Alejandro Tabilo vs Luciano Darderi – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis ATP Chengdu Alejandro Tabilo - Luciano Darderi
Result
2:0
19/09/2025 at 01:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ATP - SINGLES: Chengdu, hard - 1/8-finals

Match Stats

Aces
127
Double Faults
13
1st Serve Percentage
71%73%
1st Serve Points Won
76% (37/49)76% (31/41)
2nd Serve Points Won
55% (11/20)33% (5/15)
Break Points Saved
100% (4/4)0% (0/2)
1st Return Points Won
24% (10/41)24% (12/49)
2nd Return Points Won
67% (10/15)45% (9/20)
Break Points Converted
100% (2/2)0% (0/4)
Winners
3021
Unforced Errors
109
Net Points Won
53% (9/17)75% (9/12)
Service Points Won
70% (48/69)64% (36/56)
Return Points Won
36% (20/56)30% (21/69)
Total Points Won
54% (68/125)46% (57/125)
Last 10 Balls
64
Match Points Saved
00
Service Games Won
100% (10/10)78% (7/9)
Return Games Won
22% (2/9)0% (0/10)
Total Games Won
63% (12/19)37% (7/19)

Chances of winning


Alejandro Tabilo
57.8%
Luciano Darderi
42.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
46.3% 53.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.8% 55.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Alejandro Tabilo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Alejandro Tabilo's performance.
  • Luciano Darderi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Luciano Darderi might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alejandro Tabilo than the current prediction. (-13%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Alejandro Tabilo that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Luciano Darderi than the current prediction. (+13%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Luciano Darderi could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Alejandro Tabilo - Luciano Darderi Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.65
    (1.98)

    2.28
    (1.71)
    4.5%
    (9%)
    What is the prediction for Alejandro Tabilo - Luciano Darderi?
  • Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Tabilo will win (votes: 6 - 60%). Darderi will win (votes: 4 - 40%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Tabilo: 29.6%90.4%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Darderi (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Tabilo is ranked ATP: 112. Darderi is ranked ATP: 30.
    • Tabilo has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Darderi is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 5 wins).
    • Tabilo may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both players in this match.
    • In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Tabilo won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:4. (average 1.3:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Alejandro Tabilo - Luciano Darderi were as follows:
    13.08.2024 Alejandro Tabilo - Luciano Darderi 0:2
    01.03.2024 Alejandro Tabilo - Luciano Darderi 2:0
    11.11.2023 Luciano Darderi - Alejandro Tabilo 2:1
    26.01.2023 Luciano Darderi - Alejandro Tabilo 0:2
    Latest results of Alejandro Tabilo
    Latest results of Luciano Darderi
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Musetti L. (1)Bye
    2Atmane T.Prizmic D. (NG)0 : 2
    3McDonald M. (Q)Van De Zandschulp B.2 : 1
    4Basilashvili N. (Q)Harris B. (LL)2 : 0
    5Griekspoor T. (3)Bye
    6Daniel T. (Q)Wong C. (WC)2 : 0
    7Shevchenko A.Monfils G. (RET.)1 : 1
    8Misolic F.Mpetshi Perricard G. (6)1 : 2
    9Sonego L. (8)Cerundolo J. M.2 : 1
    10Giron M.Quinn E.2 : 0
    11Bergs Z.Shang J. (WC)1 : 2
    12ByeNakashima B. (4)
    13Norrie C. (5)Zhou Y. (WC)1 : 2
    14Halys Q.O'Connell C.1 : 2
    15Thompson J.Tabilo A. (Q)0 : 2
    16ByeDarderi L. (2)

    1/8-finals
    1Musetti L. (1)Prizmic D.2 : 1
    2McDonald M.Basilashvili N.0 : 2
    3Griekspoor T. (3)Daniel T.1 : 2
    4Shevchenko A.Mpetshi Perricard G. (6)2 : 1
    5Sonego L. (8)Giron M.0 : 2
    6Shang J.Nakashima B. (4)0 : 2
    7Zhou Y.O'Connell C.0 : 2
    8Tabilo A.Darderi L. (2)2 : 0

    Quarter-finals
    1Musetti L. (1)Basilashvili N.2 : 0
    2Daniel T.Shevchenko A.1 : 2
    3Giron M.Nakashima B. (4)1 : 2
    4O'Connell C.Tabilo A.1 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Musetti L. (1)Shevchenko A.2 : 0
    2Nakashima B. (4)Tabilo A.0 : 2

    Final
    1Musetti L. (1)Tabilo A.1 : 2