Luciano Darderi vs Brandon Nakashima – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis ATP Hamburg Luciano Darderi - Brandon Nakashima
Result
2:1
21/05/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ATP - SINGLES: Hamburg, clay - 1/8-finals

Match Stats

Aces
54
Double Faults
52
1st Serve Percentage
56%65%
1st Serve Points Won
64% (37/58)59% (44/75)
2nd Serve Points Won
49% (22/45)39% (16/41)
Break Points Saved
38% (3/8)53% (9/17)
1st Return Points Won
41% (31/75)36% (21/58)
2nd Return Points Won
61% (25/41)51% (23/45)
Break Points Converted
47% (8/17)63% (5/8)
Winners
3236
Unforced Errors
3948
Net Points Won
45% (5/11)63% (17/27)
Service Points Won
58% (60/104)52% (60/116)
Return Points Won
48% (56/116)42% (44/104)
Total Points Won
53% (116/220)47% (104/220)
Last 10 Balls
64
Match Points Saved
06
Service Games Won
69% (11/16)50% (8/16)
Return Games Won
50% (8/16)31% (5/16)
Total Games Won
59% (19/32)41% (13/32)

Chances of winning


Luciano Darderi
56.5%
Brandon Nakashima
43.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
59.8% 40.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.5% 39.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Luciano Darderi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)
  • Brandon Nakashima has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Luciano Darderi than the current prediction. (+4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brandon Nakashima than the current prediction. (-4%)
  • Luciano Darderi - Brandon Nakashima Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.67
    (1.53)

    2.17
    (2.28)
    5.7%
    (9.2%)
    What is the prediction for Luciano Darderi - Brandon Nakashima?
  • Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Darderi will win (votes: 10 - 83.3%). Nakashima will win (votes: 2 - 16.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Darderi: 62.2%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Darderi is ranked ATP: 45. Nakashima is ranked ATP: 29.
    • Darderi has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Nakashima has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Nakashima may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, both players are almost equally likely to win.
    • The players have not played against each other recently.
    Latest results of Luciano Darderi
    Latest results of Brandon Nakashima
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Zverev A. (1)Kovacevic A. (Q)2 : 0
    2Ymer E. (Q)Muller A.0 : 2
    3Mpetshi Perricard G.Bublik A.2 : 0
    4Altmaier D.Auger-Aliassime F. (6)0 : 2
    5Rublev A. (3)Dzumhur D.2 : 0
    6Struff J-L. (WC)Engel J. (WC)0 : 2
    7Dedura D. (WC)Darderi L.0 : 2
    8Collignon R. (RET.) (Q)Nakashima B. (7)0 : 0
    9Baez S. (8)Ugo Carabelli C.1 : 2
    10Etcheverry T. M.Comesana F.2 : 0
    11Gojo B. (Q)Lehecka J.1 : 2
    12Martinez P.Cerundolo F. (4)0 : 2
    13Davidovich Fokina A. (5)Monfils G.2 : 0
    14Sachko V. (LL)Cobolli F.1 : 2
    15Giron M.Bautista-Agut R.0 : 2
    16Bu Y.Tiafoe F. (2)0 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Zverev A. (1)Muller A.1 : 2
    2Mpetshi Perricard G.Auger-Aliassime F. (6)0 : 2
    3Rublev A. (3)Engel J.2 : 0
    4Darderi L.Nakashima B. (7)2 : 1
    5Ugo Carabelli C.Etcheverry T. M.0 : 2
    6Lehecka J.Cerundolo F. (4)2 : 0
    7Davidovich Fokina A. (5)Cobolli F.0 : 2
    8Bautista-Agut R.Tiafoe F. (2)2 : 0

    Quarter-finals
    1Muller A.Auger-Aliassime F. (6)1 : 2
    2Rublev A. (3)Darderi L.2 : 1
    3Etcheverry T. M.Lehecka J.2 : 0
    4Cobolli F.Bautista-Agut R.2 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1Auger-Aliassime F. (6)Rublev A. (3)0 : 2
    2Etcheverry T. M.Cobolli F.1 : 2

    Final
    1Rublev A. (3)Cobolli F.0 : 2