Lucia Bronzetti vs Varvara Lepchenko – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:0
22/04/2026 at 08:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER WOMEN - SINGLES: Oeiras 4, clay - 1/8-finals

Match Stats

Aces
15
Double Faults
34
1st serve percentage
59%71%
1st serve points won
59% (20/34)52% (28/54)
2nd serve points won
58% (14/24)23% (5/22)
Break Points Saved
4/78/15
1st return points won
48% (26/54)41% (14/34)
2nd return points won
77% (17/22)42% (10/24)
Break Points Converted
7/153/7
Service Points Won
58% (33/57)43% (33/76)
Return Points Won
57% (43/76)42% (24/57)
Total Points Won
57% (76/133)43% (57/133)
Last 10 balls
82
Match points saved
00
Service games won
67% (6/9)30% (3/10)
Return games won
70% (7/10)33% (3/9)
Total games won
68% (13/19)32% (6/19)

Chances of winning


Lucia Bronzetti
48.2%
Varvara Lepchenko
51.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
53.6% 46.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.2% 42.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Lucia Bronzetti has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Lucia Bronzetti's form might have worsened.
  • Varvara Lepchenko has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Varvara Lepchenko's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lucia Bronzetti than the current prediction. (+9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Lucia Bronzetti, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Varvara Lepchenko than the current prediction. (-9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Varvara Lepchenko, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Lucia Bronzetti - Varvara Lepchenko Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.94
    (1.73)

    1.8
    (2)
    7.1%
    (7.8%)
    Preview Facts
    • Bronzetti is ranked WTA: 166. Lepchenko is ranked WTA: 157.
    • Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • Lepchenko may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.
    • Recently, there has been no match between the players.
    Latest results of Lucia Bronzetti