	2 : 0
2	Gauff C. (4)	Swiatek I. (2)	2 : 0

Final

1

Sabalenka A. (1)

Gauff C. (4)

2 : 0